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2020-08-02 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Thanks to Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, Some of Us Still Live in America

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Posted by Besoeker 2020-08-02 01:34|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [336078 views ] Top

#1 Not a huge Kemp fan, but there's little question where we would be on this issue if Abrams had defeated Kemp in the most recent Georgia gubernatorial race ?

Posted by Besoeker 2020-08-02 01:41|| 2020-08-02 01:41|| Front Page Top

#2 Georgia
Coronavirus Cases:
190,012
Deaths:
3,825
Recovered:
31,926

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-08-02 05:06|| 2020-08-02 05:06|| Front Page Top

#3 ^Texas
Coronavirus Cases:
449,746
Deaths:
7,266
Recovered:
282,604

What's the difference (with Georgia)?

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-08-02 05:11|| 2020-08-02 05:11|| Front Page Top

#4 Texas has 3x the population, so Georgia's a bit a higher on cases and death per capita.

Posted by Rob Crawford 2020-08-02 06:50|| 2020-08-02 06:50|| Front Page Top

#5 No Rob. The diff is in death/(death + recovery) ratio.

Texas 2.5%. Georgia 10.7%.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-08-02 07:08|| 2020-08-02 07:08|| Front Page Top

#6 Does demographics play a role here? Blacks more affected? More blacks in Georgia per capita than in Texas? Just throwing that out there, and surely more questions could be asked.

Posted by Clem 2020-08-02 07:29|| 2020-08-02 07:29|| Front Page Top

#7 ^Damfino. All I know, Texas was (approx twice) better than the rest of USA in that particular statistic* from the beginning

* death/(death + recovery) ratio - there is an abbreviation that escapes me at present.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-08-02 07:46|| 2020-08-02 07:46|| Front Page Top

#8 #7 - what if "recoveries" are under-reported, by a factor of five, as suggested at Coronavirus Bell Curve?

Since 4/6, the reported daily recovery numbers have been much lower than what we would expect based on COVID-19 average incubation period and time from symptom emergence to death. This has resulted in a likely overstatement of the reported active US case count since 4/6.

I'd say, recoveries are reported late, or not at all, because there's no headlines there.

Posted by Bobby 2020-08-02 08:19|| 2020-08-02 08:19|| Front Page Top

#9 Can't be much of a problem. Everyone in the country is trying to move here.

Posted by Besoeker 2020-08-02 08:22|| 2020-08-02 08:22|| Front Page Top

#10 Coronavirus Cases:
190,012
Deaths:
3,825
Recovered:
31,926

Seems to me if you have 190,012 cases and 3.825 deaths then you have 186,187 recovered. Simple math.

Posted by jpal 2020-08-02 09:29|| 2020-08-02 09:29|| Front Page Top

#11 No.
You also have "still sick" and "no idea where they are".

Posted by James 2020-08-02 09:34|| https://idontknowbut.blogspot.com 2020-08-02 09:34|| Front Page Top

#12 jpal 190,012 = positive tests. What you count is: note deaths + recovered is much smaller number.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-08-02 11:17|| 2020-08-02 11:17|| Front Page Top

#13 It's misleading to call positive tests "cases'. When people have a "case" of a disease to me it means they're showing symptoms. How many of these "cases" could have been false positives?

Posted by jpal 2020-08-02 12:51|| 2020-08-02 12:51|| Front Page Top

#14 When people have a "case" of a disease to me it means they're showing symptoms.

That's why the numbers 3,825/31,926 that's the ones with symptoms.

How many of these "cases" could have been false positives?

Most. That's why they're NOT counted among resolved cases.

p.s. You say "false positives" as if somebody set out to defraud you. So, sorry, but you can't have perfect tests - sans false positive. That's why people who test positive are allowed to self-quarantine.

pp.s. The entire theory of herd immunity (remember it?) was based on the assumption that asymptomatic positive = asymptomatic infection followed by immune memory.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-08-02 13:02|| 2020-08-02 13:02|| Front Page Top

#15 ... And every time you hear somebody say - "it only kills 0.2% - 0.5% of infected", you dealing with somebody who counts all the positive tests.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-08-02 13:05|| 2020-08-02 13:05|| Front Page Top

#16 On the other hand, St. Fauci opined there are ten times more cases than positive tests.

Pick your meme, gather data to suit.

Posted by Bobby 2020-08-02 14:15|| 2020-08-02 14:15|| Front Page Top

#17 St. Fauci . Now that's a name I've not heard in a long, long while.

Posted by jpal 2020-08-02 18:59|| 2020-08-02 18:59|| Front Page Top

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