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2006-07-23 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Hezbollah victory will alter political calculations
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Posted by Fred 2006-07-23 10:36|| || Front Page|| [6 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 There will be no popular resistance if the Israeli's are smart. They will sweep through with overwhelming force. Isolate blocks and clear them out as the Marines did in Somalia (you can bury and AK-47 but not a rocket). Then they will move on. When the area is clear they declare victory and pull-out leaving Hezbollah sputtering and attempting to claim they drove the Zionists out despite everyone having seen they hid like little girls.

Then what's left of the Leb army moves in and secures the area.

The only catch is how involved is the Leb army with Hezbollah. Will there be enough of them willing and able to secure the area or will they be drawn into the battle and destroyed by Israel.
Posted by rjschwarz">rjschwarz  2006-07-23 10:50|| rjschwarz.com]">[rjschwarz.com]  2006-07-23 10:50|| Front Page Top

#2 Israel should just D-9 any structure with weapons, tunnel opening or any other military appurtenances.
Posted by Nimble Spemble 2006-07-23 11:00||   2006-07-23 11:00|| Front Page Top

#3 These wholesome nuts are even more optimistic about enemy losses than Kavkaz.
Posted by ed 2006-07-23 11:02||   2006-07-23 11:02|| Front Page Top

#4 Anti Israel forces are pointing to a so-called, "failed Israeli blitz." Actually "blitzkrieg" (lightning war) is an advance without halt. The IDF advance was slow and measured, and followed IAF and artillery rendering of terrorist areas. Because of the tunneling and underground stocking of Hizbollah arms resources, specified captured areas had to be completely secured. The security strip is being created with a minimum loss of IDF troops, while the enemy is being killed wholesale. Hizbollah can only win if its Iranian planners get away with their escalation plan.
Posted by Anginens Threreng8133 2006-07-23 11:48||   2006-07-23 11:48|| Front Page Top

#5 rjschwartz:

The Lebanese army is about 50% Shiite, and these are avid supporters of Iran. Any Israeli pullout will involve little more than permitting re-creation of the missile threat that led to the war. What has to happen is: destruction of Shiite power en toto, from Lebanon to Iran. And Iran is counting on using their Iraq Parliament puppets to pressure an American' go-it-alone policy towards Israel. Condi's "Sunni umbrella" crusade, which starts in earnest on Tuesday, will cause much ridicule because Sunnis and Shiites are united against Israel. The Organization of the Islamic Conference is poised to formalize that unity.

Rather than attempting to buy nominal support for a so-called "buffer" between Sunni Arabs and Shiite Iranians, the solution is: seize the fact of Ahmadinejad's inter-generational threats to the US Homeland, as a pretext to eliminate the Shiite threat. And I would use the Hiroshima-Solution.
Posted by Anginens Threreng8133 2006-07-23 12:01||   2006-07-23 12:01|| Front Page Top

#6 "Israel began its all-out attack on Lebanon with vast air, ground, and sea operations...."

Lost me in the first paragraph! These shmoes have zero grasp of reality. They obviously have NO understanding of what the words "all-out attack" mean.
Posted by Scooter McGruder 2006-07-23 14:36||   2006-07-23 14:36|| Front Page Top

#7 i believe this is the last "go" situation we'll have. A "no-go" puts all non-islamic countries at risk.

Despite the outcry. This has to be it. Full involvement to stifle the islamic threat.
Posted by Thinemp Whimble2412 2006-07-23 15:46||   2006-07-23 15:46|| Front Page Top

#8 We are half way through a 3 week event... battlefield prepared, now the targets have been painted...next comes the real ground level "whack a mole", accompanied by the sounds of Hizzis crying like little girls.
Posted by Capsu 78 2006-07-23 16:42||   2006-07-23 16:42|| Front Page Top

#9 Exactly right, #1. The essence of Blitzkrieg is to use rapid movement to isolate the opponent and defeat them in detail. OK, so we hide in holes and make a "Fortress Hezbollah".

Trouble is, you now cede the initiative to the Israelis. They can isolate a region by air inderdiction and taking key terrain, concentrate on one and toss them out of the holes.

I don't think they have the morale or the skill to handle a protracted engagement with the IDF.
Posted by Oldcat 2006-07-23 16:54||   2006-07-23 16:54|| Front Page Top

#10 Nope. I suspect there was a lot of internal division in the Israeli senior command last week about beginning this. But now that it's started, it's going to be like a machine, moving slowly and carefully, to minimize casualties, but inexorably to the removal of all traces of Hezb'Allah from southern Lebanon.

Good blasting.
Posted by Nimble Spemble 2006-07-23 17:20||   2006-07-23 17:20|| Front Page Top

#11 Is there any charitable organisation here in the west where i can donate money in order to support the random fire of anti-personnel rockets into a muslim country?

No? thought not! almost a shame.
Posted by pihkalbadger 2006-07-23 22:03||   2006-07-23 22:03|| Front Page Top

#12 Is there any charitable organisation here in the west where i can donate money in order to support the random fire of anti-personnel rockets into a muslim country?

No, but there are some entities in the west that seem to support the random fire of anti-personnel rockets from a muslim country into non-muslim civilian areas.
Posted by gorb 2006-07-23 22:22||   2006-07-23 22:22|| Front Page Top

#13 Israel = America > the burden is on Israel, and only Israel, to prove or disprove everything the terror groups claim to be, to fight for, or threaten against. If Israel fails to do, or is "proven" wrong in the MSM/Court of public opinion, e.g. "NO WMDS IN IRAQ", Israel = Amer > will be blamed for all war, controversy, casualties and chaos, NOT its enemies. It doesn't matter to Israel's enemies how many IDF soldiers or civilians are killed or kidnapped, nor how many rockets are fired into Israel, nor how many suicide bombings take place inside Israel borders, etc. ISRAEL AND ONLY ISRAEL WILL BE UNILATERALLY AND UNCONDITIONALLY BLAMED FOR EVERYTHING. Muslim PC > Hezbollah is NOT Hizbollah is NOT Hezzbollah is NOT ... is NOT ...
is NOT ... ........................@ cells-orgs! JUS AS AMERICA IS FACING A MANIC, POWER-MAD GLOBAL ANTI-DEMOCRACY MOVEMENT AND WAR, SO ALSO IS ISRAEL AND AMER'S ME-MUSLIM DEMO ALLIES FACING A REGIONAL ANTI-DEMOCRACY MOVEMENT AND WAR. America's own US DemoLeft > Clintonian America is a [LEFTIST]SOCIALIST NATION THAT IS BEING LED, vv DUBYA, BY THE SSSSSSSSSHHHHHHHHHH "WRONG KIND/BRAND" OF GOVT-CENTRIC NATIONAL SOCIALISM OR NATIONAL GOVERNMENTISM-ABSOLUTISM.
Posted by JosephMendiola 2006-07-24 00:16||   2006-07-24 00:16|| Front Page Top

00:35 Azad
00:16 JosephMendiola
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