Archived material Access restricted Article
Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Tue 11/27/2007 View Mon 11/26/2007 View Sun 11/25/2007 View Sat 11/24/2007 View Fri 11/23/2007 View Thu 11/22/2007 View Wed 11/21/2007
1
2007-11-27 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
If Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Strike Back: The Case of Iraq
Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.
Posted by anonymous5089 2007-11-27 09:47|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [6508 views ]  Top

#1 It goes without saying that in the case of a U.S. attack on Iran the Shiite population in Iraq would be largely supportive of Tehran’s retaliatory military actions.

It goes without saying that Iran's Shiite population are Persians and Iraq's Shiite population are Arabs.

The notion that direct negotiations with the Islamic Republic of Iran legitimize its authority is to ignore the basic truth that the fundamental source of legitimacy of the Iranian regime lies with the Iranian people.

That notion that the fundamental source of legitimacy of the Iranian regime lies with the Iranian people is to ignore the fact the Iranian regime is a religious dictatorship at war with the Iranian people.
Posted by Excalibur 2007-11-27 09:58||   2007-11-27 09:58|| Front Page Top

#2 ... the most effective way to chip away at the IRGC’s power is to vigorously integrate it into the global economic and political system rather than isolate it

Doubtful. It assumes that Iran is like any Western nation and that the Revolutionary Guard can be controlled via engagement. A very dubious assumption. It can't be done with the PLA; what makes him think it can be done here?

its economic power is unevenly distributed among its members. Many lower-ranking Guard militants come from the low-income sector of Iranian society and have leanings toward the reformist camp. Offering younger IRGC officers an opportunity to participate in regional and global markets could create division between senior and middle ranks within the Guard’s economic community.

Again doubtful. It would only work if the junior IRGC members were allowed to 'participate', and even then the more senior would still be better off. In any case you end up with an IRGC beinga bigger economic (and thus political) factor within Iran.
Posted by Pappy 2007-11-27 13:51||   2007-11-27 13:51|| Front Page Top

#3 What they're going to do: assist Hamas & Hizballah; send weapons/operatives into Iraq?
Or, wait. They're already doing this.
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2007-11-27 14:28||   2007-11-27 14:28|| Front Page Top

#4 Or, wait. They're already doing this.

Yes. And an IRGC flush with cash thanks to 'global integration' would send more of it to Iraq (and Lebanon, and Gaza).
Posted by Pappy 2007-11-27 18:36||   2007-11-27 18:36|| Front Page Top

#5 the most effective way to chip away at the IRGC’s power is to vigorously integrate it into the global economic and political system rather than isolate it

Who pays someone to peck out these delusional fantasies at their keyboard? The expression of such complete and total idiocy should be restrained via the use of a straightjacket coupled with injections of powerful anti-psychotic medications.
Posted by Zenster">Zenster  2007-11-27 22:54||   2007-11-27 22:54|| Front Page Top

23:35 rjschwarz
23:34 Glung McGurque2454
23:30 rjschwarz
23:29 rjschwarz
23:29 rjschwarz
23:21 OldSpook
23:17 OldSpook
23:16 OldSpook
23:06 3dc
23:04 danking70
23:03 Zenster
22:59 rjschwarz
22:56 trailing wife
22:55 rjschwarz
22:54 Zenster
22:54 JosephMendiola
22:49 trailing wife
22:49 Secret Master
22:47 Zenster
22:45 Glung McGurque2454
22:44 KBK
22:41 KBK
22:38 Zenster
22:37 trailing wife
Merry-Go-Blog










Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com