Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
by Vladislav Sovin
[REGNUM] Volodymyr Zelensky's "peace formula", which Ukrainian propaganda has been banking on for almost a year and a half, no longer works. Neither the West nor the remaining viewers of the single telethon in Ukraine believe in it. This means that the time has come for new verbal constructions.
In the last week, Zelensky's office began to promote its new initiative under the pompous name of "victory plan." At the same time, any more or less serious decisions on Ukraine are approved in Washington - which is what Zelensky intends to do, promising to take his "plan" to a meeting with Joe Biden. It is significant that the document itself was born as a response to the West's demand that Kiev present its "realistic military plan" for next year. The existence of such a request was written about in early September in The Wall Street Journal.
What is known about the content of the Ukrainian "victory plan"? Zelensky said in his recent interview with CNN that it contains five points: "Four of them are the main ones, plus one that we will need after the war."
According to him, the plan concerns "security, the geopolitical position of Ukraine, very strong military support that should be available to us, and so that we have freedom in how to use certain resources. It also concerns economic support."
In addition, Zelensky said that part of the plan is to worsen life inside Russia.
"When the other side knows that you are very strong and able to influence their society, which will not be happy with this war... If Russian society is in danger, if they live without comfort, without energy, like our people, they will understand the price of this war, they will not be happy and will start putting pressure on Putin. That is why I say: make Ukraine strong, and you will see that he will sit down at the negotiating table," Zelensky said.
He did not reveal any more details. However, the German publication Bild recently wrote about some details of the plan. It is reported that the document includes a requirement to allow the use of Western long-range weapons for strikes deep into Russian territory, as well as "Ukraine's readiness to accept a local ceasefire in certain areas of the front - and thus a temporary freeze of the situation."
Kiev immediately rushed to indignantly refute Bild's information about its readiness for a partial ceasefire, calling it a fake. Zelensky's communications adviser Dmitry Litvin said that no one from Bild had spoken with the team developing the "victory plan," and "Ukraine is categorically against freezing the conflict. It is important that the United States support the victory plan, not capitulation."
At the same time, Zelensky's office chief adviser Serhiy Leshchenko, on air at the telethon, essentially confirmed other information from German journalists - that part of Zelensky's "victory plan" is obtaining permission to strike Russia with long-range missiles.
"He (Zelensky. - Ed.) said that the victory plan depends on President Biden. That is, obviously, the victory plan implies a plan where Ukraine will receive new opportunities, will be able to strike at airfields, military bases and storage facilities," Leshchenko said.
At first glance, the combination of increasing attacks on Russia with the readiness to freeze military actions (even in certain sections of the front) in the same document looks extremely strange and implausible. As strange, by the way, is the idea that it is possible, without stopping military actions as a whole, to “freeze” them in a part of the front line.
However, we are not yet talking about whether the “plan” is realistic and whether it can be implemented in practice, but about whether a document with such content can actually be drawn up in Kyiv as a “victory plan.”
To answer this question, we need to understand the main goal of the current Ukrainian regime. The main goal is to stay in power as long as possible, since losing it for Zelensky and company after everything they have done could mean losing not only power. In turn, everyone understands that they can rule the country only as long as military actions and martial law continue, which does not allow elections to be held.
And things at the front, as we know, are getting worse for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Kursk adventure did not help, but only worsened the situation: it increased the already huge front line, absorbing considerable reserves of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but did not stop the advance of the Russian army in Donbass.
In this situation, Kyiv, which in many ways follows the Third Reich (which, by the way, Ukraine itself does not particularly hide), is rushing to the usual idea of another wonder weapon. Following the "Bayraktars", "Javelins", "Hymars", "Leopards" with "Abrams" and F-16, now NATO long-range missiles have been assigned the role of wonder weapon.
It is assumed that massive shelling of deep Russian rear areas and significant damage to military facilities, enterprises, energy, etc. will not only weaken Russia's military potential, but will also cause mass discontent within the country - the same thing that Zelensky spoke about in an interview with CNN. And in order to solve the problem of the extended front line, for which the Ukrainian Armed Forces no longer have enough people and weapons to provide troops in normal numbers, a "freeze" of military actions in some areas would really help Kyiv now.
Ukraine's victory, which they still mean reaching the 1991 borders with reparations from Russia and other fantastic "wants," will still not be achieved in this way. No previous wunderwaffe has changed the course of military operations, and the new one will not change it either, and the hypothetical reduction of the front line will lead to its saturation not only with Ukrainian, but also with Russian troops.
But under such conditions, military actions can be dragged out for an indefinite period of time, which is what Zelensky needs.
Therefore, the Bild publication really does look like the truth. In turn, opposition Ukrainian political scientist Kost Bondarenko recalled on social networks that “in November 2021, Bild published a map of the Russian troops’ advance with approximate dates of the invasion of Ukraine. It later turned out that the directions of the strikes almost exactly coincided with the data presented in the Bild material. But then the president’s office also stated that it was fake and that the “yellow” press should not be trusted.”
Obviously, the "victory plan", which, however, would be more correctly called a "plan to prolong the war", is indeed very advantageous to official Kyiv. However, there are two big "buts" on the way to its implementation.
Firstly, the US has not yet given permission to strike “deep into” Russia. On September 16, State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said that the US was not ready to announce the lifting of restrictions following Biden’s talks with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Zelensky will probably convince Biden to “give the go-ahead” when he personally goes overseas.
Secondly, the “plan” says nothing about Russia’s position. It turns out that Moscow should refrain from harsh responses to strikes by long-range Western missiles and agree to “freezing” part of the front line. A reasonable question arises: why should Russia take such actions that are absolutely contrary to its interests? Moreover, neither the West nor its Kyiv puppets demonstrate any desire to negotiate peace that takes into account Russia’s interests.
Therefore, Zelensky can show his “victory plan” to Biden, Harris and Trump, or even to the entire NATO at once: the document with the loud title will in any case go after his “peace formula” – into the trash.
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