Article

2011-11-04 China-Japan-Koreas

Up to 400,000 Troops Required if N.Korea Folds

Two leading U.S. experts claim that up to 400,000 troops would be required to stabilize North Korea if the regime collapsed.

So? The ROK could do this, as could China.

Bruce Bennett, an analyst from leading U.S. think tank the RAND Corporation, and Dartmouth College scholar Jennifer Lind published their study in the fall issue of the renowned academic journal "International Security."

Neither are in favor of North Korea collapsing, you understand...

They said that if the collapse were to occur after a war on the peninsula, the number of military personnel needed would grow, adding that neighboring countries would have to perform military missions to help stabilize North Korea as a response.

Posted by Steve White 2011-11-04 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11130 views ] Top

#1 Umm, so?

Posted by Skidmark 2011-11-04 01:18|| 2011-11-04 01:18|| Front Page Top

#2 So? It is going to happen. NORK will fall. There is no way anymore.Why not just buy all the socialists plane tickets to there so they may live under their beloved all knowing government together?

Let them figure it out with their own skin.

Posted by newc 2011-11-04 01:47|| 2011-11-04 01:47|| Front Page Top

#3 I'd make a reasonable estimation that a lot of 'former' NKPA personnel would work for 'food' as well in the event of a collapse, just with a new management team.

Posted by Procopius2k 2011-11-04 08:08|| 2011-11-04 08:08|| Front Page Top

#4 The proper way to do this is for the SKor to have extensive negotiations with the Chinese, preparing for the eventuality, solely to convince the Chinese that there would be zero threat to them (once the Nork nukes were secured), and that there would be a huge economic stimulus to China with a unified Korea.

China could send its Korean illegal aliens home, and they would be glad to go. There would be very profitable trade for China, as much of the supplies to rebuild Nork would be purchased from them.

A unified Korea would be their best friend in the world and except for a naval base in Pusan, the US would be more than happy to leave, giving China a lot more breathing room.

Posted by Anonymoose 2011-11-04 09:22|| 2011-11-04 09:22|| Front Page Top

#5 I think the oppressed masses in NORK will find out that the Kims and their relatives and the NORK Army will make an excellent source of dietary protein.

Posted by Bill Clinton 2011-11-04 10:43|| 2011-11-04 10:43|| Front Page Top

#6 Espedially Junior.(Fat as a pig)

Posted by Redneck Jim 2011-11-04 16:24|| 2011-11-04 16:24|| Front Page Top

#7 The key is CHINA's wilful participation in any such stabilization force - read, LEADERSHIP.

IMO Beijing doesn't mind iff the DPRK Govt is seriously "damaged" in collapse or war as long as it is not destroyed per se + still maintains de facto ruling power; + also no crossing of the Inter-Korean DMZ into North Korea by any US-ROK, etc. milfors.

-----------

FYI WORLD MIL FORUM > SCHOLARS: JAPAN IS THE MAIN TARGET FOR CHINA + PLA DURING ANY US-CHINA MILITARY CONFLICT OER TAIWAN, NORTH KOREA.

and

* SAME > JAPAN MIL ATTACHE: JAPAN CAN EFFECTIVELY ATTACK AND DESTROY MOST OR ALL OF CHINA'S MECHANIZED FORCES IN TWO HOURS OR LESS DURING SINO-JAPANESE WAR.

Posted by JosephMendiola 2011-11-04 20:24|| 2011-11-04 20:24|| Front Page Top

#8 DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > [Pravda.ru = Russ IMEMO think-tank] RUSSIA EXPECTS NORTH KOREA TO [completely]COLLAPSE BY 2020, DOESN'T EXPECT CHINESE INTERVENTION.

ARTIC = Russia believes that the collapse of NOKOR is steadily "accelerating" + as to be exacerbated by the transfer of power from Kim Jong-il to sonny-boy Kim Jong-un.

versus

* VARIOUS BLOGGERS > DE FACTO NOKOR COLLAPSE = more likely than not to result in rapid CHINESE INTERVENTION + ANNEXATION OF NOKOR.

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ION SAME > CHINESE MEDIA: [India = border] TROOP INCREASE VIOLATES INDIA'S DEAL WID CHINA.

ARTIC > 'Tis an "offensive act" by Indjuh agz China.

* DEFENCE FORUM INDIA > [Trilateral Think-Tanks]CALL FOR SECURITY PACT WID INDIA, AUSTRALIA, + US.

* SAME > [Times of India] PANIC OVER CHINA'S FOUR NEW ICBMS. China usng new DF-31's to target both India + Siberia, Russia.

* SAME > [POSTER OpEd] A PAKISTANI "SAMSON" OPTION: DESTROY [India + All of] SOUTH ASIA IFF PAKISTAN THREATENED, wid nuclear weapons.

ARTIC > AUTHOR = opined that Pakistan should not target not only India, but also any each + all South Asian States wid large Indian/Hindu populations.

Posted by JosephMendiola 2011-11-04 22:04|| 2011-11-04 22:04|| Front Page Top

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