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2004-05-09 Britain
The end in sight for Blair?
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Posted by RWV 2004-05-09 10:11:18 PM|| || Front Page|| [2 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 RWV, there's been speculation about Blair's future for longer than I can remember! Blair may step down before the next election, or he may not. Just a few days ago he was talking about seeing through another complete term, presuming he'd win the next election. It's Cook's ambition to get rid of Blair (I can't speak for Kinnock, but it would seem to be the case for her, too) so I'd expect him to say or do anything that encouraged ideas that that may happen sooner rather than later. I wouldn't say this is one of the Telegraph's more informative pieces :)
Posted by Bulldog  2004-05-10 5:07:51 AM||   2004-05-10 5:07:51 AM|| Front Page Top

#2 Judging by the state of the Tory party at the mo' I think Blair will get in - maybe not comfortably, but he'll get in. His undoing will be the Euro-constitution referendum early in the next parliament. I think this is where we'll see Gordon 'texture like sun' Brown steal the hot seat and rightly so...
Posted by Howard UK 2004-05-10 6:47:12 AM||   2004-05-10 6:47:12 AM|| Front Page Top

#3 It's a brave sould who tries to predict the likely outcome of the next GenElect. Far too early and too close to call at the mo, IMO. The Tories may appear to be in a 'state', but the state they're in is far stronger than it's been for years.

The constitution issue's going to be an interesting factor; the immigration issue's going to be interesting; whether the Tories try to reclaim ground taken by the UKIP by becoming more eurosceptic's going to be interesting...

Who first on the high profile left summons the 'courage' to state (what many are most probably thinking) Howard's a Joo and his best buddy (Letwin)'s too! will be very interesting. I think when that happens, the electoral s&^% will truly hit the wind turbine. Crunch time. Time to place bets yet?

My odds:
Tam Dalyell 3/1
Galloway 4/1
Clare Short 20/1
Robin Cook 30/1
Posted by Bulldog  2004-05-10 7:19:46 AM||   2004-05-10 7:19:46 AM|| Front Page Top

#4 Galloway at 4/1 seems good for me.
Posted by Howard UK 2004-05-10 7:30:35 AM||   2004-05-10 7:30:35 AM|| Front Page Top

#5 Galloway's a likely suspect, but i) if he said it, would it get widely reported? I wouldn't be surprised if he's already muttered such things at the rallys, conventions, fatwa parties etc. he phlegms over every day or so, and ii), I reckon he hates Blair more than he hates Howard, at the moment at least...

Abusive Father of the House Dalyell's already spouted his anti-Semitic crap, got away with it and no doubt is itching to have another go. He also dislikes Blair but has more loyalty to his party. That's why he's my favourite.

You can imagine the sort of private conversations that go on:

- One thing we could work on is Howard's Jewishness - that'll lose him some votes, won't it?
- Yes, I'm sure it will. But pulling that card might backfire on us in a big way.
- What if we just, you know, make the issue public tangentially, raising the issue but not risking being anti-Semitic ourselves?
- For exapmle, by suggesting that Howard's likely to be pro-Israel...
- ...and let other, non-Party, commentators add "'coz e's Jewish"?
- Precisely!
- Alternatively, we could just let Mad Fool Dalyell have another rant about
Jewish cabals in the Commons as a parting shot before stepping down.
Posted by Bulldog  2004-05-10 7:48:02 AM||   2004-05-10 7:48:02 AM|| Front Page Top

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