Article

2004-12-12 Syria-Lebanon-Iran

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Posted by Fred 2004-12-12 3:14:20 PM|| || Front Page|| [11131 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 Is this the same simulation posted here on RB a few weeks ago in which the reporter claimed the "Blue Ribbon Panel" said such an attack was not feasible?

Posted by .com 2004-12-12 4:38:16 PM|| 2004-12-12 4:38:16 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 I thought that the US would attack Iran this past Nov. Now I believe it will happen the first of March. The Iraqi elections will be over,Ramadan will be over,the more Repub Congress will be seated,the nomination fights should be over and in Feb.,Pres.Bush is visiting Europe,meeting individual leaders as well as group meets,giving him chance to sell the coming attack.

Posted by Stephen 2004-12-12 6:28:19 PM|| 2004-12-12 6:28:19 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 Rantbugers, you dont know even half of it.

I do not think we will strike preemptively. The Iranians will give us ample overt cause to launch retailitory and punitive strikes.

These raids would cripple the IRG first, then the Mullah's C3I systems, then destroy any threats in the border regions. The results - and remaining campaign - are left as an exercise to the reader.

I doubt this will be "soon", givne the relative advantages and disadvantages over there. But it will eventually happen. The Mullahs cannot tolerate a successful secular (or even Islamic-leaning) democracy next door in Iraq controlling all the holy Shia sites (which Iranians woudl see the prosperity yearly when they do thier pilgrammages). Because if they do, the Iranian middle and lower classes will eventually revolt and hang the Black Turban fitna-inspiring criminals from the lamp posts by their intestines.

Posted by OldSpook 2004-12-12 6:49:06 PM|| 2004-12-12 6:49:06 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 It is important to look at any ground incursion as being just that: no effort to *hold* terrain, just to wipe out their nuclear resources and leave, significantly degrading their military, if it resists, in the process. THE DEBATE will be a comparison with Gulf War I, which left Saddam in power, and whether the US can afford to leave the Mullahs in place. Unfortunately, I do not think that we have the resources to force a regime change.

Posted by Anonymoose 2004-12-12 6:57:20 PM|| 2004-12-12 6:57:20 PM|| Front Page Top

#5 Too bad is was just similated. Better luck next time.

the Iranian middle and lower classes will eventually revolt and hang the Black Turban fitna-inspiring criminals from the lamp posts by their intestines

Sounds messy. Why expose the good Iranian people to bloodborne diseases and mullah-cooties?

I'll be glad to pay for a good supply of rope. Or piano wire. Their choice.

Posted by Barbara Skolaut 2004-12-12 7:49:52 PM|| 2004-12-12 7:49:52 PM|| Front Page Top

#6 The mullahs would not remain in charge if they and enough of their thugs were dead. Easier to decapitate the government and cut a deal with whomever is left than screw around with the nukes.

But yes, this certainly sounds like a rehash of the Antlantic thing from last month. I guess MENL depends on snail mail.

Posted by RWV 2004-12-12 8:47:52 PM|| 2004-12-12 8:47:52 PM|| Front Page Top

#7 Why does anyone think attacking the IGRC, known nuke facilities, and regime leadership is enough? The Iranians can close the Persian Gulf at any time. What would be the worldwide effect of sinking a dozen supertankers in the Straits of Hormuz? How many years would it take to clear the blockage?

Posted by ed 2004-12-12 9:23:16 PM|| 2004-12-12 9:23:16 PM|| Front Page Top

#8 Ed - the Iranian strength is not in the gulf, given 20 minutes with the US Navy. The mullahs strength is with the indoctrinated fools who have no formal education, and responsibilities only to enforce th emullah's wishes. I think a cut in the C3 system would make these fools the first casualties in a deserved civil war

Posted by Frank G 2004-12-12 9:53:38 PM|| 2004-12-12 9:53:38 PM|| Front Page Top

#9 Rantbugers, you dont know even half of it.

I do not think we will strike preemptively. The Iranians will give us ample overt cause to launch retailitory and punitive strikes.

These raids would cripple the IRG first, then the Mullah's C3I systems, then destroy any threats in the border regions. The results - and remaining campaign - are left as an exercise to the reader.

I doubt this will be "soon", givne the relative advantages and disadvantages over there. But it will eventually happen. The Mullahs cannot tolerate a successful secular (or even Islamic-leaning) democracy next door in Iraq controlling all the holy Shia sites (which Iranians woudl see the prosperity yearly when they do thier pilgrammages). Because if they do, the Iranian middle and lower classes will eventually revolt and hang the Black Turban fitna-inspiring criminals from the lamp posts by their intestines.

Posted by OldSpook 2004-12-12 6:49:06 PM|| 2004-12-12 6:49:06 PM|| Front Page Top

#10 Off-topic or abusive comments deleted]

Posted by OldSpook 2004-12-12 6:49:06 PM|| 2004-12-12 6:49:06 PM|| Front Page Top

11:34 N Guard
11:34 N Guard
00:23 3dc
00:14 Mike Sylwester
00:10 3dc
00:05 Stephen
00:05 Zenster
23:51 Mike Sylwester
23:50 .com
23:49 Bomb-a-rama
23:41 Mike Sylwester
23:37 JosephMendiola
23:35 lex
23:34 lex
23:34 .com
23:30 Zenster
23:25 Zenster
23:24 Mike Sylwester
23:23 Rafael
23:18 .com
23:16 Mike Sylwester
23:12 .com
23:12 Zenster
23:04 JosephMendiola