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2023-02-02 Israel-Palestine-Jordan
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Abbas succession battle could ‘collapse’ Palestinian Authority, think tank says
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[IsraelTimes] International Crisis Group warns aging and unpopular Paleostinian leader has no successor, has hollowed out government institutions, setting stage for chaos when he vacates office
The future battle to succeed Paleostinian Authority President the ineffectual Mahmoud Abbas
...aka Abu Mazen, a graduate of the prestigious unaccredited Patrice Lumumba University in Moscow with a doctorate in Holocaust Denial. While no Yasser Arafat, he has his own brand of evil, just a little more lowercase....
could trigger "mass protest, repression" and the outright collapse of the Paleostinian Authority, the International Crisis Group (ICG) said Wednesday.
The think tank released its forecast a day after the aging and increasingly unpopular 87-year-old Abbas met in Ramallah with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who urged calm amid a spike in Israeli-Paleostinian violence.
Given Abbas’s age and persistent rumors about his health, speculation on his successor is common in the West Bank, where the Paleostinian Authority (PA) is based.
The Brussels-based ICG predicted in its report that "elections based on legal procedures" were "the least likely" outcome when Abbas vacates the presidency.
Abbas heads the PA, the Paleostine Liberation Organization (PLO) and Fatah, the secular political movement founded by the late Paleostinian leader Yasser Arafat.
Abbas was elected president after Arafat died in 2004. Paleostinians have had no presidential elections since despite Abbas’s term officially expiring in 2009.
The think tank’s report said Abbas, who has been unwilling to designate a successor, has also "hollowed out or disabled the institutions and procedures that would otherwise decide who will take his place."
It is therefore "unclear who will succeed him, and by what process," ICG said, warning of a possible "descent into mass protest, repression, violence and even the PA’s collapse."
According to the report, any last-ditch effort to name a successor to ease a transition process "would go awry."
Abbas has repeatedly called off plans to hold presidential polls, as recently as 2021 when he scrapped scheduled elections, blaming Israel’s refusal to allow voting in east Jerusalem, which Paleostinians claim as their future capital.
Paleostinian experts widely suspected Abbas backed away from the polls over fears Fatah would be trounced by Hamas, a contraction of the Arabic words for "frothing at the mouth",, the terrorist group that controls the Gazoo
...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with an iron fist by Hamaswith about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppression and disproportionate response ...
Strip.
While Abbas has not named a successor, he has elevated PA civil affairs minister Hussein al-Sheikh, whom he tapped for the number two spot in the PLO.
The ICG report named Sheikh and PA intelligence chief Majid Faraj as possible successors.
Though the two men hold significant power within the PA and are seen as able to work with the international community, the report noted "neither has been able to win much support in Paleostinian society."
It identified second-tier "would-be successors," among them Paleostinian Football Association chief Jibril Rajoub, prime minister Mohammed Shtayyeh and Mohammed Dahlan, a former Fatah chief and security minister exiled to the United Arab Emirates after falling out with Abbas.
"Each of these men has his own network," the report said, but none "could stand on his own." 
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Posted by trailing wife 2023-02-02 00:00||
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File under: Palestinian Authority
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Posted by Super Hose 2023-02-02 14:34||
2023-02-02 14:34||
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