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2006-01-17 India-Pakistan
Pakistan Informed Ahead Of Al-Zawahiri Strike
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Posted by Steve 2006-01-17 08:12|| || Front Page|| [1 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 Ah, so he was tipped off...
Posted by Ptah">Ptah  2006-01-17 08:40|| http://www.crusaderwarcollege.org]">[http://www.crusaderwarcollege.org]  2006-01-17 08:40|| Front Page Top

#2 my thought too.
Posted by RD 2006-01-17 08:54||   2006-01-17 08:54|| Front Page Top

#3 If the US did notify Pakistan 'well in advance' of the attack, then they (CIA) HAD to know Zawahiri would be tipped off. This begs the question of WHY that notification would have been made. And was the CIA/NSA etc. carefully monitoring just who got that notification and where it was passed. In fact, there has been an upsurge in border activity lately - I wonder if there is a 'program' of actions and informings going on, all designed to shed light on the internal network in the Pakistani government. And if not, why not.
In the long run the bigger problem is not Zawahiri, but the factions allied with him within the Pakistani government - Zawahiri doesn't have nukes, the Pakis do. Eventually Musharraf will fall, to natural causes if nothing else first. It is going to be VITAL to know and hopefully be able to work with his successor(s).
Posted by Glenmore">Glenmore  2006-01-17 09:22||   2006-01-17 09:22|| Front Page Top

#4 Glenmore, I had thought of the tip-off scenario nut not the radioactive dye diagnostic angle. Wheels within wheels ...
Posted by Xbalanke 2006-01-17 11:20||   2006-01-17 11:20|| Front Page Top

#5 Back in WWII, we wanted to confirm the hunch that the Japanese were "reading our mail," and sent a bogus message about the water supply on Midway Island. Sure enough, that info was sent to Tokyo. Think maybe we could do a similiar thing: tell different Paki's different things and see what pops. Then go in and clean out the rat(s).
Posted by USN, ret. 2006-01-17 14:36||   2006-01-17 14:36|| Front Page Top

#6 Glenmore - your comment of "And if not, why not" is the key - we've been at this in Pakland from well before 9-11, and to the extent this was a misfire, I wonder if we gain more than if it were a hit.

Hitchens had an encouraging article yesterday about Iraq/Al Qaeda, and in a similar vein, I suspect Pakistan is now home to at least 3 and probably more intelligence services - it's own, it's own penetrated by us, it's own penetrated by Iran or China, and it's own acting on its own notwithstanding Perv and Co.

In a hall of mirrors like that, it's a bonus when an operation like this accomplishes something immediately, as well as leaving slime trails for all the fleeing slugs. Unless Binny is practicing Farsi on the Caspian shore, the recent homicide bombings in Afghanistan may indicate that Al-Q and the Taliban are so destitute they're shifting talent from elsewhere.

A real good sign might be additional progress pretty far afield - say Somalia or Phillipines - hopefully drying up the farthest reaches as the core withers - here's hoping!
Posted by Whager Thavimble9071 2006-01-17 16:18||   2006-01-17 16:18|| Front Page Top

#7 My own feeling is the ISI is protecting both zawahiri and Bin Laden. They know we want them and they're going to get everything they can from us before they hand them over.
From their perspective, we abandoned them like an old blanket when the Ruskies left Afgahnistan. Now they're going to make sure they aren't too successful too fast.
Think the Mafia and the Big Dig.

Al
Posted by Frozen Al">Frozen Al  2006-01-17 18:19||   2006-01-17 18:19|| Front Page Top

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