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2024-10-20 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
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Keen to avoid all-out war after attacking Israel, Iran tries both diplomacy and threats
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[IsraelTimes] Foreign minister embarks on regional tour purportedly aimed at preventing conflict from spreading further, even as Iranian generals vow to destroy ‘cancerous tumor’ that is Israel
Awaiting Israel’s promised retaliation for a massive missile attack earlier this month, Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
has balanced threats of a fierce response to any Israeli attack with diplomatic efforts to prevent escalation into all-out regional war.
Iran launched 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on October 1, saying it was a response to an Israeli strike that killed Hezbollah chief His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah
...The late, lamented satrap of the Medes and the Persians in Leb...>
and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps General Abbas Nilforoushan in Beirut late last month. It also said it was in retaliation for the liquidation of Hamas
..a contraction of the Arabic words for "frothing at the mouth",...
chief Ismail Haniyeh
...became Prime Minister of Gaza after the legislative elections of 2006 which Hamas won. President Mahmoud Abbas dismissed Haniyeh from office on 14 June 2007 at the height of the Fatah-Hamas festivities, but Haniyeh did not acknowledge the decree and continues as the PM of Gazoo while Abbas maintains a separate PM in the West Bank...
in Tehran in July, an attack widely blamed on Israel.
Israel has vowed to respond to the direct missile barrage from Iran, the second Tehran has launched against it this year, with a "deadly, precise and surprising," attack, according to Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, leading Iran to warn that it would in turn hit back if struck.
"If you make a mistake and attack our targets, whether in the region or in Iran, we will strike you again painfully," IRGC chief Hossein Salami said on Thursday.
"The Zionist enemy should know that it is approaching the end of its miserable life," the chief of staff of the Iranian armed forces, General Mohammad Bagheri, said on Friday, calling Israel a "cancerous tumor."
The Islamic Theocratic Republic severed all ties with Israel following the 1979 Iranian revolution that toppled the US-backed Shah, and has spent the subsequent decades engaged in an ongoing proxy conflict with the Jewish state while openly seeking its elimination.
Both Hamas and Hezbollah are part of the so-called axis of resistance — Tehran-backed terror groups and militias arrayed against Israel and avowedly bent on its destruction.
TWO POSITIONS NOT ’CONTRADICTORY’
But the warnings from Iran’s military chiefs also come as Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has embarked on a regional tour in an intense diplomatic effort to prevent the conflict from spreading across the region.
Iran’s top diplomat has visited nine capitals in two weeks and talked with United Nations
...a formerly good idea gone bad...
chief António Guterres
...Portuguese politician and diplomat, ninth Secretary-General of the United Nations. Previously, he was the UN High Commissioner for Refugees between 2005 and 2015. He was the Prime Minister of Portugal from 1995 to 2002 and was the Secretary-General of the Socialist Party from 1992 to 2002. He served as President of the Socialist International from 1999 to 2005. In both a 2012 and 2014 poll, the Portuguese public ranked him as the best Prime Minister of the previous 30 years...
on Tuesday.
"We cannot say that these positions [of Iran] are contradictory," Tehran-based international relations expert Ahmad Zeidabadi told AFP.
Araghchi "repeats the words of the military," including that if Israel attacks, "Iran will give a painful response," Zeidabadi said.
He added that Araghchi has said Iran is "totally ready for war," while the country also intends to "reduce the escalation."
"The question is to know by what mechanism," Zeidabadi added.
Araghchi visited Leb
...an Iranian satrapy until recently ruled by Hassan Nasrallah situated on the eastern Mediterranean, conveniently adjacent to Israel. Formerly inhabited by hardy Phoenecian traders, its official language is now Arabic, with the usual unpleasant side effects. The Leb civil war, between 1975 and 1990, lasted a little over 145 years and produced 120,000 fatalities. The average length of a ceasefire was measured in seconds. The Lebs maintain a precarious sectarian balance among Shiites, Sunnis, and about a dozen flavors of Christians, plus Armenians, Georgians, and who knows what else? It is the home of the original Hezbollah, which periodically starts a war with the Zionist Entity, gets Beirut pounded to rubble, and then declares victory and has a parade. The Lebs have the curious habit of periodically murdering their heads of state or prime ministers...
’s capital Beirut a week after Nasrallah’s death.
The minister then went to Damascus where he met with his Syrian counterpart and President Bashir al-Assad, a close ally of Tehran.
PURSUING ’DIFFERENT OBJECTIVES’
These visits allowed Tehran "to reiterate Iran’s commitment to supporting its allies in the axis of resistance," Hamidreza Azizi, a Berlin-based analyst at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, told AFP.
Araghchi also traveled to Saudi Arabia
 ...a kingdom taking up the bulk of the Arabian peninsula, largely made up of sand and oil rigs. Its primary economic activity involves exporting oil and soaking Islamic rubes on the annual haj pilgrimage. The country supports a large number of princes in whatcha might call princely splendor. Formerly dictatorial and steeped in Olde Tyme Religion, deferring to Salafist holy men on all issues, it has now done a 180 and is making a serious effort to modernize, so as not to be left in the sand by its Gulf Arab neighbors. The holy men have been shoved to the background and the nation is now still dictatorial but somewhat Frational. That doesn't make them trustworthy, but it's a start...
— whose ties with Iran have warmed in the past year — as well as Qatar
...an emirate on the east coast of the Arabian Peninsula. It sits on some really productive gas and oil deposits, which produces the highest per capita income in the world. They piss it all away on religion, financing the Moslem Brotherhood and several al-Qaeda affiliates. Home of nutbag holy manYusuf al-Qaradawi...
, Iraq and Oman, the latter of which has long mediated indirect talks between Iran and the United States.
He then flew to Jordan, which has complicated relations with Tehran, then to Egypt, for the first trip there by an Iranian foreign minister since 2013.
On Friday, Araghchi was in The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...the occupiers of Greek Asia Minor...
, where he reiterated that Iran is "ready for any situation."
"Iran wants Arab countries to turn away from the Israeli axis," Zeidabadi said, after the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Morocco normalized ties with Israel under the 2020 Abraham Accords backed by the US.
Azizi said Iran is pursuing "different objectives."
In addition to reaffirming support for its allies, Araghchi has also delivered "a combination of warning and reassurance" to some Gulf countries, he said.
"Everybody is awaiting the Israeli response to the Iranian attack... and there have been talks about the potential use of the Arab states’ airspace" for attacking Iran, Azizi added.
Araghchi has given a "warning to these countries not to allow their territory or their airspace to be used for attacking Iran," Azizi said.
Jordan has twice intercepted missiles and drones launched at Israel by Iran, first on April 13 and again on October 1, and has said it opposes any attack that violates its airspace, no matter who is responsible for it.
At the same time Araghchi has been "reassuring that Iran is still committed to the improvements of relations with these countries," Azizi added.
"The foreign minister seeks to urgently bring together the policies of Iran and Arab countries" and to "reduce the military adventurism of Israeli leaders," the government’s official newspaper Iran Daily said on Thursday.
"His diplomatic efforts aim to create peace and put an end to Israel’s crimes in the region," it added. 
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Posted by trailing wife 2024-10-20 00:00||
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