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2011-05-01 China-Japan-Koreas

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Posted by Uncle Phester 2011-05-01 10:57|| || Front Page|| [1 views ] Top

#1 ...Bottom line here: Clearly the Taiwanese are going to cross a big bright red line if they produce and deploy these birds. But it is also clear that they have decided that it will be better to go down swinging at their enemies across the water than wait for help from America that will probably never come.

Mike

Posted by Mike Kozlowski 2011-05-01 18:09|| 2011-05-01 18:09|| Front Page Top

#2 Agree - TAIWAN as a "breakout" = major staging base into WESTPAC, etc. PACOAS is more important to Rising China strategic interests than Hainan or the South China Seas as per dominating + breaking the "First Island Chain".

IMO the day after Taiwan formally declares that it will manufacture + deploy potent quantities of these new Missles [ + follow-on improved versions, other] will be the day PLA AIRBORNE FORCES, SPECOPS DROP OUT OF THE SKY ONTO TAIWAN IN MASS COMBINED-ARMS ATTACK - CHINA WILL HAVE TO INVADE + QUICKLY CONQUER TAIWAN IRREGARDLESS OF THE LEVEL OF CASUALTIES THE PLA SUFFERS, AS SUPPOR BY WARNINGS AGZ THE US THAT IT RISKS FULL-SCALE NUCLEAR WAR = NUCWAR OF ANNIHILATION, MAD WID CHINA IFF TRIES TO INTERFERE IN "INTERNAL" SOVEREIGN CHIN AFFAIRS.

It won't matter iff the PLA suffers 100 or 1.0Milyuhn combar casualties.

Posted by JosephMendiola 2011-05-01 20:19|| 2011-05-01 20:19|| Front Page Top

#3 Mike, I am agreement with you in regards to Taiwan going down fighting. I have worked with these people previously, and they are not to be underestimated.

The timing's a bit odd though, given the current administration in Washington, I suspect that the likely hood for the U.S. to get tangled in a conflict between Taiwan and China is low, despite our agreement with Taiwan established during the Carter Administration. Our President and Administration, based on the Libyan experience, will likely debate any action by China for a week or more, check the polls, stick a finger in the wind and see which way it's blowing before committing U.S. troops.

I wonder if the Taiwanese know something, that the rest of us don't? This could bear watching.

Excellent post Uncle Phester.

Posted by Delphi 2011-05-01 20:26|| 2011-05-01 20:26|| Front Page Top

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