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2020-03-24 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Spread of COVID-19 begins to show pattern of 4-8 week eruption cycle

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Posted by trailing wife 2020-03-24 00:31|| || Front Page|| [1 views ] Top

#1 The alternative explanation is that the rate of infection goes down because people start following quarantine rules - as soon as the later are relaxed ...

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-03-24 03:45|| 2020-03-24 03:45|| Front Page Top

#2 a multivariate problem where the quality of the data is part of the problem

Posted by lord garth 2020-03-24 09:24|| 2020-03-24 09:24|| Front Page Top

#3 France had almost 4k new cases today so contrary to the opinion, new cases did not stabilize at ~2000

Posted by lord garth 2020-03-24 10:56|| 2020-03-24 10:56|| Front Page Top

#4 Like most viruses, it will expand rapidly until it infects everyone it can easily infect. Then the numbers will go down until there is a big enough pool of non-infected hosts (like removal from quarantine) and then the infected numbers will shoot up again.

Posted by DarthVader 2020-03-24 12:54|| 2020-03-24 12:54|| Front Page Top

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