Article

2024-09-24 Syria-Lebanon-Iran

Israeli military preparing for next phases of Lebanon operation, says army chief; Biden admin wants diplomatic off-ramp

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by Fred 2024-09-24 00:26|| || Front Page|| [11138 views ] Top
File under: Hezbollah

#1 Anybody asked Biden personally?

Posted by Grom the Reflective 2024-09-24 04:41|| 2024-09-24 04:41|| Front Page Top

#2 biden has taken the off ramp.

Posted by irish rage boy 2024-09-24 09:05|| 2024-09-24 09:05|| Front Page Top

#3 Conservative TreeHouse Poster David from Israel has extensive comments with noted Biden Admin:..."Israel is under intense pressure from Biden and his Administration to not invade."

Full comment from today: "David
September 24, 2024 1:43 am
Israel Update :

-For decades we were told on the media that Hezbollah has hundreds of thousands of missiles and a war with them will mean hundreds if not thousands casualties and all the infrastructure messed up, possibly no power etc…
Apparently at least for now it looks like the IDF worked it all out.
In 24 hours 1600 targets were destroyed. Apparently the IDF had the locations of the munitions and missiles and figured out how to destroy launchers before or right after they use them. The Intel is down to the level of individual houses. It is not discussed on media but it may be that the Mossad is going to win this war.
About 500 killed and over 1,500 injured with no casualties at all in Israel. A complete domination of the situation.
I am sure that the Liberal media will cover the “genocide of Lebanon” and the “innocents” but the IDF also gave them time to evacuate, I have videos of how they phones of the Lebanese magically received voice messages to evacuate and their radio was taken over with messages to evacuate and flier to evacuate. The operation focused on destroying their munition storages which they created in two decades. Nasrallah miscalculated and created a formula of daily back and forth with the hopes to exhaust Israel and its economy. The motion of civilians also takes important place. Israel had some 60,000 – 80,000 citizens dislocated. Now all of South Lebanon is dislocated hundreds of thousands.
This creates pressure in Lebanon because Hezbollah has many enemies in Lebanon. The name of this operation is “Northern Arrows”.
What was attacked are:
Heavy Cruise missiles DR-3 which can reach 1000 Kilometers and can escape interception.
Heavy rockets with a 1,000 Kg warhead. Similar to the one that killed 12 children in a soccer game and injured many.
Mid range rockets that can reach 200KM.
Rockets that can reach 50Km.
Drones that can reach 100 KM.
Israel had about 600 Hezbollah people killed since 10/8 and now the numbers are multiplying.
The IDF also attacked once in Beirut in an attempt to kill the number three of Hezbollah who is over South Lebanon (by Israel). At first there were reports that he was killed then Hezbollah denied it. We estimate that he is injured.
Hezbollah managed to fire over 200 rockets at Israel. All the way to Haifa area and and deeper up to about 100KM. Iron Dome intercepted most of it. Some landed in open areas and a few made it through and caused damage but with God’s help no one was seriously injured.

-Israel is under intense pressure from Biden and his Administration to not invade. This explains me the strategy of the IDF. I mentioned it before and will repeat. The IDF is intensifying the strikes and giving Hezbollah a chance to make a deal. The only deal Israel can have is a cease fire and Hezbollah withdraw a few miles past the Litani River.
In my opinion this is all a chess play to not burn bridges with the US.
Everyone with an understanding of the Middle East knows that honor means everything and they can’t just surrender.
But this is a bit biblical, like the story of Exodus, when God inflicted strike after strike and Moses kept saying “Let my people go”. Eventually it was so bad that the Pharaoh gave up.

-Nasrallah lost almost all the high Command. Radwan Force that was their elite force has lost its command too. The Hezbollah is overwhelmed at this moment of time. They are at the lowest point since their inception. This would be an ideal time to move in. But Bibi is still scheduled to appear in the UN and fly over this Wednesday. He delayed to Wednesday.
If there was a ground invasion he wouldn’t go. But this could also be a misdirector and he could cancel in the last moment.
If the IDF permits it to linger then we will be in trouble as the toll on the economy and the society is high. We must put an end to the wars rapidly. When we see in Gaza at the moment is more of raids than a full war at the moment.

-Some rumors that Sinwar (Hamas leader) is killed. Because he went off communications and the last few communication from him were not typical for him. I can’t tell what’s the truth but I doubt that it’s a true report. We shall see.

-Netanyahu said in a meeting today that “the goal of the operations is to disconnect Hezbollah from the war in Gaza. (In addition to securing the return of out citizens to their homes).

-I have to mention that the center of gravity of Hezbollah is in the Dachia neighborhood of Beirut. The destruction of this neighborhood is Hezbollah’s nightmare. The civilians there have already fled. This must be the next target.
I am also sure that we are looking for Nassrallah their leader. He has a good reason to seek a deal. But I doubt that he is there yet.

-I have to mention that even if we took out more than a half of their missiles and they still have 50,000 missiles, it’s only the beginning and we could be heading to a long war of attrition and a mess, so over-cheering is a mistake.
Israel must not repeat the Gaza error and linger with hopes of diplomacy and get into a year of back and forth while the international community is all over us. So we will see how it’s going. For sure it’s a good beginning but no war was ever won from the air alone. The high Command said that we are expecting some difficult days and challenges.

God bless Israel and the US. "

Posted by NoMoreBS 2024-09-24 15:06|| 2024-09-24 15:06|| Front Page Top

#4 /\ Excellent assessment Nomo. Thanks for posting.

Posted by Besoeker 2024-09-24 15:51|| 2024-09-24 15:51|| Front Page Top

22:59 Anomalous Sources
21:34 Gloluns Turkeyneck4904
20:34 Elmaper+McGurque1612
20:19 swksvolFF
20:17 swksvolFF
19:51 Canuckistan sniper
19:49 Canuckistan sniper
19:02 Dale
18:24 Mercutio
18:22 swksvolFF
17:54 Frank G
17:16 ed in texas
17:05 Procopius2k
16:42 Alpha2c
16:16 Lord Garth
15:56 Besoeker
15:53 Besoeker
15:53 Besoeker
15:52 BrerRabbit
15:51 Besoeker
15:47 Glenmore
15:45 BrerRabbit
15:39 NoMoreBS
15:26 NoMoreBS