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2024-08-08 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Breakthrough into Russia. The situation in Kursk
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] The probable raid of Ukrainian forces into the Kursk region of the Russian Federation, which Ukraine has not officially commented on, could lead to the creation of a buffer zone on Russian territory.
The latest escalation on the Ukrainian-Russian border in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation initially looked like a routine attempt by a sabotage and reconnaissance group to break through, as happened last year. However, everything turned out to be much more serious. Ukraine has not officially commented on the events in the Kursk region, but foreign media and independent analysts are talking about the development of an offensive by regular units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
ADVANCING INTO RUSSIA
Russian pro-war bloggers report that Ukrainian Armed Forces units have established control over the settlements of Obukhovka, Pokrovskoe, Tolsty Lug and Lyubimovka in the Kursk region. “To the southeast, the enemy has captured the Sudzha gas measuring station,” the Rybar Telegram channel writes.
There is no independent confirmation of this information yet. The Russian Ministry of Defense, like Ukraine, has not commented on the alleged seizure of populated areas.
Russian President Vladimir Putin called the military actions in the border areas of the Kursk region a provocation. Putin also ordered the resettlement of residents of the Kursk region.
Reuters wrote that on August 6, Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu announced the alleged seizure of 420 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory since June 14. “Ukraine struck back on August 6. Fighting continued overnight Wednesday, August 7, as Ukrainian forces advanced northwest from the border town of Sudzha, 530 kilometers southwest of Moscow,” the agency wrote.
Reuters recalled that Sudzha is the last operating transit point for the export of Russian gas from Russia to Europe via Ukraine. And just 60 km northeast of Sudzha is the Russian Kursk Nuclear Power Plant.
But the head of the General Staff of the Russian Federation, Valery Gerasimov, promised Putin to reach the state border of Russia after the successful breakthrough of Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region. During an emergency meeting, this military chief stated that the Russians allegedly managed to stop the advance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces deep into Russian territory.
MASS SURRENDER
OSINT analysts on Wednesday, August 7, showed a photo that probably shows Russian soldiers being led into Ukrainian territory near the Sudzha checkpoint in the Kursk region, Radio Liberty's Russian service reports.
As journalists note, the photo shows Russian soldiers guarding the checkpoint.
According to journalists, the Ukrainian Armed Forces allegedly captured "several dozen" soldiers. CIT investigators believe that the geolocated photos may show Russian conscripts.
The Ukrainian state project I Want to Find stated that they know of "a great many captured servicemen of the Russian Armed Forces" in the Kursk region. They claim that this concerns both conscripts and contract soldiers.
THE WORLD'S REACTION
White House National Security Advisor John Kirby noted that the United States has not yet received information from Ukrainian officials about events in the Kursk region.
Kirby also noted that the United States has not changed its decision regarding allowing Ukraine to use American weapons to combat Russian aggression on its borders.
Kirby also said that Ukrainian operations should be commented on by the Ukrainian side, and the US task is to provide assistance to Ukraine: “Let the Ukrainians talk about their operations, one way or another, that’s the most appropriate… We’ll focus on making sure they have what they need to protect themselves… I’ll add that we’ll reach out to our Ukrainian colleagues to have a little bit more understanding.”
“A surprise offensive by Ukrainian forces in a border area of the Kursk region appears to indicate that Kyiv is trying to turn the tide with Moscow. But the move, which has not been officially acknowledged by Ukrainian leaders, has also drawn criticism from analysts who have questioned the wisdom of deploying already overstretched Ukrainian forces on Russian soil,” the Financial Times writes.
The Guardian notes that early reports from the Kursk region and social media data "suggest that the Ukrainian attack has been significant, although it is unclear how long it can be sustained."
The Washington Post emphasizes that if preliminary information about the scale of the cross-border raid in the Kursk region is confirmed, it “could draw Russian reserves into the area, weakening Moscow’s offensive operations in several parts of Ukraine’s Donetsk region, where Russian forces have stepped up attacks to make the most of the summer fighting season.”
At the same time, it could mean that Ukraine's already stretched and undermanned forces will now have to further expand their line of defense, which already stretches more than 1,000 kilometers.
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Posted by badanov 2024-08-08 00:00||
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