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2004-10-01 Home Front: WoT
Mark Steyn: No, You Get Real
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Posted by tipper 2004-10-01 12:25:21 AM|| || Front Page|| [3 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 "So, if we have any problems with some two-bit dictator, we should go in, whack the bad guy, leave, and let the locals squabble over who gets to be the next bad guy. If he causes trouble, we whack him, and withdraw again. Repeat as necessary."
Love it. Great Iran strategy. Minimal ground war except perhaps around the edges.
Posted by Tom 2004-10-01 7:50:21 AM||   2004-10-01 7:50:21 AM|| Front Page Top

#2 I love Steyn. But here I disagree. It is a first time this is being tried in ME context. It may not work, and then the rinse and repeat whack-a-dic may be a viable strategy. But if this works (and so far, it is a tie), there may be great rewards, because it may sway other nations in the ME to try the model (not necessarily apettitlich to their respective dictators). That would means the clash of civilizations would turn from a potential big bang into several loud party poppers. I am for the trial (and posibly error).
Posted by Memesis 2004-10-01 8:01:56 AM||   2004-10-01 8:01:56 AM|| Front Page Top

#3 And the deep and long history of democracy in Japan prior to 1945 was .... ?
Posted by Don 2004-10-01 9:12:59 AM||   2004-10-01 9:12:59 AM|| Front Page Top

#4 How to tell if they really believe that some people just can't *handle* democracy, or if it's just racism: apply what they say to the nations of Italy, Mexico, South Africa and India. In this case the author implies that India can *handle* democracy *only* because it was once ruled which Britain. But that doesn't hold water. There are lots of democracies that weren't colonies for a hundred years that evolved democracy. Take Italy for example. One of the most ungainly democracies around. Can the Italians *handle* democracy?
Posted by Anonymoose 2004-10-01 9:25:22 AM||   2004-10-01 9:25:22 AM|| Front Page Top

#5 I completely disagree with Steyn. I'm not sure if he believes this, or if he is just saying that's about the only position Kerry could have successfully taken in the debate.

Maybe Kerry will take note and try that out as position #12 in the next debate.
Posted by 2b 2004-10-01 9:31:19 AM||   2004-10-01 9:31:19 AM|| Front Page Top

#6 rinse and repeat works great, if all you need to use is laundry detergent. In this case we're talking American (not Canadian) lives, money, and prestige. We either go the George Will route and Fugedaboutit, or we go the George Bush route and make democracy work, even if that involved dreaded nationbuilding.
Posted by Liberalhawk 2004-10-01 9:32:03 AM||   2004-10-01 9:32:03 AM|| Front Page Top

#7 Anonymoose, then the apparent correlation of current democratic government with past British colonization is an illusion? It would be interesting to look at the democracies of the world and see how many follow conquest, occupation and colonization/reconstruction by Anglo-American forces. And I would include Italy in that category.

One area of interest to me is Eastern Europe. While it is clear we did not physically conquer it, I suspect we intellectually conquered it. The question we face in the absence of physical conquest is, how long intelectual conquest will take with third world countries.
Posted by Mrs. Davis 2004-10-01 9:38:30 AM||   2004-10-01 9:38:30 AM|| Front Page Top

#8 MD: One area of interest to me is Eastern Europe. While it is clear we did not physically conquer it, I suspect we intellectually conquered it. The question we face in the absence of physical conquest is, how long intelectual conquest will take with third world countries.

Many of these countries came into being after the breakup of the Austro-Hungarian and Russian empires. They had democracies of a kind during the interwar years, until fascism took over in some countries, or the Nazis or the Soviets conquered them.
Posted by Zhang Fei  2004-10-01 10:15:18 AM|| [http://timurileng.blogspot.com]  2004-10-01 10:15:18 AM|| Front Page Top

#9 Since I can't read the rest of the article, I can only speculate that Steyn is setting up the "Whack, rinse, repeat" method for rebuttal. For one thing, although fairly cheap for us, it means killing lots of foreigners for no visible advantage, which is the sort of thing which doesn't go down well with today's kinder, gentler public.
Posted by Angie Schultz 2004-10-01 12:06:38 PM|| [http://darkblogules.blogspot.com]  2004-10-01 12:06:38 PM|| Front Page Top

#10 Whack 'em all, take the land, and sell any survivors to Bombay whorehouses.
Posted by Curtis LeMay 2004-10-01 12:21:24 PM||   2004-10-01 12:21:24 PM|| Front Page Top

#11 For one thing, although fairly cheap for us, it means killing lots of foreigners for no visible advantage, which is the sort of thing which doesn't go down well with today's kinder, gentler public.

After a couple of whacks, those foreigners - assuming they are capable of reason - will become fearful of yet another swing of the hammer at their heads. Definitely not a visible advantage, but an advantage well worth having. As for the kinder, gentler public, well, they need to realize that those traits only have value when dealing with like minds. Otherwise, they're a weakness.
Posted by Bomb-a-rama 2004-10-01 12:50:21 PM||   2004-10-01 12:50:21 PM|| Front Page Top

#12 The East European civil societies were not so throughly demolished as Saddam demolished Iraqi civil society. Within the rotten structure that collapsed were strong foundations for a new one.

Not so in Iraq, where the only non-Ba'athist social foundations were religious and illiberal ones. Saddam's Iraq was a thoroughly Stalinist state which destroyed almost all semblance of civil society. No political parties, unions, civil or porfessional associations. The only robust organizations independent of the regime were those dominated by imams like Sistani.

In hindsight we should have seen that if you smash a stalinist regime from the outside, you will have chaos, and to forestall that chaos you will need not elections but well-organized, confident, large civil associations headed by credible and experienced leaders. Outside of Kurdistan, the only Iraqi who fit, and fits, that bill is Sistani. Therefore the only real shot at avoiding postwar chaos would have been to get Sistani on our side and to ensure his explicit or tacit approval for everything we did after overthrowing Saddam. Not having Sistani's support in postwar Iraq is roughly equivalent to overthrowing the Polish communist regime and being violently opposed by the Polish Catholic Church.

So to my thinking whether Iraq can be democratic is really not up to us but up to Sistani and other powerful imams. Jury's out on this.
Posted by lex 2004-10-01 1:10:10 PM||   2004-10-01 1:10:10 PM|| Front Page Top

#13 So to my thinking whether Iraq can be democratic is really not up to us but up to Sistani and other powerful imams. Jury's out on this.

There's not a lot of reason to be hopeful if imams are to be involved.
Posted by Bomb-a-rama 2004-10-01 1:23:46 PM||   2004-10-01 1:23:46 PM|| Front Page Top

#14 Welcome to Iraq. As Gerecht puts it, if we lose Sistani, we lose Iraq.

Posted by lex 2004-10-01 6:47:42 PM||   2004-10-01 6:47:42 PM|| Front Page Top

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