Archived material Access restricted Article
Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Thu 07/22/2004 View Wed 07/21/2004 View Tue 07/20/2004 View Mon 07/19/2004 View Sun 07/18/2004 View Sat 07/17/2004 View Fri 07/16/2004
1
2004-07-22 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iran to have nukes by 2007
Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.
Posted by Dan Darling 2004-07-22 11:32:03 AM|| || Front Page|| [6 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 2007?
Jeez that sounds pretty optimistic. I'll lay odds on November 2005. Perhaps they mean small enough for the abu double dong to launch.
Posted by Shipman 2004-07-22 12:23:05 PM||   2004-07-22 12:23:05 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 I don't think the Blachhats are going to be around that long.
Posted by djohn66 2004-07-22 12:24:33 PM||   2004-07-22 12:24:33 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 I imagine the the Black Turbans have been humming along with their centrifuges for quite a while, so they should be close to having enough U235 for a bomb or a number of bombs. Only problem is that a U-bomb will be too heavy for a missile. They need Pu239 for a bomb light enough to fit on a Shahab-3 missile. They will either have to make it in their Bushehr reactor or buy it somewhere. Since they are not foaming around with threats of taking out Israel now, it means that the BTs cannot buy it. So their Pu239 supply will depend upon Bushehr being fueled up, and that will drive the date of the attack on the reactor.
Posted by Alaska Paul 2004-07-22 2:00:33 PM||   2004-07-22 2:00:33 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 Iran to have nukes by 2007

There is no way on earth any sane person should accept this projected time line. The levels of subterfuge and concealment that have consistently played out in Iran make it essential to dismantle them now.

There are few ways of actually verifying exactly how far along Iran is in making a nuclear device. It may be possible for them to purchase refined plutonium from North Korea or Pakistan (neither of whom have submitted breeder reactor samples for fingerprinting) and thereby circumvent significant development and enrichment portions of their weapons R&D cycle. All of this makes it imperative that Iran be taken off-line immediately.

Their continuing contribution to regional instability and international terrorism only makes this more imperative.
Posted by Zenster 2004-07-22 3:27:58 PM||   2004-07-22 3:27:58 PM|| Front Page Top

#5 Tomorrow's follow up headline in the Jeruselum Post: "Iran to have smoking holes in the ground instead of Nukes by 2006"
Posted by JerseyMike 2004-07-22 3:59:22 PM||   2004-07-22 3:59:22 PM|| Front Page Top

#6 Mebbe the World Court will decide that its part of Iran's "cultural heritage" to nuke Israel?
Posted by borgboy 2004-07-22 8:05:48 PM||   2004-07-22 8:05:48 PM|| Front Page Top

12:09 alex B.
11:54 Anonymous6488
10:43 Anonymous5901
13:27 Anonymous5891
00:06 Zenster
00:05 Fred
23:48 AzCat
23:46 Zenster
23:39 borgboy
23:38 borgboy
23:36 borgboy
23:34 borgboy
23:32 Super Hose
23:30 borgboy
23:26 OldSpook
23:23 Jarhead
23:15 Silentbrick
23:01 cheaderhead
22:57 J Chirac
22:54 ed
22:51 ed
22:49 jackal
22:46 cheaderhead
22:33 Barbara Skolaut









Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com