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2005-08-26 Iraq-Jordan

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Posted by God Save The World 2005-08-26 10:47|| || Front Page|| [2 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 The Kurds are on the Sunnis side on this, since a Shiite autonomous area does them no good, and deemphasizes the "specialness" of the Kurdish zone. And of course the Kurds are close to the Americans, who badly want a deal. And the Kurds are straining against the Shiites on the religion issues. Now the Shiites are offering to postpone settlement of federalism till the next parliament. Which seems pretty good for the Sunnis - the Shiite alliance only holds 52% of the current parliament, and if the Sunnis turn out in the next elections, as seems likely, the Shiite alliance loses its majority, and the others can block a Shiite autonomy.

BUT - thats assuming the Kurds, Sunni arabs, and the Allawi list can stay united. Basically, it means the Sunnis have to trust their fate to the Kurds.

Posted by liberalhawk 2005-08-26 16:38|| 2005-08-26 16:38|| Front Page Top

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