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Today: 60 articles and 171 comments as of 7:27.
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Area: WoT Operations    WoT Background    Non-WoT        Politix   
Camps Discovered in Russia House Thousands of Ukrainians Forcibly Removed From Homeland
Today's Headlines
Headline Comments [Views]
Page 4: Opinion
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3 14:26 M. Murcek [10] 
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2 22:55 trailing wife [5] 
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5 19:12 Rex Mundi [8] 
5 15:34 Besoeker [3] 
14 21:46 Frank G [3] 
7 19:17 Rex Mundi [3] 
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14 19:31 trailing wife [11] 
3 05:13 Besoeker [2] 
1 07:10 Procopius2k [5] 
8 10:59 swksvolFF [5] 
Page 1: WoT Operations
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11 16:22 DarthVader [3]
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1 14:24 Rob Crawford [2]
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Page 6: Politix
6 21:55 DarthVader [4]
15 23:58 Fat Bob Johnson7002 [4]
1 14:02 Glenmore [5]
7 17:20 Mullah Richard [8]
-Great Cultural Revolution
The Inhumanity of Compulsory Virus Control
A taste:
[BrownstoneInstitute] In the last week, some of the top spokespeople for lockdowns, and all that is associated with that policy of pathogenic control, have come out to defend them plus threatening more now that we are seeing seasonal increases in cases.

It’s almost as if they have learned nothing.

They certainly haven’t admitted error – Bill Gates will never do that – despite all the carnage all around us. It includes not only destroyed businesses and educational losses but also inflation, goods shortages, weakened financial markets, broken supply chains, social and political conflict, and countless broken lives.

All of this traces to lockdowns, a policy advocated and enforced by specific people, mostly powerful and highly paid intellectuals, and amplified by the media.

They say that no one could have known. Not so. Drs. Bhattacharya, Kulldorff, Gupta, Atlas, Tenenbaum, Risch, McCullough, Urso, Dara, Wolf, Oskoui, Ladapo and other contrarians such as Jeffrey Tucker, Ivor Cummings, and Paul Joseph Watson, and many other writers at Brownstone, were right on the devastation and failures of COVID lockdowns.

We wrote nearly two years now clamoring against the devastation that would come from societal lockdowns and school closures. We wrote extensively on the ineffectiveness of masks (references 1, 2, 3, 4) and the accrued harms, especially for children, yet were ridiculed and dismissed by the media and the medical establishment. We reported on the catastrophic effects of COVID lockdowns on children, yet were dismissed and canceled.

We felt that it was lockdown lunacy when we could have used an age-risk stratified ‘focused’ protection approach (Great Barrington Declaration), with strong protections of the vulnerable high-risk in our societies first, while allowing the rest of the lower-risk healthy and well in society (younger persons) to live largely normal lives with unfettered tampering by governments. We even added the need for vitamin D supplementation, body weight control, and the use of early outpatient treatment, but were scoffed at and dismissed as heretics. We were ridiculed, slandered, and smeared, despite evidence of the vicious societal costs from lockdowns and the near 500 studies and pieces of evidence that show the failures and harms from lockdowns and school closures.

It was stupefying to us skeptics and contrarians as to why governments, whose primary roles are to protect their citizens, were taking such draconian and punitive actions despite the compelling evidence (that was available and accumulated one month after the pandemic onset) that the restrictive policies were misdirected and very harmful; causing palpable harm to human welfare on so many levels. It was tantamount to insanity what governments did to their populations and largely based on no scientific footing.
Posted by: DooDahMan || 05/11/2022 12:25 || Comments || Link || [10 views] Top|| File under:

#1  And between increased demand due to deferred treatment and decreased supply due to early retirements it now takes 6 months for get most non-emergency medical care around here. Thanks, Covideers.
Posted by: Glenmore || 05/11/2022 14:11 Comments || Top||

#2  My body, my choice....
Posted by: 49 Pan || 05/11/2022 14:15 Comments || Top||

#3  It works about as well as gun control. The True Believers just don't get it.
Posted by: M. Murcek || 05/11/2022 14:26 Comments || Top||


-Short Attention Span Theater-
David Attenborough style voiceover parody of Russian tanks destroyed in Ukraine
[TWITTER]
Posted by: DarthVader || 05/11/2022 15:29 || Comments || Link || [2 views] Top|| File under:


Stick a fork in Meghan and Harry — these royal Kardashians are done
[NYPOST] Every time I think Prince Harry
couldn’t possibly make himself look more cringeworthy, up he pops to prove me spectacularly, eye-rollingly wrong.The renegade royal’s latest howler is a laugh-out-loud tourism commercial he’s made for New Zealand television to promote his sustainable eco-travel nonprofit organization, Travalyst.

Sadly, the laughter was once again at him, not with him.

Wearing a "Girl Dad" T-shirt, Harry is seen jogging through the woods before he’s stopped by eco-tourist "rating agents" and berated about a lollipop wrapper he supposedly dropped there during a 2018 royal tour trip with wife Meghan, but praised for turning off running tap water while he brushes his teeth.

That revelation prompted a bewildered Harry to exclaim: "How do you know that? That’s really weird."

Because, of course, he’s such a private guy and that’s secret personal information that could only be known if he’d turned into a Kardashian with 24/7 cameras recording his every ablution and tooth-cleansing.

Oh, wait, he has!

Harry and Meghan have become the royal Kardashians, only a slightly trashier version if that was even possible: a pair of shameless chancers whose only thought each day is how to fleece and exploit their royal titles ever more cynically, while simultaneously trashing the royal family and monarchy to which they owe their status — and playing the downtrodden, oppressed victims from their $11 million Caliphornia, an impregnable bastion of the Democratic Party, mansion.

The hypocrisy in everything they do is breathtaking, and never better illustrated than with Harry’s latest preaching about "sustainable eco-travel."

He loves self-righteously barking at us all about the urgent need to save the planet by reducing our carbon footprint, as he uses private jets like we use taxis.

Just as he and Meghan pleaded for us to think about poverty on Twitter on the very same day she was throwing a $500,000 baby shower in New York (and hopping back to London on George Clooney’s plane).

But it’s their constant bleating about privacy that most sticks in the craw given their decision to accept a reported $115 million payment from Netflix to trail around after them with cameras, capturing their most "private" moments for the delectation of the public.



Posted by: Fred || 05/11/2022 00:00 || Comments || Link || [11 views] Top|| File under:

#1  At least the Kardashian's know they are whores.
Posted by: One Eyed Tsar || 05/11/2022 6:41 Comments || Top||

#2  Wanna bet nobody is as hard on a carpetbagger than a Hollywierd lib?
Posted by: M. Murcek || 05/11/2022 8:37 Comments || Top||

#3  The media really thinks we give a shit about these 2 .
Posted by: Chris || 05/11/2022 8:52 Comments || Top||

#4  "praised for turning off running tap water while he brushes his teeth."
Is New Zealand running out of water? Running water goes into the ocean and returns to the water cycle. I've never understood the environmentalists concern over this.
Posted by: ruprecht || 05/11/2022 10:29 Comments || Top||

#5  You'd think leftists would love waste of drinking water. It ups the opportunities for terrorists to poison it.
Posted by: M. Murcek || 05/11/2022 10:33 Comments || Top||

#6  The sooner these idiots fade into obscurity the better.
Posted by: DarthVader || 05/11/2022 11:02 Comments || Top||

#7  Oh, I do hope eco-travel is when they go visit live volcanoes.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 11:16 Comments || Top||

#8  What idiot in Netflix paid them that kind of money?
If that's the case everybody should dump their shares in NetFlix!
Posted by: 3dc || 05/11/2022 13:20 Comments || Top||

#9  #3 The media really thinks we give a shit about these 2 .

We, the great unwashed, the hoi polloi, need to be reminded of why we must look up to our betters and hang on to every utterance that comes out of their perfect mouths.
Posted by: AlmostAnonymous5839 || 05/11/2022 13:24 Comments || Top||

#10  NetFlix is a laundry mat for elitist influencers.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 13:25 Comments || Top||

#11  She was a D-List actress on USA network's "Suits"
Posted by: Frank G || 05/11/2022 14:26 Comments || Top||

#12  It's really too bad about Harry. I used to admire him - he was in combat in Afghanistan, and then became an attach helicopter pilot. Sure he was a little wild - but if you're good looking, filthy rich, and a royal - who wouldn't be?
Then Meghan got ahold of him.
Posted by: Rambler in Virginia || 05/11/2022 16:25 Comments || Top||

#13  As its been said, it ain't the first time a soldier ruined his life by marrying a stripper.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 17:31 Comments || Top||

#14  There’s at least one in every generation of the British royal family. In the previous generation it was Prince Andrew. When Queen Victoria was merely the princess royal it was all of the royal dukes, as I recall.
Posted by: trailing wife || 05/11/2022 19:31 Comments || Top||


Afghanistan
Starving and veiled
[Dawn] "MUSLIM women are not worried," according to a spokesperson of Afghanistan’s Ministry of Virtue and Prevention of Vice. This characterisation of Moslem women’s feelings stems from the new rules issued by the Taliban
...Arabic for students...
regime on Saturday mandating a face covering for all Afghan women. Afghan women must now wear the burqa that covers them entirely, with only their eyes exposed, or they can wear an abaya, along with a hijab, and a face veil.

The Taliban’s latest edict on the burqa could be a last-ditch effort to create a controversy and get some international attention.
Warnings will be issued to the male guardians of those who do not comply, after which they could face jail time if their women relations still refuse to submit to the Taliban’s diktat. Women babus government employees not wearing the face covering would be sacked, while male employees with women family members who defied the injunction would be suspended from their jobs, if they actually have one.
Continued on Page 49
Posted by: trailing wife || 05/11/2022 01:53 || Comments || Link || [8 views] Top|| File under: Taliban/IEA

#1  Help me out Mr DeMille, I should be feeling exactly what again?
Posted by: Cesare || 05/11/2022 7:59 Comments || Top||

#2  Well...could have been about public school students in California.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 11:08 Comments || Top||

#3  Thinking we should've armed the Afghan wymyns with sharp daggers before we left
Posted by: Frank G || 05/11/2022 12:30 Comments || Top||

#4  But the money was from NGOs who wanted Duchamp as Western Civ, Gay Poetry Slam, and 1 man + 1 woman = 57 genders.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 13:22 Comments || Top||

#5  Norms restored!
Posted by: Rex Mundi || 05/11/2022 19:12 Comments || Top||


Africa Subsaharan
Fact Check: NYT's ‘Unhinged' Hit on Tucker Carlson for Claiming White Farmers Targeted in South Africa
[Breitbart] CLAIM: Tucker Carlson’s claim that white South African farmers are being singled out is a "far-right" conspiracy theory.

VERDICT: MOSTLY FALSE. While Carlson exaggerated, the New York Times’ attempted debunking is simply wrong.

In 2018, Tucker Carlson devoted a segment of his show on Fox News to reporting on the murders of white farmers in South Africa. Some of his reporting was alarmist, but the underlying problem is a real one, as many South Africans acknowledge.

Carlson’s report provoked then-President Donald Trump to tweet in response, creating one of his customary news cycles, with establishment media outlets accusing Carlson of fanning the flames of racial outrage. But as Breitbart News reported at the time, Julius Malema, the head of South Africa’s radical Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), responded that Trump was right about his intention, and that of others in South Africa, to expropriate land without compensation from white farmers.

There are essentially two land issues in South Africa. One concerns the restitution of land seized from black South Africans under apartheid. The other concerns the unequal racial distribution of land overall, including land owned by white farmers.

These two issues have been handled separately. While few black South Africans have shown an active interest in becoming commercial farmers, the unequal distribution of land remains a political flashpoint and a reminder of lingering inequalities.
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 00:11 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under:

#1  There are essentially two land issues in South Africa. One concerns the restitution of land seized from black South Africans under apartheid. The other concerns the unequal racial distribution of land overall, including land owned by white farmers.

A false issue supporting a desired outcome.

The problem goes far beyond land and property ownership. Notice how politics, the courts, education, employment, and the military are conveniently not mentioned. Sound at all familiar ?
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 0:24 Comments || Top||

#2  White farmers are bailing with the expectation of their farms and equipment being seized without compensation. Once the farms are seized they are redistributed to family members of people in power without regard to farming experience. Food production usually ceases on those farms. With the engineered food shortage on the horizon the most likely forecast is dead people - a lot of them.
Posted by: Super Hose || 05/11/2022 10:42 Comments || Top||

#3  Evolving back into Bad Luck™. As Francisco D'Anconia said in Atlas Shrugged, "You asked for it, brother..."
Posted by: M. Murcek || 05/11/2022 10:58 Comments || Top||

#4  I found it very interesting there as absolutely no follow-up to those riots.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 13:43 Comments || Top||

#5  Ref #4: Sort of like Portland and Seattle then ?
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 15:34 Comments || Top||


Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
The Former PRC Ambassador to Ukraine Gao Yusheng: The Dynamics of the Russian-Ukrainian War and the Implications for the International Order
[gaodawei] In a now-censored [article], Gao Yusheng, former PRC Ambassador to the Ukraine, explains why Russia is losing the war in Ukraine and the effect that may have on the international order.
Posted by: KBK || 05/11/2022 10:25 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under: Commies


Lend Lease 2.0 - Will it be Ukraine's 'Arsenal of Democracy?'
[YouTube] Lend-lease was one of the pivotal factors in the second world war. It was a mechanism by which the United States shipped tremendous quantities of everything from boots to bullets in order to keep Britain, the USSR, and the other allies in the fight.

On May 9th, President Biden signed an Act bearing the lend-lease name into law, taking on the authority to loan defence articles (that's a fancy way of saying militarily useful stuff) to Ukraine.

Journalists across the internet have been quick to herald the Act as a game changer, one which will fundamentally transforms the flow of assistance to Kyiv.

I'm not so sure.

In this video, I look at what the modern lend-lease Act actually does, assess its significance, and then focus on some of the lesser known, and altogether less dramatic mechanisms that are being used to authorize the ever growing flow of US money and weapons supporting Ukraine.
Great breakdown of the American aid packages to Ukraine
Posted by: DarthVader || 05/11/2022 09:31 || Comments || Link || [5 views] Top|| File under:

#1  An arsenal but not a democracy ….
They leave the dead bodies to leave the ukrainian families with ‘missing in action’, therefore unable these families to grieve the dead and overall in order not to pay the families for the ‘dead heroes’. That is the ukrainian way, canon folder for the fools and billions of dollars for the corrupted. Slava corrupted mafia state of Ukraine.
This is democracy for you Skidmark
Posted by: Acapulco Joe || 05/11/2022 22:28 Comments || Top||

#2  Eh? The article was posted by DarthVader, an entirely different gentleman.
Posted by: trailing wife || 05/11/2022 22:55 Comments || Top||


Peter Zeihan: Russian Oligarchs and Putin's Future
[YouTube] How do we get to a world without Russian President Vladimir Putin?

The reality is that there's no easy path to get there, despite what some US Senators or leaders within the European Union might want. There has been a near constant stream of chatter from elected officials, talking heads, and regular citizens asking why (or, in some cases, pleading) Russia's cabal of oligarchs don't simply... eliminate Putin from the equation.

I'll save you from the messier details of how some plans would go, but history is rife with examples of palace coups that remove this or that blundering leader. Russia is not likely to be one of those places.

For one, Russia's oligarchs derive their legitimacy and ability to operate (read: plunder) directly from Putin. Oligarchs may have their own relatively small patronage systems, but they don't have the support of the Russian people. Which brings us to a more important point: the Russian military, intelligence services, and Russian people are still largely supportive of Putin.

While this may change, this is something we can't gloss over. There is still considerable institutional support around Putin. And while less critical, there is the very important fact that the current stock of oligarchs range from inept, to incredibly corrupt, to cowardly, to reviled. And these are their good points.

Whatever Putin is, he's not stupid. And none of the individuals he handpicked to develop (read: plunder) the Russian state's industries and resources was someone who could one day mount a reasonable challenge to his authority.

Attached Video
Posted by: DarthVader || 05/11/2022 09:08 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under:


Putin's Troops Finally Realize They've Been Hung Out to Dry
[Daily Beast] Nearly three months after Vladimir Putin unleashed his "special military operation" against Ukraine and a day after his less-than-triumphant Victory Day speech, a series of intercepted phone calls and radio traffic suggest the "idiocy" of his war is finally becoming too much to bear for even his own troops.

In perhaps the most dramatic audio to emerge, Russian crew members onboard a Raptor-class landing assault boat near Snake Island in the Black Sea appear to have been caught in radio transmissions desperately lamenting their lack of air support as Ukrainian forces bombarded them from an armed Bayraktar drone.

The audio, released on Telegram by the investigative news outlet InformNapalm, purportedly comes from open radio traffic during battles in the Black Sea that took place over the weekend, when Ukraine’s military said it had destroyed three "enemy" boats that subsequently wound up "on the bottom of the sea."

"Where is air support? Where is air support?" a man, identified as a Russian crew member, can be heard saying frantically amid what sounds like sirens in the background.

"This Bayraktar is already pissing me the fuck off," the man says, before apparently becoming more desperate as he says, "They have fired a fourth missile at us! A fourth missile!"

Despite the man’s pleas, the Russian service member on the other end simply promises to "pass along" the information to military leadership. It was not immediately clear if the man in the recording was on any of the three boats that Ukrainian authorities say they sank.

But the frustration in the recording has been echoed in other intercepted communications that purportedly capture Russian service members serving in other parts of Ukraine.

Ukraine’s Security Service released a minute-long recording Tuesday that it said was an intercepted phone call between a Russian soldier based in the Kharkiv region and his father back home. The soldier could not hold back his anger at his own commander, who he claimed had abandoned the fight to let the men in his unit serve as cannon fodder.

"They’re standing there, they’re under fire, and the commander just goes, ’Don’t back down!’ While he’s somewhere sitting on a couch, drinking, probably," the young man says.

"They can fuck off with this war," the soldier’s father replies, unleashing a stream of curse words over the "idiocy" of the war and the propaganda shown on Russian state TV.

"I can’t wrap my head around it," he says, adding, "They tell us every morning on TV about these new weapons that all of Ukraine supposedly saw and got scared of."

Advising his son to refuse to take part in the war any further, he rails against the "worthless rat" and "fucking scum" of a commander before the conversation ends.

Courtesy of Skidmark:
Russian troops kill themselves to avoid facing the horrors of Putin's war: Captured soldier says young fighters 'cannot cope mentally' and are shooting themselves
[Daily Mail, where America gets its news]
  • Andrey Ushakov, 20, said Russians are shooting themselves to escape the war

  • The captured soldier knows two soldiers who killed themselves in Ukraine

  • Others are deliberately shooting themselves to go home injured, he said
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 00:00 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Odd, no trolls on this one.
Posted by: Skidmark || 05/11/2022 9:03 Comments || Top||

#2  They're OK with the Daily Beast. It's only the Daily Mail that they object to. Finicky bastards.
Posted by: Matt || 05/11/2022 9:33 Comments || Top||

#3  Morale is far worse in our own military. Hit piece is all this is.
Posted by: Dale || 05/11/2022 12:31 Comments || Top||

#4  ‘Where is air support?’ Pretty much a universal complaint.
Posted by: Glenmore || 05/11/2022 13:57 Comments || Top||

#5  Hit piece? That's a lame objection.
Posted by: Rob Crawford || 05/11/2022 14:21 Comments || Top||

#6  Actually…the finicky bastards are laughing at this crap
Just show how desperate rantburg owners or contributors are.
Pathetic.
Posted by: Acapulco Joe || 05/11/2022 15:06 Comments || Top||

#7  So, Joe, why do you care? Just in it for a ruble or two?
Posted by: Matt || 05/11/2022 16:01 Comments || Top||

#8  Just come here for the laughs
Posted by: Acapulco Joe || 05/11/2022 16:29 Comments || Top||

#9  Come for the laughs, stay for the poetry! And maybe some actual analysis...
Posted by: SteveS || 05/11/2022 18:20 Comments || Top||

#10  The key to guarantee not dying in combat is to kill yourself.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 18:26 Comments || Top||

#11  ^#5 my comment was not a hit piece but real world contacts with several active and retired military. Some with 20 year experience. They mentioned some actively seeking dishonorable discharge to escape these woke services. I don't need to make this up. It is hard enough to believe as it actually is.
Posted by: Dale || 05/11/2022 18:36 Comments || Top||

#12  Just show how desperate rantburg owners or contributors are.

Yes. Long-time Commenter. First-time reader.
Posted by: Frank G || 05/11/2022 21:22 Comments || Top||

#13  Just show how desperate rantburg owners or contributors are. Pathetic.

Posted by: badanov || 05/11/2022 21:38 Comments || Top||

#14  Nice
Posted by: Frank G || 05/11/2022 21:46 Comments || Top||


The Weakness of Russian VDV Airborne Force Structure
Posted by: DarthVader || 05/11/2022 00:00 || Comments || Link || [4 views] Top|| File under:


Technical Reflections on Russia’s Armoured Fighting Vehicles
The following is a technical analysis of Russian tanks by a British military think tank
[RUSI] The war in Ukraine does not reveal anything fundamentally new about the tank. It confirms old lessons and reflects the challenges of armoured warfare.

Some of the very first images to emerge from the war in Ukraine, apart from the devastation caused by Russia’s long-range missile strikes, were of burning Russian armoured vehicles. As the conflict has progressed, these images have come to include some of the more advanced tanks in Russia’s arsenal: the T-80BVM and T-72B3M. Images of these tanks left as nothing more than burnt hulls, their turrets separated from the rest of the vehicle and thrown violently into a nearby ditch, may appear shocking. They give the impression that Ukraine has found the antidote to tank warfare. However, if we consider the design of Russian main battle tanks – and this also applies to the Ukrainian, Polish, Chinese, Indian and many other tank fleets – these images are both less shocking, and less useful in analysing Russian armour.
Read the rest at the link
Posted by: badanov || 05/11/2022 00:00 || Comments || Link || [2 views] Top|| File under:

#1  A fine readable commentary for layman such as myself. T-72s etc not deathtraps if used properly.
Posted by: borgboy || 05/11/2022 0:55 Comments || Top||

#2  It is a nice "layman's first overview" article. A thing to consider is that the Soviet perspective from WW2 was that armor is massed for the attack and engagement ranges typically were 250 meters or less. Many of the T-72's design features exemplify this focus.
Posted by: magpie || 05/11/2022 1:51 Comments || Top||

#3  /\ Yes, obviously 'side shot' vulnerability is greatly decreased when the mass attack (on line assault) is employed. Channeling armor, single-file through city streets (urban warfare) or down paved highways thus exposing sides is deadly. Adding to this vulnerability are new families of highly effective Anti Tank Missiles such as the Lockheed Martin Javelin and British NLAW Anti-tank weapon.

The Ukraine army has also used anti-tank mines very effectively to enforce the channeling of tanks and trucks into established Anti-tank missile kill zones.

While this vintage Russian T-34 tank on-line attack graphic does not depict screening infantry, dismounted infantry would have likely been used to destroy or expose anti-tank teams. The extended ranges and accuracy of the newer anti-armor weapons makes screening by infantry very costly and labor intense.

As magpie stated in #2, weapons systems and tactics have changes since WWII. It would appear Russian systems and tactics have not kept up with current warfighting tactics and technologies.

Supporting Bus Insider story and video follows:

Business Insider - Downed Russian fighter jets are being found with basic GPS 'taped to the dashboards,' UK defense minister says
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 5:13 Comments || Top||


Mobilization in Russia and Ukraine. Questions of the real potential of the parties.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military blogger tailor_war

Link to the article via Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin

Some of the translations are confused and sometimes flat wrong, so I have tried to correct it as best I could.

[SchneiderKrieg] May 10th, 7:56
I didn't write yesterday. Yesterday was a Great holiday, and therefore did not hammer this bright day with his tedious reflections.

All - with the past!

Actually, the essence of this post:

• There is often a delusion on the Internet that in Ukraine, 150,000 Russian and Donetsk-Luhansk troops are fighting with 600,000 Ukrainian forces. At the same time, there is no mobilization in Russia, as a fact.

Strictly speaking, it is not. In particular, the number of only land "active bayonets" from our side and the total number (including civilian personnel) from Ukraine are compared.

• It is also necessary to assess the scale of mobilization in Russia and Ukraine today, to compare the actual potential.

So:

1. UKRAINE:

By the beginning of the NMD, its troops numbered 209,000 people in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 102 thousand - the defense, up to 120-130,000 (in total) - NSU, GPSU, Special Communications, Special Transport Service, etc. On the circle - 430-444,0000 people.

It is worth noting that this value included civilian personnel (up to 100,000 people). That is, in general, everyone.

Until April 2022, inclusive, three waves of mobilization - for 60,000, 6,000 and 70,000 people - 190,000 people were called up (officially). At the same time, the losses of Ukrainian troops today amount to at least 40-50,000 military personnel (killed, wounded and captured). They also have a high percentage of desertion: at least 20-30,000 people.

That is, according to the results of the mob events, they had up to 550.000 people in the ranks. Including, it is worth repeating again, all. Including numerous rather civilian personnel.

In addition, from May 15, a fourth wave of mobilization is expected, with the help of which it is planned to clean up, according to various sources, another 70 to 100,000 unlucky people (in total, mobilization will affect 260-290 thousand people by the summer). According to the results, there will be up to 620-650,000 people in the ranks. In general, everyone.

Of these, active bayonets (that is, those who directly conduct combat operations) will amount to 150,000 people (25 percent). Including more or less trained active bayonets as part of well-coordinated units - 60-70,000 people (10 percent).

As it was in Russia during the Civil War. Especially at the final stage, when 100,000 of the five million Red Army actually fought, being transferred from front to front.

Accordingly, a high percentage of losses for them, especially among "active bayonets", is fraught with a loss of combat capability.

2. RUSSIA (with LDNR):

Covert mobilization in Russia began, according to some sources, at the beginning of the year. By January 30, at least 85,000 reservists ("partisans") were called up for training. Reservists were also announced in February. A recruitment of contract soldiers to the troops and PMCs was carried out. Starting from mid-April, according to some sources, at least 60,000 people were recruited.

In total, according to certain estimates, up to 200-250,000 people were mobilized today, without the LDNR (quite comparable to Ukraine).

Your obedient servant at one time assumed that Russia needed a million fighters for the campaign in Ukraine. Without mobilization at home, subject to mobilization in the LDNR (which we consider), it was possible for us to field up to 700-800,000 people. Considering everyone in general (as in the case of Ukraine, a single method of calculation is needed).

I'll expand on the thesis. By the time the NWO began, Russia had concentrated 190-200,000 people on the borders with Ukraine, according to Western estimates. Including mobilized reservists.

The rear - the same civilian personnel, because much was transferred to outsourcing - amounted to 170-200,000 people. This, it seems, is without the potential of the Aerospace Forces and the Navy: another 70-80,000 people per circle (without rears). The National Guard numbered up to 60-70,000 people (without rears), LDNR (after mobilization) - at least 100,000 (together with rears). Plus the border troops of the FSB.

For a circle, all this amounted - together with the rear and civilian personnel, of course - the notorious 700-800,000 people. Don't be put off by this huge value. The number of "active bayonets" among these significant digital expressions did not really exceed 120-150,000 people (half - LDNR).

Additional covert mobilization from February to May, and the accompanying growth in the rear, turned out to be able to bring the number of Russian and LDNR forces on the border to almost a million people. At the same time, the number of "active bayonets" is unlikely to have grown significantly: no more than 150-200,000 people today.

It should be noted that today growth is in the line of building up the capacity of existing OShS (organizational staff structures). Presumably, it may include the following successive stages (thanks to https://maximlubyanov.livejournal.com/ for the tip):

• Increase in the number of people in the departments (from 6-7 to 11-13 people), the introduction of the fourth department in platoons. It is capable of leading, taking into account the shortage that took place by the beginning of the SVO, to no less than doubling the number of "active bayonets" (that is, by 150,000 people compared to the initial values);

• Introduction of the fourth platoon into companies (taking into account the previous stage, the number of companies is increased to 200-250 people). Able to give another 70-80,000 people (only active bayonets);

• The introduction of the fourth company into the battalion (growth of the battalion to 1000 people), the disbandment of the BTG (withdrawal of artillery and tanks back to regimental-brigade-divisional subordination), the introduction of the third battalion (meaning, directly operating forces on the theater of operations). Able to give another 70-80,000 people. At the same time, brigades again become brigades (for 5-6,000 people), divisions - divisions (depending on the composition of the division - 15-25,000 people).

Taking into account the recruitment of civilian personnel and others, it seems possible, after passing through the indicated stages, to increase the potential of the RF Armed Forces to 1.5 million people. Including 400-500,000 - active bayonets.

Taking into account the estimated potential for creating an army of Greater Novorossiya of half a million people, it is seen the possibility of forming a two-million-strong detachment of forces from Russia for operations in Ukraine. More than enough, given the existing balance of power.

True, given the pace, this is probably good if by the fall.

A reader responds to the remark about the disbandment of the Battalion Tactical Group (BTG):

I already expressed ideas at the VIF that the management of artillery, air defense systems and UAVs should be centralized at the army level in order to organize the ROC to combat artillery, air defense and enemy control centers (for which you need to lay down communications everywhere, and not just near line of contact).
ROC is a mistranslation for line of contact, or possibly forward line our troops (FLOT)
https://vif2ne.org/nvk/forum/0/co/2992748.htm
https://vif2ne.org/nvk/forum/0/co/2992801.htm
https://vif2ne.org/nvk/forum/ 0/co/2992841.htm

Second:
In fact, we have very different BTGs.

Airborne Forces and DShV - Nonas or D-30 - limited range, little artillery itself, weak means of artillery reconnaissance.
Nona is the 2S9 armored 120mm tracked mortar vehicle
Marines also have weak artillery, probably a platoon rather than an artillery control battery, and weak artillery reconnaissance capabilities.
Motorized rifle brigades - according to the division of 152mm artillery on the BTG - towed or self propelled, often modernized with a short reaction time and capable of operating according to the maneuver-fire scheme, also counting on the BTG a lot of air defense means are the most powerful guys.

Divisions
Since we had formed armored personnel carriers in peacetime long before, then:

In divisions we had BTR units with an attachment of regimental self propelled 122mm and a BTR unit with an attachment from an artillery regiment.

And AAA weapons, which are not many times more than in brigades, smeared as a thin layer on 5-6 BTGs.

In reality, it is very likely that the artillery regiments of the divisions are not pulled apart by the motorized rifle units, but act independently.

UAV is also very uneven.

In divisions (MSD VDD DSHD), probably a UAV company (where available) of 6-8-9 operators per division - for 5-6 armored infantry units.

In brigades (where available), probably the same UAV company of 6-8-9 operators for 2 armored infantry units.

Total: a combined hodgepodge of very different BTG strengths.

All this will also apply to regiments/brigades if they are not pulled apart by the BTGr.

Conclusion: at the army level, it is necessary to redistribute artillery and reconnaissance equipment not only in order to organize counter-battery combat in the operational direction, but also in order to equalize the combat capabilities of the existing armored infantry units, regiments or divisions.

Next.
We traditionally have a weak battalion command and control unit, both in terms of the number of officers and their status and level.

The role of the battalion link in civilian life is crushed: from above everything is driven by a lump. From below, the company steers all the life and combat training of grassroots units.

It is difficult for independent battalion commanders to appear in such a system.

This leads to the fact that the control of a reinforced battalion (regardless of whether it operates as part of a brigade / regiment or in isolation as a BTG) needs to be strengthened by pulling units to this control.

That is, if we want to put full-fledged, albeit two-battalion, regiments and brigades on the battlefield, we need to strengthen their command and control.

That is, IMHO, to raise retirees to the service.

Why so many letters:
1) regiments and brigades instead of armored personnel carriers - needed
2) regiments and brigades, if wisely, are needed with UAV companies and artillery expropriated to the army with its AIR, and then given back down from the army in some other composition for the task
3) so as not to pull the entire command staff of regiments and brigades for BTG it needs to be strengthened, preferably by sensible retirees - IMHO

In short, this is not done with one order - a set of measures is needed.

Posted by: badanov || 05/11/2022 00:00 || Comments || Link || [5 views] Top|| File under:

#1  What isn't addressed - wartime material production (to include outside sources), something needed in any sustained operation.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 05/11/2022 7:10 Comments || Top||


'I like it so much, mum': Russian brags about using '21 roses' FSB torture method to his mother... who says she would have 'liked it too'
[Daily Mail, where America gets its news]
  • The soldier was identified as Konstantin Solovyov of Russian 11th Army Corps

  • He told his mother of barbaric torture methods used on Ukrainian civilians

  • Their phonecall was intercepted by the intelligence arm of Ukraine's MoD

  • The pair laughed as Solovyov recounted skin-crawling incidents of torture

  • WARNING: Graphic content
Posted by: Skidmark || 05/11/2022 00:00 || Comments || Link || [5 views] Top|| File under:

#1  More MI6 bullshit planted in the UK gutter tabloid press.

Why is Fred allowing idiots to link to this obvious disinformation effort?
Posted by: Glagum Clock4923 || 05/11/2022 6:44 Comments || Top||

#2  More MI6 bullshit planted in the UK gutter tabloid press.

Why is Fred allowing idiots to link to this obvious disinformation effort?


Doubts about the story are why it was placed under opinion.
Posted by: badanov || 05/11/2022 7:32 Comments || Top||

#3  Dear "Clock". He allows you, doesn't he?
Posted by: Mercutio || 05/11/2022 8:16 Comments || Top||

#4  Why is Fred allowing idiots to link to this obvious disinformation effort?

Heck he allows the posting time to time of birdcage liner quality material from the NYT aka Pravda on the Hudson and WP aka Izvestia on the Potomac. Readers are allowed to adjudge the quality or lack thereof in materials and sources.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 05/11/2022 8:26 Comments || Top||

#5  Get the feeling sometimes that our overseas trolls reveal their nature by being unfamiliar with basic Americana - like all the sensationalist tabloids that stack the checkout counter at the local supermarket.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 05/11/2022 8:31 Comments || Top||

#6  Because the Soviet Union Russia has such a proud tradition of unbiased truthy news
Posted by: Frank G || 05/11/2022 8:41 Comments || Top||

#7  Not at all certain our troll brigade is all overseas based. Of course D.C. and Northern Va. could rightly be considered foreign territory.
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 9:40 Comments || Top||

#8  Why is Fred allowing idiots to link to this obvious disinformation effort?

Careful there Mighty Casey; you are the one to miss pointing out Elenskyy is wearing the same jacket in the two still shots as in the first video.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 05/11/2022 10:59 Comments || Top||


Europe
Are Finland and Sweden going from neutral to Nato?
[BBC] Finland and Sweden could apply for Nato membership within days - a monumental shift for two nations with a long history of wartime neutrality and staying out of military alliances.

Russia strongly opposes the two states joining and uses the expansion of the West's defensive military alliance as a pretext for its war in Ukraine.

Doing so would end over 200 years of Swedish non-alignment. Finland adopted neutrality following a bitter defeat by the Soviet Union during World War Two.

Finnish public support for joining Nato was for years at around 20-25%. But since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, it has shot up to a record high of 76%, according to the latest opinion poll. In Sweden, 57% of the population want to join, again far higher than before the war.
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 00:00 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Hmmm. Remember when NATO member Turkey wouldn't let the US overfly their airspace to get to Iraq?
Posted by: M. Murcek || 05/11/2022 10:19 Comments || Top||

#2  Kyllä. Ja.
Posted by: European Conservative || 05/11/2022 11:04 Comments || Top||

#3  NorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization ... of course Finland and Sweden qualify for membership because ... well just because!
Posted by: irish rage boy || 05/11/2022 13:32 Comments || Top||

#4  Finland and Sweden will joint a military and political partnership with England as a face safe
They will not be able to join NATO
Posted by: Acapulco Joe || 05/11/2022 16:34 Comments || Top||

#5  They will not be able to join NATO

NATO is the only thing standing between Western Europe and the mighty Soviet Army streaming thru the Fulda Gap. NATO and the fact that the Soviet Union doesn't exist anymore.
Posted by: SteveS || 05/11/2022 18:24 Comments || Top||

#6  Good to see you back again EC. How is the Summer in our beloved Bavaria shaping up ?

~<(:-)
Posted by: Besoeker || 05/11/2022 19:01 Comments || Top||

#7  Finland, perhaps. But Sweden? Hell no...and HELL NO!
Posted by: Rex Mundi || 05/11/2022 19:17 Comments || Top||



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Two weeks of WOT
Wed 2022-05-11
  Camps Discovered in Russia House Thousands of Ukrainians Forcibly Removed From Homeland
Tue 2022-05-10
  Sri Lanka PM quits as violence kills 3, injures 150
Mon 2022-05-09
  At least 11 Egyptian soldiers killed in armed attack in Sinai
Sun 2022-05-08
  Islamic Emirate Announces Rules for Women’s Covering
Sat 2022-05-07
  Taiwan’s air force scrambled to warn away 18 Chinese aircraft that entered its air defense zone
Fri 2022-05-06
  Russia's Admiral Makarov warship 'on fire after being hit by Ukrainian missile'
Thu 2022-05-05
  ISWAP Terrorists Kill Three In Borno As @UN Chief Visits Maiduguri
Wed 2022-05-04
  Oil depot on fire in occupied Makiivka
Tue 2022-05-03
  Russian Army’s Chief Of Staff Wounded In Ukraine, Other Officers Feared Killed
Mon 2022-05-02
  Russia's offensive along a broad front in Ukraine’s east has been stalling
Sun 2022-05-01
  Russia will quit the International Space Station due to economic sanctions over war in Ukraine
Sat 2022-04-30
  Nigerian Troops Killed ISWAP Commander, Dan-Buduma, Over 100 Other Terrorists
Fri 2022-04-29
  Russian Military Attacks Ukrainian Capital During UN Secretary-General's Visit
Thu 2022-04-28
  Antifa Riot in France Following Macron Victory
Wed 2022-04-27
  Putin meets UN Secretary-General in Moscow, denies hostilities in Mariupol, atrocities in Bucha


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