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2020-03-03 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Coronavirus round-up: 12,000 confirmed in Iran, only 125 new yesterday in China, and more

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Posted by trailing wife 2020-03-03 00:00|| || Front Page|| [13 views ] Top

#1 re the 12,000 tested positive in Iran

I'm presuming that for Iran (and maybe for the US eventually), the number of people infected but showing no symptoms is going to prevent us from knowing the real extent of this disease.

If this is also true for Hubai province, the fatality percentages only apply to people with symptoms. Given Hubai's population of 60 million and the probably spread of the virus in its early stages, a significant percentage, say 5%, of its population actually were infected. If so the actual fatality rate is about the same as the seasonal flu. Of course I've made a number of assumptions here and each of them could be wrong.

Posted by lord garth 2020-03-03 07:57|| 2020-03-03 07:57|| Front Page Top

#2 'You don't want to go to war with a president' top infectious disease expert claims but vows to tell the truth on coronavirus, asserting the outbreak is going to be 'bad' as Donald Trump prepares visit to NIH

Posted by Skidmark 2020-03-03 11:03|| 2020-03-03 11:03|| Front Page Top

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