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2022-12-04 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: December 3rd, 2022
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 22:40 The Russians exported at least $1 billion worth of grain from Ukraine, Bloomberg calculated. According to the publication, in the occupied territories, the Russians harvested about 6 million tons of wheat. At present, Russian troops have occupied territories where about a quarter of all Ukrainian wheat is grown.
22:15 Arakhamia said that Ukraine is ready to provide security guarantees to Russia: "For this, it is enough: to leave the territory of our country; pay reparations; punish all war criminals; voluntarily surrender nuclear weapons. After that, we are ready to sit down at the negotiating table and talk about security guarantees ".
| A maximalist position that hasn’t a hope in Hell of being accepted. |
22:03 Macron, after a visit to the United States and negotiations with Biden, said that Paris and Washington should prepare a dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. According to him, the future security architecture of Europe should include "security guarantees" for the Russian Federation.
21:36 Pressure on Putin over nuclear weapons has forced him to change war tactics, says US Under Secretary of State Victoria Nuland: "Russia has already made itself a pariah, but we explained: the use of nuclear weapons will entail a response and consequences of an incomparable level. Our response was united, and after that, Russia switched to a fundamentally different weapon, launching attacks on the energy infrastructure."
20:17 Zelensky called the decision to set a cap on the price of Russian oil at $60 "frivolous" and "weak": "Now the world has ended - unfortunately, without serious decisions - the discussion on price caps, that is, on limiting the export price because the decision to set such a limit on Russian prices, which is quite comfortable for the budget of a terrorist state, cannot be called serious. Russia has already caused colossal damage to all countries of the world by deliberately destabilizing the energy market. And the world can not decide on its real energy disarmament. It's a weak position."
| Brent crude was selling at US$83.50 per barrel on Monday. How much of a discount would India, China, etc. demand to take Russia’s oil off its hands? |
The President emphasized that it was only a matter of time before stronger instruments would have to be used: “It is a pity that this time will be lost. In particular, Poland and the Baltic countries, the Russian budget will receive about $ 100 billion a year. This money will go not only to the war and not only to further Russian sponsorship of other terrorist regimes and organizations. This money will also be used to further destabilize precisely those countries that trying to avoid serious decisions now."
20:05 Zelensky, in an evening video message, spoke about the situation at the front: "In the Donetsk region - Bakhmut, Soledar - now it is still the hottest, most painful. We are doing everything to help our guys in this direction. Luhansk and Kharkiv regions - we are strengthening our forces "South - we continue to "minus" the capabilities of the occupiers. Border - we are strengthening the entire perimeter. Black Sea water area - we are working so that in the end Caliber could only be at the bottom."
19:42 Adviser to the mayor of Mariupol, Petr Andryushchenko, said that in the satellite image published by the BBC, the building with the inscription on the roof "The Russian Army - to the inhabitants of Mariupol" is not a military base, but the largest morgue in the Donetsk region, which the Russians disguised as a diagnostic center.
19:38 The Council of the EU has approved a limit on the price of Russian oil: from December 5, the limit price for oil, oil products and oils originating from Russia or exported from it will be $60 per barrel. According to an official statement from the Council of the EU, capping the price of Russian oil should limit price spikes caused by extreme market conditions; sharply reduce the revenues that Russia receives from the sale of oil; contribute to the stabilization of world energy prices and mitigation of negative consequences for the energy supply of third countries.
19:20 The Russians today hit four rockets on the industrial zone of Kramatorsk. According to preliminary data, there were no casualties, Mayor Alexander Goncharenko said. The General Staff clarified that the blow fell on a civilian infrastructure facility in the city of Kramatorsk.
18:49 On the evening of December 3, Shoigu suddenly flew to Minsk and an hour later he signed the amendments to the document on regional security. According to Russian propaganda media, the purpose of the visit is negotiations with the head of the Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Belarus Viktor Khrenin. The monitoring group of Belaruska Gayun noted that Shoigu's visit to Belarus on the day off was not previously reported.
In addition, less than an hour later, the Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Belarus reported that Khrenin and Shoigu signed a protocol on amending the Agreement between the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation on the joint provision of regional security in the military sphere of December 19, 1997. Moreover, judging by the photo, the signing of the documents took place right at the airfield in Machulishchi, which is extremely atypical and only emphasizes some kind of haste. In addition, according to the information of the monitoring group, immediately after the signing of the documents, Lukashenka also went to Minsk to meet with Shoigu.
Lukashenka also today publicly acknowledged for the first time that the Belarusian military is participating in the military training of Russian mobilized at the training grounds in the Republic of Belarus: “I think the Belarusian Minister of Defense has already told you about the situation in Belarus, about the training, combat coordination of the units of Belarus and Russia that are present in Belarus. I must say that we have approached this seriously. Both our and your officers are preparing guys. Both Belarusians and Russians are being trained."
17:11 In the Izyumsky district of the Kharkiv region, on a field road, two people died after being blown up by a mine in a car carrying bread, the police said.
16:36 The Ministry of Defense of Belarus reported that "a protocol to an agreement on the joint provision of regional security in the military sphere" was signed with the Russian Ministry of Defense.
16:31 A Russian military base has appeared in the center of Mariupol - the BBC has published a satellite image from the Maxar company. The base was built recently, on its roof you can see the logo of the Russian army in the form of a star and the inscription "The Russian Army - to the residents of Mariupol."
| No doubt they are grateful indeed to have been gifted such a thing from the Big Russia brothers. |
16:25 Zelensky held a regular meeting of the Headquarters of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, the presidential press service reported. The participants listened to reports on the operational situation at the front and countering the enemy, analyzed the pace of restoring damaged military equipment and providing the defense forces with weapons and ammunition. In addition, we reviewed the progress in restoring the energy system of Ukraine and the implementation of measures to ensure the autonomous operation of critical infrastructure facilities. They also discussed measures to ensure the spiritual independence of Ukraine.
15:54 Canada imposes sanctions against Iranian companies associated with the development of UAVs and their transfer to the Russian Federation. In particular, according to Foreign Minister Melanie Joly, restrictions are being introduced against four more Iranian individuals and five legal entities. The list includes the Baharestan Kish company, which helped develop the Shahed-136 kamikaze drones, as well as the Safiran airline, which helped deliver the UAV.
15:17 Peskov said that Putin "over time" will visit the Donbass.
14:30 Macron said he wants to talk with Putin after a conversation with IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, to discuss the situation with civilian nuclear energy in Ukraine.
14:08 Russia is already using a strategic stockpile of certain types of weapons, as well as missiles manufactured this year, including in August, Vadym Skibitsky, a spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, said: "This suggests that some missiles are being used directly from "As long as they last, a lot depends on production. Yes, it has fallen compared to the pre-war period. But, unfortunately, the Russian Federation, due to the fact that it bypasses economic sanctions, is still capable of producing a certain number of cruise missiles and other weapons."
According to Ukrainian military intelligence, for two months Russia has been exporting 122/152 mm artillery ammunition from Belarus. In addition, negotiations are ongoing between the Russian Federation and other countries on the supply of ammunition, missile weapons for the Smerch and Uragan MLRS, which it has a shortage of, as well as negotiations with Iran on replenishing ballistic missile stockpiles. According to Skibitsky, there are relevant draft agreements between these countries, but to date, the supply of such weapons has not been recorded.
11:46 In Belarus, the accumulation of the allied group of troops continues, but so far there is no threat from the Republic of Belarus yet, said the commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Sergei Naev. According to him, in the event of an increase in the military threat, depending on its quantitative and qualitative composition, the assistance of additional forces and means of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is provided.
11:25 Lithuania has repaired and delivered two more PzH2000 howitzers along with ammunition to Ukraine, Defense Minister Arvydas Anushauskas said.
11:17 The topic of negotiations can be used by Putin to resupply his troops before launching a new offensive, British Foreign Secretary James Cleverley said: "The solution to this issue must be sustainable. We must be wary of the pause that Russia is using to make sure that its the next phase of aggression will be more effective than this."
11:14 During the period of December 3-5, the ban on crossing the Dnieper at the River Station section during daylight hours is lifted. This is done so that people who are in dachas on the left bank of the Dnieper can be evacuated to Kherson, the Kherson OVA reported.
11:02 British intelligence reports that Russian troops have advanced south of Bakhmut in recent days. If the Russians capture the city, it would be of limited operational value, but would potentially allow them to threaten the larger urban areas of Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, analysts say. Russia's plan is most likely to encircle the city with a tactical advance to the north and south, experts say.
Since August, Russia had made Bakhmut a priority in its main offensive operation, but the campaign was disproportionately costly compared to the possible benefits. There is a real possibility that the capture of Bakhmut has become primarily a symbolic political task for Russia, according to intelligence.
10:34 Russia may inflict a new massive blow to Ukraine when the frost intensifies and the temperature drops to 8-10 degrees, Podolyak believes. According to him, Russia is going to "hard freeze the Ukrainians," therefore, it is waiting for the appropriate weather conditions in order to inflict a sensitive blow not on the energy sector as such, but to direct it to heating in the homes of Ukrainians.
09:40 The withdrawal of weapons from the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, which Ukraine demands, will be part of the agreement between Kiev and Moscow with the IAEA, Rafael Grossi, director of the agency, said in an interview with La Repubblica. According to him, both sides have already agreed in principle not to fire at the station and not to fire from its territory. "Russia is not against the agreement and the principle of protecting the station," he added.
09:37 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes that Putin is not interested in negotiations with Ukraine that could lead to a sustainable peace. Analysts say the Kremlin is remaining vague on the subject matter of the talks, likely to lure Western officials into negotiating without a clear definition of whether such talks will be aimed at a ceasefire, a peace process, or a final peace deal.
ISW concludes that Russia would benefit from an interim agreement with Ukraine and Western countries that would create a pause in hostilities, allowing Russia to build up military forces for future military operations in order to achieve maximalist goals in Ukraine. With Putin showing little interest in a ceasefire, and the Kremlin continuing to make demands tantamount to total Western surrender, this shows that Putin remains focused on achieving a military victory, ISW said.
09:29 Australia also imposed a price cap on oil supplied by sea from Russia at $60 per barrel.
09:03 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy on the morning of December 3.
- personnel - about 90,600 (+510) people liquidated,
- tanks - 2917 (+1),
- armored combat vehicles - 5886 (+3),
- artillery systems - 1906 (+1),
- MLRS - 395 (+0),
- air defense systems - 210 (+0),
- aircraft - 280 (+0),
- helicopters - 263 (+1),
- UAV operational-tactical level - 1572 (+8),
- cruise missiles - 531 (+0),
- ships/boats - 16 (+0),
- automotive equipment and tankers - 4472 (+8),
- special equipment - 163 (+0).
08:27 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, one civilian was killed - in Soledar. Four more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.
07:41 Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repelled the attacks of Russian invaders in the areas of the settlements of Krasnopopovka, Luhansk region and Soledar, Experienced, Nevelskoye, Krasnogorovka and Maryinka, Donetsk region, the General Staff said in the morning report .
01:16 G7 has reached a consensus on setting the maximum price for the purchase of Russian oil at $60 per barrel. The group said in a statement that the deal would come into effect "December 5 or shortly thereafter." At the same time, the G7 decision on the marginal cost of oil products of Russian origin will come into force on February 5, the price will be determined separately.
The G7 hopes that the cap on Russian oil will lower the cost of energy and encourage other importers to adhere to this policy. At the same time, Russia can sell oil below the limit, remaining on the world market, or operate outside the G7, reducing its presence.
The US Treasury considered the price limit for oil from the Russian Federation at $60 sufficient for Russia to continue selling oil to world markets.
00:04 In Kherson, as a result of Russian shelling, the power grids were damaged, the city was again left without electricity, the head of the OVA, Yaroslav Yanushevich, said.
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Posted by badanov 2022-12-04 00:00||
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