Article

2006-11-17 Syria-Lebanon-Iran

Lebanese civilians confirm flow of arms to Hizbullah from Syria

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Posted by Fred 2006-11-17 00:00|| || Front Page|| [3 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 Iff true, US INTEL i.e. SPAWAR/SATWAR should had picked up already.

Posted by JosephMendiola 2006-11-17 00:47|| 2006-11-17 00:47|| Front Page Top

#2 If When Israel finally strikes again to take this stuff out, they will definitely hit Syria - their airfields, ammo depots and logistics sites.

Syria just made themselves part of the problem, and in an obvious way.

Israel has nothing to lose going after Syria and its handpuppet in Lebanon.

Me, I'd start wiht a decapitation strike out of the blue. No mobilization. Just a fast hit to kill Assad and destroy the command structure. Then suppress the air defenses and destroy the airforce, and then all military targets.

After that, Lebanon will only need mop-up work.

With no logistics from Syria, they cannot hold out -- hamas is structured as a supressive force, not one that can operate and sustain itself. Once the other factions in Lebanon see that Syria is out of the game and unable to resupply, they'll draw their knives and settle some very old grievances with the Syrian puppets. The hard way.

Posted by OldSpook 2006-11-17 00:47|| 2006-11-17 00:47|| Front Page Top

#3 One other thing to consider: Israel will crater ALL the runways in the area. Iran will be unable to supply since their trucks cannot cross Iraq, and turkey will not allow them overland access to Syria (the Kurds will be more than glad to make sure that doesnt happen - and the Turks do NOT want that sort of mess on thier hands).

One beneficiary of all this?

The Kurds in NW Syria. They may just be able to break away.

And you can bet that if the Syrians strike out at Iraq to draw the US into it, there will be some very "special" people paying the command and staff a visit. As well as a few sites that will get B2 type attention with follow ups on the ground for chemical sampling.

Posted by OldSpook 2006-11-17 00:52|| 2006-11-17 00:52|| Front Page Top

#4 OS: The Kurds in NW Syria. They may just be able to break away.

Does Turkey lump all Kurds in the same basket? If so, it seems to me that Turkey is not going to like the idea at all and may do something to minimize the possibility of any kind of independent Kurdish state. Any ideas on what/why their reactions might be?

Posted by gorb 2006-11-17 01:58|| 2006-11-17 01:58|| Front Page Top

#5 All glory to UNIFIL.

Posted by gromgoru 2006-11-17 06:19|| 2006-11-17 06:19|| Front Page Top

#6 Hmmm... Amine Gemayel was in Kurdistan last week.

Posted by mrp 2006-11-17 06:37|| 2006-11-17 06:37|| Front Page Top

#7 iirc , there are under 20 airfields in syria that have runways long enough to support military ops .. most of those are still littered with bomb craters and are ill managed, so it wouldnt take long , maybe a 12 hour operation to disable all inbound/outbound flights from all airfields

Oooh the memories ! , 6 years ago , landing at Damascus , it looked like the exterior of a violantly abused golf ball . The tarmac was poorly laid and as in any arab place in the world everythinng was shoddy and ill maintained. On arrival , i was promptly followed round by goons with fat mustaches , attitude and coms . How i chuckled to myself buying a cheap 35mill camera and snapping everything that moved , then lobbing it in the bin just before departure , watching them rifle through the bin to get it back. 101 things to do in Syria

Posted by MacNails 2006-11-17 08:27|| 2006-11-17 08:27|| Front Page Top

#8 The one way the Turks might react is the way this would push them:

Kurds start breaking loose, in NW Syria, the Turkish Army will roll in due to "Cross border chaos". they will establish a "peacekeeping force" that will lock down northern Syria, and will become a defacto partition. This will also play well to the Turkish public as a point of pride. And it will worry the hell out of the regional powers that remember the recent history of an Arab bugbear: the Ottoman Empire.

Posted by OldSpook 2006-11-17 10:50|| 2006-11-17 10:50|| Front Page Top

#9 OS,
It's documented from spy staellites that the Turks have been allowing landing rights to air transports from Iran. They may not allow truck convoys,true, but they are not our friends here by any measure.

Posted by SpecOp35 2006-11-17 12:32|| 2006-11-17 12:32|| Front Page Top

#10 Next war, either use nukes or napalm, and screw either UNIFIL or any "civilians" in the free-fire zone (Lebanon south and west of the Syrian border, all of Syria, parts of Saudi Arabia and Egypt). It'll be a much shorter war, and it'll take much longer to "rebuild".

Posted by Old Patriot">Old Patriot 2006-11-17 22:34|| http://oldpatriot.blogspot.com/]">[http://oldpatriot.blogspot.com/] 2006-11-17 22:34|| Front Page Top

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