#2
By taking Ridkodub, the Russian escape line from Lyman to the north is cut off. Now they have to cross the Kherberets river to the east to get out. Lyman is effectively in a pocket.
Ukrainians took Petropavlika (near Kupiansk). Only one town, Novoselivske, on H-26 highway to Svatove. Still a long ride of 50km.
#3
The Ukrainians are on the outskirts of Novoliubivka. They take that north-south road to the east and that will shift the major supply lines 14km to the next road east. Adds a lot of driving time for the Russian trucks.
[Twitter] Sabotage and assault reconnaissance group "Rusich" posted on their Telegram channel an instruction for "recycling the Ukrainian POWs". I translated it in full as it is quite informative
[Kyiv Independent] Russia being Ukraine’s top military donor is not just a meme. By sheer number of vehicles, Russia’s contribution is impressive. Since the large-scale invasion began, Ukraine has captured 392 Russian tanks, 178 armored fighting vehicles, 421 infantry fighting vehicles, and 400 trucks, vehicles, and jeeps, according to the open-source investigative project Oryx. Ukraine also got many different support, command, artillery, and anti-aircraft vehicles. Because Oryx only publishes visually confirmed data, those numbers mayare actually be higher.
The Kharkiv counteroffensive forms a significant percentage, with 563 vehicles reported captured in the country since Aug. 29. Click here to see a visual breakdown of all the equipment captured in this time period, compiled by data scientist Ragnar Gudmundsson.
According to combined daily lists by Oryx, from Sept. 1 to 23, Ukrainians captured over 100 tanks, close to 200 infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, over 20 command & control vehicles, and dozens of artillery pieces. Close to 100 trucks and jeeps were also taken, along with some more specialized vehicles.
Oryx’s lists include the combined totals for the whole country. But Jakub Janovsky, a military analyst and member of the Oryx team, who compiles these lists, said that 75-80% of these were captured in Kharkiv.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Vesti] September 26 is the 215th day of the war between Russia and Ukraine. Briefly about the main thing that happened in the country on that day, about the situation in the regions, the exchange of prisoners, as well as all the relevant information from key departments - online Vesti.ua .
7:00 a.m. The main thing from the morning summary of the General Staff:
During the day, the Russian Federation launched 5 missile and 12 air strikes, more than 83 shelling with MLRS, used 4 strike UAVs to strike civilian infrastructure. More than 40 settlements were affected.
The defense forces repelled Russian attacks in the areas of the settlements of Disputed, Soledar, Mayorsk, Bakhmut, Podgorodnoye, Vyemka, Kurdyumovka, Zaitsevo, Novomikhailovka, Pervomayskoye, Kamenka, Pobeda and Pavlovka.
Aviation of the Defense Forces of Ukraine carried out 33 strikes. The defeat of 25 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment and 8 positions of anti-aircraft missile systems was confirmed.
During the day, missile forces and artillery hit 6 command posts, 12 areas of concentration of manpower and equipment, 2 positions of anti-aircraft missile systems, 3 missile and artillery units, 6 ammunition depots, as well as 9 separate important targets.
"Partial mobilization" continues on the territory of the Russian Federation. The Rostov region is closed for entry and exit. Persons who are not at the place of registration, through relatives, were ordered to appear within three days.
8:00 a.m. Zaporozhye region . At night, Zaporozhye was subjected to a missile strike . Residential buildings, an educational institution, a healthcare institution and a garage cooperative were damaged.
Dnipropetrovsk region . 9 times the Russians hit the MLRS and heavy artillery on the Nikopol, Marganets, Krasnogrigorevsky and Mir communities . About 130 shells flew into cities and villages. Nikopol was hit three times - about 40 houses, more than 20 outbuildings, cars, 30 panels of a solar station, a transformer substation and power lines were damaged. The houses of almost 3,000 families have been de-energized. There were no casualties.
Odessa region . Two kamikaze drones attacked a military infrastructure facility (large-scale fire and detonation of ammunition). Another was destroyed by air defense forces. The evacuation of the civilian population was organized. Initially, there were no casualties.
8:30 am . Donetsk region . Three people were killed in the shelling of the Russians, and 11 more people were injured.
9:30 a.m. Nikolaev region . As a result of missile attacks on an industrial zone in the vicinity of Nikolaev, windows, roofs and doors in buildings were damaged, and a warehouse was partially destroyed.
10:00 a.m. The Armed Forces of Ukraine successfully crossed the Oskol River east of Izyum and, most likely, took control of the village of Malievka, located on the administrative border of the Donetsk region, ISW reports.
10:40 am . The "referendum" in the Zaporizhia region allegedly took place. RosSMI write that the turnout of "voters" has exceeded 50%.
12:30 pm Kiev . President Volodymyr Zelensky held a regular meeting of the Headquarters of the Supreme Commander . Among the main issues, decisions were made on the active actions of the defense forces in order to further liberate the territory of Ukraine. During the meeting, the participants dwelled separately on the use of new types of weapons by the enemy and outlined plans to counter such weapons. The state of providing the troops with weapons and ammunition was analyzed. The President noted the importance of promptly providing high-precision weapons and all the necessary forces that are actively moving forward.
13:30 . Zaporozhye region . The IAEA has begun negotiations on the creation of a nuclear safety zone at the ZNPP.
14:40 . Kharkov region . A missile attack on a civilian infrastructure facility in Pervomaiskoye is reported . 2 private houses were completely destroyed. A 15 year old girl died .
15:30 . Donetsk region . Explosions are reported in Slavyansk.
19:37 . Advisor to the head of the President's Office Mykhailo Podolyak said that Ukraine does not intend to carry out additional mobilization due to the announcement of "partial mobilization" in Russia.
20:08 . Russian soldiers shelled Kramatorsk, Donetsk region. As a result, 4 people were injured, one of them is in serious condition.
20:38 . Reuters writes that the United States of America has previously agreed on the allocation of a new financial assistance package to Ukraine in the amount of $12 billion.
21:29 . An explosion was heard in Odessa, Suspilna reports. At the same time, an air alert was not announced in the Odessa region. So far, there is no official information about the causes of the explosion.
22:34 . The local publication "Dumskaya" reported the downing of drones over the sea and on Tairova Street in Odessa. Later, another powerful explosion rocked the city. Media reports about the downing of another Iranian drone.
22:54. Russian troops hit the Krivoy Rog airport in the Dnipropetrovsk region with a rocket, it was destroyed. No people were hurt on impact.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 23:37 Odessa was again attacked by three kamikaze drones, all of them were destroyed by air defense forces, OK Pivden reported.
23:05 Zelensky said in an evening video message that the situation is now especially acute in the Donetsk region: "We are doing everything to contain hostile activity. It is there that our number one goal is now, since Donbass is still the number one goal for the occupiers ... Permanent Russian offensive attempts in Donbass will surely go down in history as one of the most cynical killings of their own soldiers.When we see this, when we see these offensives, we are once again convinced that Russian mobilization is a frank attempt to give commanders on the ground a constant stream of cannon fodder. There is simply no other point in Russian mobilization. They felt that they would lose, and they are simply trying to delay this moment, to ensure at least some activity at the front, to put at least someone with a weapon in their hands instead of the dead."
22:58 Podolyak said in a commentary to the UP that the issue of additional mobilization in Ukraine will depend on the situation at the front and on what effect the mobilization will have in Russia.
22:41 Today, a project to create a special international tribunal to punish Russia for the crime of aggression against Ukraine was presented to the ambassadors of 30 states, Zelensky said in an evening address: "The difficulty of attracting Russia for this crime is that the existing international legal instruments are not enough. We need it special international tribunal. And we are working on this project in great detail, very carefully. I have no doubt that there will be a tribunal. There will be responsibility for everyone who unleashed this criminal war against Ukraine and freedom in Europe."
22:34 The Russians attacked Krivoy Rog - they hit the airport with an X-59 missile. Its infrastructure has been destroyed, further use of the airfield and equipment is impossible. People were not injured, said the head of the Dnepropetrovsk OVA, Valentin Reznichenko. Earlier today, Ukrainian air defense shot down an enemy missile over the region.
22:13 The Ukrainian army is provided with winter uniforms, Deputy Defense Minister Anna Malyar said: “Now the topic of providing winter clothing is developing very similarly in social networks, as it was with bulletproof vests at one time. There are already 135,000 of them in stock. and stock. The situation is the same with winter clothing."
21:56 The United States is ready to give Russia "serious economic costs" in the event of the annexation of Ukrainian territories, said White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre. According to her, Washington will never recognize the territory annexed by Russia as "anything but part of Ukraine," and the "referendums" themselves are "a flagrant violation of international law."
“We will continue to work with our allies and partners to hold Russia accountable and support Ukraine for as long as it takes... We are ready to impose additional, rapid and severe economic costs on Russia, together with our allies and partners, in response to these actions, which we we are currently seeing if they move towards annexation," Jean-Pierre assured.
21:38 The United States at this stage does not see signs of the preparation of the Russian Federation for the use of nuclear weapons, said White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre.
20:47 The Russians fired at Marganets of the Dnepropetrovsk region today, as a result of which three people received shrapnel wounds, said the head of the regional council Nikolai Lukashuk. Nikopol, Zelenodolsk and Apostolovsk communities were also shelled, no one was injured.
20:34 The mayor of Slavyansk Vadim Lyakh reported on the shelling of the city: Botanicheskaya, Shevchenko and Barvenkovskaya streets were damaged.
20:22 The United States has previously agreed on the allocation of a new financial assistance package to Ukraine in the amount of $ 12 billion, writes Reuters.
19:45 The Armed Forces of Ukraine repelled enemy attacks in the areas of the settlements of Disputed, Soledar, Podgorodnoye, Bakhmut, Mayorsk, Kamenka, Pobeda, Pavlovka, the General Staff said in the evening report .
19:30 In Italy, the pro-Ukrainian government of technocrat Mario Draghi is being replaced by far-right Putin fans. About what to expect for Ukraine - in the material Old Russophiles .
19:22 After Putin announced the mobilization, military commissariats and administration buildings began to be set on fire throughout Russia, and there were big protests in Dagestan. Read more in the material Fires and Murders .
19:14 Podolyak, in an interview with the German ARD TV channel, said that Ukraine does not plan to announce additional mobilization: "We have already created reserves through the territorial defense system and will actively use these reserves. We do not plan to announce additional mobilization today. We have everything, and we ready for more Russian military."
19:10 The Russians fired at the center of Kramatorsk today: four people were injured, high-rise buildings and a square were damaged, the mayor of the city Alexander Goncharenko said.
19:08 "The head of the administration" of the occupied part of the Zaporozhye region, Yevhen Balitsky, announced the formation of a "battalion named after Pavel Sudoplatov" from the inhabitants of the region. According to him, the "battalion" is formed from volunteers and after the "entry" of the region into the Russian Federation will go to the front as a division of the Russian army.
19:06 Viktor Sobolev, a member of the Russian State Duma Committee on Defense, said that the mobilization will soon be completed and all regions will announce "the successful completion of these events." According to him, after the mobilization stage, the training of those who were called up will begin, depending on the specialization, it will take from 20 to 30 days.
18:53 Turkey is in favor of organizing a meeting between Putin and Zelensky in the very near future, Erdogan said. According to him, Ankara continues the dialogue with both Moscow and Kyiv, and has achieved significant success in the diplomatic sphere. As an example, the Turkish president cited the grain deal and the exchange of prisoners.
18:49 Russian media write that Ukrainian troops allegedly launched a missile attack on a "civil ferry berth" across the Dnieper in the center of Kherson, killing at least one person.
18:25 Great Britain has expanded sanctions against the Russian Federation. The new sanctions list includes collaborators from the Zaporozhye region and Mariupol, as well as the Russian State Sign, top managers of Sberbank, Gazprombank, Sovcombank and others.
18:19 Russian propagandists were given a manual on how to explain mobilization to Russians. Propaganda should convey to people that the invasion of Ukraine is a "people's war with NATO," writes Meduza, which has read the "document." The training manual states that NATO intends to "dismember and rob" Russia, and "Russian people are being killed with NATO weapons by NATO mercenaries and terrorists of the Kyiv regime."
"The West forbade Kyiv to negotiate with Russia. NATO intelligence collects data on the territory of Russia in order to order Ukraine to transfer hostilities to Russia," the methodology states.
17:51 Aksyonov said that after the "entry" of the occupied territories of Ukraine into the Russian Federation, Russia will no longer conduct a "special military operation", but a "counter-terrorist operation" on "its" territories.
17:32 The invaders fired at Kupyansk today, the building of the church school and the store were damaged, one person was injured, the State Emergency Service of the Kharkiv region reports.
17:00 In Crimea, more than 2,000 former Ukrainian soldiers who live on the territory of the peninsula were mobilized into the Russian army, said Vyacheslav Rodionov, deputy commander of the Black Sea Fleet.
16:58 Zaluzhny told Time magazine that the current war with Russia is not the last: "Knowing what I know firsthand about the Russians, our victory will not be final ... Our victory will allow us to take a breath and prepare for the next war."
16:51 Zaluzhny told Time magazine that on the eve of February 24, troops with equipment were withdrawn from their permanent deployment points, where the enemy then launched the first missile and bomb strikes on the morning of a full-scale invasion: “You can’t confuse the smell of war, and it was already in the air. I I was afraid that we would lose the element of surprise. We needed the enemy to think that we were all stationed in our usual bases, smoking weed, watching TV and pissing on Facebook."
16:39 Poland will call for exclusion of Russia from the IAEA if it does not withdraw its troops from the territory of the ZNPP, Anna Moscow, Minister of Climate and Environment, said.
16:28 Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said that Putin, at talks with Erdogan, "declared the possibility of returning to negotiations with Kiev, but on new conditions that have appeared."
16:23 Lithuania has delivered 50 M113 armored personnel carriers to Ukraine, and when considering further military support, it is necessary to consult with NATO allies, Defense Minister Arvydas Anusauskas said: "Just three days ago, our armored vehicles that we sent reached Ukraine, and now this country has received 50 armored personnel carriers M113".
Lithuania is considering further possible support for Ukraine in consultation with NATO partners, as the country is also concerned with the security of military personnel stationed in Lithuania.
16:12 The United States is allocating $457.5 million in new aid to Ukraine for the work of law enforcement agencies, Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said.
15:41 Iranian kamikaze drones Shahed-131 contain processors manufactured by the American company Texas Instruments. The corresponding study was published by the Office of Strategic Communications of the Office of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Shahed-131 drones are a previous version of the Shahed-136, the drones that the Russians have been using to attack Odessa and Mykolaiv in recent days. Both versions have a similar principle of operation. Most likely, they are also maximally unified in terms of the main components, primarily electronics.
15:12 A 15-year-old girl died as a result of a missile strike in Pervomaisky, Kharkiv region. Critical infrastructure was damaged, two private houses were completely destroyed, Oleg Sinegubov, head of the OVA, said.
14:59 In the village of Cossack Lopan in the Kharkiv region, the invaders fired on people who were waiting for the issuance of humanitarian aid, two people were injured, the National Guard reported.
14:44 Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said that there are no changes in Russia's approach to the issue of the possibility of using nuclear weapons, and the United States, according to him, should "cool down" and stop "pumping up the situation, bringing it closer to a dangerous line." He also stressed that Russia is counting on continuing dialogue with the United States on the START treaty and hopes that in contacts with Washington it will be possible to maintain at least some elements of the arms control architecture.
14:17 In the Kharkiv region, a missile attack was carried out on Pervomaisky, Mayor Nikolai Baksheev said. Civilian infrastructure suffered.
13:48 No mobilization is planned in Belarus like the one announced in Russia, Lukashenka said. Back in mid-September, the Kremlin also assured that there would be no mobilization, and Lukashenka himself repeatedly promised that nothing threatened Ukraine from his side. At the same time, he ordered to start preparing the defense of Belarus according to wartime norms, and on September 26 he met with Putin in Sochi to "discuss a large number of problems." About what to expect from Minsk - in the material Will Lukashenka Enter the War .
13:01 In Ryazan, at the central bus station, one of the mobilized people set himself on fire, local media write. Eyewitnesses of the incident told reporters that the man did not want to go to war in Ukraine.
12:52 After the liberation of the occupied territories of the Kharkiv region, almost 10,000 people were evacuated from the region, Vereshchuk said: "If we talk about the number of those who are evacuated from the Kharkiv region, it has increased over the past week, that is, from the beginning, when the lands of the Kharkiv region were liberated, "Almost 10,000 people were evacuated, including almost a thousand children. Now people should not return, especially in the Chkalovskaya and Malinovskaya communities. Don't rush, it's still dangerous there."
12:43 About 1.5 million citizens cannot return to Ukraine from Russia, most of them women and children, Deputy Prime Minister for European and Euro-Atlantic Integration Olga Stefanishyna said on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. According to her, relatives cannot establish contact with them.
12:30 Moldova plans to revoke the citizenship of the inhabitants of the country who will participate in the war against Ukraine, President Maia Sandu said: "There is a risk of mobilization of Moldovan citizens in the eastern regions of Moldova [Transnistria]. We are considering the possibility of revoking citizenship from citizens who have only citizenship Moldova and will act in the military conflict on the side of the aggressor."
12:24 Zelensky held a regular meeting of the Headquarters of the Supreme Commander. Among other things, the state of providing the troops with weapons and ammunition was analyzed. The President stressed the importance of promptly providing precision weapons and all the necessary forces that are actively moving forward, the OP said.
12:18 The speaker of the command of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Yuriy Ignat said that the Russians have reduced the number of missile attacks on Ukraine in recent days, but have begun to attack more often with Iranian kamikaze drones. Drones have already attacked Kharkiv region, Odessa region and Mykolaiv region. The Armed Forces of Ukraine shoot them down with all available methods, but study the most effective one. The enemy took into account the shortcomings and uses new tactics.
12:13 The Kremlin plans to carry out massive cyber attacks on critical infrastructure facilities of Ukrainian enterprises and critical infrastructure institutions of Ukraine's allies. According to the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, first of all, the blow will be aimed at enterprises in the energy industry. By doing this, the enemy will try to increase the effect of missile strikes on power supply facilities, primarily in the eastern and southern regions of Ukraine. The occupying command is convinced that this will slow down the offensive actions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces. The Kremlin also intends to increase the intensity of DDoS attacks on the critical infrastructure of Ukraine's closest allies, primarily Poland and the Baltic countries.
11:49 The head of the IAEA, Rafael Grossi, said that negotiations have started on the creation of a security zone around the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, they will continue this week.
11:43 Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said that Erdogan plans to hold talks with Putin and Zelensky. He also stated that Turkey does not recognize the results of "referendums" in the occupied territories of Ukraine.
11:37 Oppositional Russian media write, citing a number of sources, that on Friday, September 30, Putin will deliver a message to the federal assembly, during which he will announce the annexation of the occupied Ukrainian territories. MPs and senators have already been required to take tests for coronavirus.
11:34 Zelensky yesterday in an interview with CBS said that Ukraine received NASAMS air defense systems, but today Presidential Speaker Sergei Nikiforov clarified that the head of state said that we have so far received only consent to supply these air defense systems.
11:16 The SBU discovered another torture chamber - this time in the recently liberated village of Liptsy, Kharkiv region. The torture room, which the invaders called the "basement", was equipped in the room where the so-called "people's militia of the LPR" was located. According to the SBU, the invaders used severe torture on the prisoners, after which they were forcibly taken to the territory of the Russian Federation.
11:09 The occupiers staged a "performance" near the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, passing off the invited mass activists as the personnel of the nuclear power plant. According to Energoatom, a large group of men in civilian clothes waited for the end of the shift at the station and mingled with its personnel leaving after work. On the way, the mummers handed out "interviews" to the pro-Russian propaganda media and proclaimed words of support for Russia and the "referendum", after which they went to the bus in which the "vote" was held and filled out the ballots indicatively.
10:36 Belarus should participate in the final agreements between Russia and Ukraine, said Foreign Minister Vladimir Makei. According to him, Minsk needs its own security guarantees after the end of the conflict: “It’s not that we want to bargain for something. We want to understand that if some agreements are made, we would like to understand what is at stake what guarantees each of the parties receives, and we would like to have some kind of guarantees for Belarus as well, this is absolutely natural."
10:01 This morning Russians fired at Nikolaev. According to preliminary information, rocket strikes were carried out on an industrial zone in the vicinity of the city, the premises were damaged, Mayor Alexander Senkevich said.
09:47 Kazakhstan does not recognize the results of "referenda" in the occupied Ukrainian territories. The official representative of the country's Foreign Ministry, Aibek Smadiyarov, said that his country proceeds from the principles of the territorial integrity of states, "and their global coexistence." He also stated that Kazakhstan shows "an active desire to establish a dialogue between the parties to the conflict, Russia and Ukraine."
09:25 British intelligence reports that the Russian armed forces conduct initial training of soldiers at a low level and immediately within the units, and not in special educational institutions, and many of those called up had no combat experience for several years. The lack of military instructors and the haste with which Russia began mobilizing suggests that many of the drafted troops will go to the front lines with minimal appropriate training. They are likely to suffer from high levels of attrition, analysts say.
It is also common for one battalion within each RF brigade to remain garrisoned while the other two are deployed. But the Russian Federation now often sends reserve battalions also to Ukraine. Intelligence predicts administrative and logistical problems in the Russian Federation related to the training of troops.
09:22 Japan has banned the import of goods related to chemical weapons to Russia, said Cabinet Secretary General Hirokazu Matsuno. Japan has also added 21 Russian entities, such as a scientific laboratory, to the list of export bans.
09:19 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy on the morning of September 26th. The enemy suffered the greatest losses in the Kramatorsk and Donetsk directions.
personnel - about 57,200 (+500) people liquidated,
tanks - 2290 (+15),
armored combat vehicles - 4857 (+25),
artillery systems - 1369 (+1),
MLRS - 330 (+2),
air defense systems - 172 (+1),
aircraft - 260 (+1),
helicopters - 224 (+4),
UAV operational-tactical level - 970 (+4),
cruise missiles - 241 (+0),
ships/boats - 15 (+0) units,
automotive equipment and tankers - 3711 (+10),
special equipment - 131 (+1).
08:59 In Russian Ust-Ilimsk, Irkutsk region, a mobilized man born in 1998 fired several shots at the military commissar. Previously, the head of the draft board was killed, there are wounded, the shooter was detained, local publics write.
08:52 The Russians fired at the Nikopol region from MLRS and heavy artillery all night, the head of the Dnepropetrovsk Regional Military District, Valentin Reznichenko, said. Previously, no people were hurt.
08:38 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, three civilians were killed - two in Avdiivka and one in Bakhmut. Another 11 people were injured, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.
08:01 Today, the enemy launched a missile attack on Zaporozhye and on a village in the Zaporozhye region. According to preliminary information, there were no casualties. Infrastructure facilities were damaged, fires broke out, said Alexander Starukh, head of the OVA.
07:40 Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces repelled enemy attacks in the areas of the settlements of Disputed, Soledar, Mayorsk, Bakhmut, Podgorodnoye, Vyemka, Kurdyumovka, Zaitsevo, Novomikhailovka, Pervomayskoye, Kamenka, Pobeda and Pavlovka, the General Staff said in the morning report .
07:16 At night, the enemy attacked the Odessa region with kamikaze drones, OK Pivden reported. One drone was destroyed by air defense forces, two hit a military infrastructure facility. As a result of a large-scale fire and detonation of ammunition, the evacuation of the civilian population was organized. There are no casualties, rescuers are on the job.
04:53 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) notes that Putin has made no effort to prepare the Russian population for war and mobilization. Thus, Russian officials and Kremlin spokesmen ridiculed the idea of invading Ukraine until the very beginning of the invasion. Putin stubbornly continued to call the invasion a "special military operation" rather than a war, and did not create information conditions in Russia to prepare the population for mobilization.
Putin's information blunders in this matter are especially important, since there are no Ukrainian or NATO troops on Russian soil, and there is no threat of an invasion of the Russian hinterland. It is not 1812, 1914 or 1941, and the factors that helped mobilize the population in previous Russian wars are simply not present in this war of aggression, no matter how Putin presents it to his people, analysts say.
In addition, the Russian armed forces have not created the conditions for effective large-scale mobilization since at least 2008 and have not created the reserve forces necessary for instant mobilization. There are no quick fixes for these problems. The mobilization process will be ugly, the quality of the reservists will be low, and their motivation to fight will probably be even worse. At the same time, ISW acknowledges that the system is well-established so that military commissars and other Russian officials can find people and send them to training units and then to war.
The problems undermining Putin's efforts to mobilize Russians are so deep and fundamental that he will not be able to solve them in the coming months, and possibly years. This mobilization will not affect the course of the war in 2022 and likely will not affect Russia's ability to maintain the current level of effort in 2023.
02:22 The United States has a plan in case Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, Blinken said. According to him, Washington has come into direct contact with Moscow about the Kremlin's nuclear threats. The US Secretary of State also said that the world will never recognize the "LPR", "DPR", Kherson and Zaporozhye regions as part of Russia, and Ukraine has the right to return them.
Kindly note that several entries in this article were removed because they included discussions of the grand strategic level.
[NewsFrontInfo] 22:35 Kryvyi Rih airfield hit by X-59 cruise missile - head of Dnepropetrovsk Regional Military District 19:40 US biolaboratories in Ukraine. Ministry of Defense of Russia granted documents stating that experiments with pathogens of deadly infections were carried out in them. Potentially, they could be used as biological weapons.
19:24 Destruction of the infantry of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kiselevka south of the Nikolaev-Snigirevka highway. Mortarmen of the 108th Guards Air Assault Regiment continue to methodically process the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Nikolaev-Snigirevka highway.
Since the beginning of spring, Ukrainian formations have created a powerful fortified area along the right bank of the Belozerka River : the settlements of Belozerka - Pervomayskoye - Kvitnoye - Kiselevka are equipped with a system of long-term firing points.
Mortar paratroopers destroyed the observation post and worked on the accumulation of personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the northern outskirts of Kiselevka.
19:10 The Armed Forces of Ukraine launched a missile attack on the pier of a civilian crossing across the Dnieper in the center of Kherson, at least one person died, five were injured.
18:58 As a result of a missile attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, one person was killed, five were injured on the embankment in the center of Kherson.
17:08 Fuel trucks were destroyed in the Izmail district of the Odessa region. Earlier it was reported about the activity of Russian UAVs over the area.
15:20 The United States announced the allocation of new assistance to Ukraine in the amount of $457.5 million for the work of law enforcement agencies.
14:35 In the Kharkiv region, powerful arrivals at the facilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
13:10 Another violator of public order forcibly left Zaporozhye region.
12:02 The head of the IAEA: negotiations have started on the creation of a "security zone" around the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, they will continue this week.
12:01 AFU fired at the holiday village "Volna" in the immediate vicinity of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant - the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.
11:58 Report of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation on the progress of the special military operation on the territory of Ukraine as of September 26, 2022. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue a special military operation.
▪️As a result of a massive fire strike on the deployment points of the 14th Mechanized and 95th Air Assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the areas of the settlements of SENKOVO and CHERVONY OSKOL of the Kharkiv region, the enemy’s losses amounted to more than 120 servicemen killed and wounded, 15 pieces of military equipment.
▪️Up to 50 militants, 10 units of military equipment and more than 2,000 artillery shells were destroyed by a high-precision strike on the point of temporary deployment of the 406th Artillery Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the city of OCHAKOV, Mykolaiv region .
▪️During the day, Russian air defense systems shot down 13 unmanned aerial vehicles in the areas of the settlements of BOBROVIY KUT , ZELENY GAY, UKRAINKA , SADOK , NOVAYA KAHOVKA , MAKSIMA GORKY of the Kherson region, MOLOCHANSK of the Zaporozhye region, SELIDOV and KIRILLOVKA of the Donetsk People's Republic.
▪️In total , since the beginning of the special military operation , the following have been destroyed: 302 aircraft, 155 helicopters, 2,087 unmanned aerial vehicles, 377 anti-aircraft missile systems, 5,114 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 845 combat vehicles of multiple launch rocket systems, 3,417 field artillery guns and mortars, as well as 5,904 units of special military vehicles.
▪️The Kiev regime continues its provocations in the area of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine fired at the Volna holiday village , located in close proximity to the nuclear power plant.
In total, 25 shells were fired from areas controlled by the Kiev regime in the settlements of Nikopol and MARGANETS in the Dnipropetrovsk region.
The enemy firepower was suppressed by Russian artillery return fire.
09:42 The situation on the fronts of the Kherson region: the Ukronazis could not advance a single meter or even a single centimeter of the territories liberated from Nazism.
09:40 An explosion sounded in the center of Melitopol, the authorities report.
09:12 Last night, after meeting with the Geran-2 kamikaze drone, an ammunition depot in Odessa took off.
08:03 Destruction of a BMP of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by a Russian helicopter with the help of the Izdeliye-305 LMUR, the combat vehicle was hit on a pontoon crossing. Presumably, Kherson region.
08:01 RaHDIt ("Evil Russian hackers") posted in the public domain the data of more than 1,500 employees of the SVR of Ukraine, working under the guise of embassies.
There are more than 20 countries on the list:
▪️anti-Russian-minded USA, France, Italy, Germany, Poland and others
▪️as well as states with a more restrained position on NWO, including Azerbaijan, Argentina, Hungary, Greece, Iraq, South Africa, and Tajikistan.
In addition, the data of Ukrainian intelligence officers in the offices of the UN, the European Union and NATO have been posted.
And more than 40 locations for units of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, including one secret educational institution, RIA Novosti reports.
#1
IF Russia's military had decent leadership and training, it could have been a powerful force, as it is, it's nothing but a murder machine for innocents:
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited
[NewsFrontInfo] On the operational lines of the JCCC DPR for September 26, received additional information on damage as a result of shelling of the VFU cities of the Republic:
n.p. Gorlovka:
Central city district:
As of 23:00, the total number of civilian casualties from AFU attacks for September 26, 2022 is five people . The information continues to flow.
As of today, as of 23:00, the enemy fired 141 units of ammunition of various types, including artillery with a caliber 155mm and 152mm.
Information about the consequences of shelling continues to arrive.
21:33 On the operational lines of the DPR JCCC for September 26, received additional information on damage as a result of shelling of the VFU cities of the Republic:
Donetsk (Kuibyshevsky and Kivsky districts):
de-energized26 transformer substations, without power supply of 4,000 subscribers and 150 subscribers in the Kiev region.
n.p. Makeevka (Chervonogvardei district):
- st. Sbezhneva, 23 "a" - the gas pipeline is damaged.
Information about the consequences of shelling continues to arrive.
18:25 VFU wounded a civilian in Horlivka
Ukrainian militants fired on the Tsentralnogorodsky district of Gorlovka. On st. Gagarin, a woman born in 1951 was wounded.
18:00 Additional (https://t.me/DNR_SCKK/10782) information on civilian casualties in the cities of the Republic was received on the operational lines of the DNR JCCC for September 26:
n.p. Gorlovka (Tsentralno-Gorodskoy district):
- a woman born in 1951 was wounded.
Additional information was received about damage as a result of the shelling of the VFU cities of the Republic:
17:55 The situation in the Soledarsky direction at 17.00 September 26, 2022:
-- "PMC Wagner" entered Otradovka from the east and cut off the southern side of the settlement from the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In parallel with this, the assault on a large stronghold on the Artemovsk-Mayorsk highway, located west of Nikolaevka, continues.
-- In Zaitsevo, the Wagner troops took up positions along the entire southern outskirts and advanced deep into the private sector in the southeastern part of the settlement. Also, the Wagner PMC fighters continue to move from the Donbasskaya substation with the aim of subsequently attacking the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the east of Zaitsevo with two converging strikes.
-- Detachments of the "Wagnerites" continue to develop the offensive towards the Soledar-Bakhmut (Artemovsk) highway from the southern outskirts of Bakhmutskoye.
-- The successful actions of the Wagner PMC in the Soledar direction are part of the plan to reach Bakhmut from the south, east and north for a further one-time assault on the city from several directions. This will avoid unnecessary losses and speed up the liberation of a strategically important settlement.
17:33 The central city district of Gorlovka was fired upon by the enemy! Peaceful resident, born in 1951 was injured on the street. Gagarin.
15:10 Shelling was recorded from the side of the VFU in the direction: n.p. Dyleevka - n.p. Gorlovka (Kalinin district): 5 rounds fired with a caliber of 155 m
13:00 Shelling was recorded from the side of the VFU in the direction:
-- n.p. Dyleevka - n.p. Zaitsevo: six rounds of 152mm caliber were fired.
12:33 According to the official data of the DPR JCCC since the beginning of the escalation* as of 12:30 09/26/22
During the 221 days of the escalation, 448 civilians were killed, incl.22 children.
Complete data on the dead civilians in the territory liberated during the NWO are being established.
On the territory within the borders before the start of the NMD, 1909 civilians received injuries of varying severity, including. 135 children.
A total of 71 cases of undermining civilians have already been registered, incl. two children, on PFM-1 mines"Petal". One of the injured died in the hospital.
On the territory liberated during the NMD, 1582 civilians were injured, incl. 90 children.
Total: 3,491 including children - 225.
Damage:
— 7,657 residential buildings;
— 1,695 civil infrastructure facilities, including 94 medical institutions, 336 educational institutions, 639 social security facilities, 46 critical infrastructure facilities, 580 electricity, water, heat and gas supply facilities.
- 796 vehicles.
At the moment, it is impossible to establish for certain the data on damage and destruction of residential housing constructions and civil infrastructure facilities in the territory liberated during the NWO.
During the 221 days of the escalation of the DPR JCCC, 10,063 cases of firing were recorded, of which 9,732 were using heavy weapons.
In total, the enemy fired 74,159 ammunition of various calibers, including 32 missiles from the OTRK"Point-U", 21 rockets MLRS "Himars", 248 MLRS missiles BM-27 "Hurricane"and 10,504 MLRS missiles BM-21 "Grad", as well as 8,609 rounds from caliber 155mm.
12:21 Kyiv district of Donetsk under fire of VFU
Ukrainian militants from positions in Orlovka continue indiscriminate fire on residential areas of Donetsk. NATO artillery of 155mm caliber is used against civilians.
12:20 In the Petrovsky district of Donetsk at the intersection of st. Petrovsky and st. Winners founddroppedVFU anti-personnel mines PFM-1 "Petal".
12:14 On the operational lines of the DPR JCCC for September 26, received additional information on damage as a result of shelling of the VFU cities of the Republic:
Donetsk:
Kyiv district:
- st. Krupskaya, 24 - a private residential building;
- st. Krupskaya, 26 - a private residential building, the gas pipeline was damaged;
- st. Rudanskogo, 40 - a private residential building.
Petrovsky district:
- as a result of shelling on the street. The winners are scattered PFM'Petal«.
Information about the consequences of shelling continues to arrive.
11:33 Shelling was recorded from the side of the VFU in the direction:
-- n.p. Orlovka - Donetsk (Kuibyshevsky district): three rounds of 155mm caliber were fired.
11:16 Shelling was recorded from the side of the VFU in the direction:
-- n.p. Kleshcheevka - n.p. Zaitsevo: four rounds of 152mm caliber were fired.
10:38 According to additional information, yesterday in the Petrovsky district a private house burned down as a result of shelling.
10:24 A civilian was wounded in the Kirovsky district of Donetsk
Ukrainian militants dropped prohibited anti-personnel mines PFM-1 "Lepestok" over the Kirovsky district of the city. On Semashko Avenue, a woman born in 1963 was wounded.
10:23 VFU wounded 2 children in Horlivka
Ukrainian militants launched an artillery strike on the Tsentralnogorodsky district of Horlivka. Two children born in 2009 and 2017 were wounded along Lenin Avenue.
09:50 Civilians and members of precinct commissions were not injured during the shelling of Rubizhne by the Ukrainian army - CEC LPR.
09:38 Shelling was recorded from the side of the VFU in the direction:
-- n.p. Karlovka - Donetsk (Kirov district): two rockets were fired from the BM-27 Uragan MLRS (equipped with anti-personnel mines PFM Lepestok).
09:32 It is reported that a woman was blown up on a mine-petal on Semashko in Donetsk.
09:18 As a result of the night shelling of the Kuibyshev region, two more private houses were damaged. Damaged power lines, gas pipe, glazing, fence, car.
09:05 Ukrainian Armed Forces fired on Monday the city of Rubizhnoye in the LPR from the American MLRS HIMARS - the representative office of the LPR in the JCCC.
08:55 Strikes were made on the Kalininsky and Kyiv regions. According to the JCCC, at 8:40 at Orlovka village were fired four rounds with a caliber of 155mm.
08:31 Eyewitnesses report shelling of the Kuibyshev region. Miner, Azotny, Lozovskoy, Grabari and others are in the risk zone. The information is being specified.
08:00 As a result of shelling by Ukrainian militants, destruction of the infrastructure of the Central City district of Gorlovka was recorded:
-- st. Stakhanov, 260 - the gas pipeline is on fire, rescuers left to eliminate the fire;
-- Lenin Ave., 130 - the glazing in the MBOU of Gorlovka "School No. 31 with the provision of preschool education" was damaged;
-- st. Krasnoshapki, 42 - the glazing of entrances and apartments was destroyed;
-- Lenin Ave., 197 - a pharmacy and a bus stop were damaged.
07:52 Shelling from the side of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was recorded in the following directions:
-- n.p. Krasnogorovka - n.p. Donetsk (Kirovskiy district): three rounds of 152mm caliber were fired.
-- n.p. Orlovka - n.p. Donetsk (Kyiv region): three rounds of 155mm caliber were fired.
-- n.p. Ozaryanovka - n.p. Golmovsky: fired five rounds with a caliber of 122mm.
-- n.p. Dzerzhinsk - n.p. Gorlovka (Central city district): six rounds of 155mm caliber were fired;
-- n.p. Orlovka - n.p. Donetsk (Kyiv region): four rounds of 155mm caliber were fired.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[REGNUM] First of all, the Russian Army needs technical specialists. This was stated on September 26 in an interview with IA REGNUM by a military observer, researcher at IMEMO RAS Ilya Kramnik .
"Based on observations, I can assume that these are complex technical specialties - tankers, artillerymen, communications specialists, intelligence specialists, etc. for military-technical intelligence. These are doctors and drivers, without whom the army, in principle, cannot live," the expert said.
The larger the army, the more will be needed, Kramnik believes. Expert™
Also, in his opinion, there is a great need for rear servicemen, who are little talked about, but they will need a lot of things, starting with provisions.
"If we assume that an adult man eats two kilograms of food per day, then a group of 300,000 people will require 600 tons of food per day. And that's just food! Some part of the mobilized specialists should be from the rear specialists, who will provide these 600 tons of food per day, not counting everything else," concluded the expert.
Recall that earlier, on September 21, 2022, the President of Russia promulgated a Decree on partial mobilization in Russia.
#2
Those specialist people? Not going to get by with some 43-year-old reservist conscript grabbed off the street and given 2 weeks of refresher training before dumping him into an unfamiliar unit in Ukraine as a replacement.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[REGNUM] About 400 people returned home, who were mistakenly called up as part of partial mobilization in Crimea, Viktor Fesenko , head of the service for mobilization work and territorial defense of the republic, said on Crimea 24 on September 26.
That’s comforting — in the bad old days the system would not have acknowledged the error, let alone made it right.
"Because they were brought, and they showed documents: they don’t pass by age."
On the first day, about 300 people were released from conscription as part of partial mobilization, on the second day - 12.
"That is, about 400 people were released from conscription for mobilization. Already on the ground - after their call," said Fesenko.
1. Partial mobilisation in large cities, especially soft in Moscow & Petersburg
2. Total mobilisation in remote rural regions, especially ethnic ones
We don't have hard data yet, this mobilisation may include elements of ethnic cleansing
Anecdotal evidence which yet needs to be confirmed suggests that the list of regions subject to total mobilisation may include Buryatiya, Sahalin, Magadan, etc. In other words, it seems to be disproportionately hitting the Far East
#2
In other words, it seems to be disproportionately hitting the Far East
It may not be wise to include folks in an unpopular callup that might have sympathy (or ties) to the population you're trying to repress.
Romans did the same thing with their legionnaires. The soldiers posted to a particular area of the empire were generally drawn from a far away province for the same reason.
#3
What I find interesting about the protests and mobilization screw-ups is not that they are happening, but that they are being openly reported on in Russian media. Seems a bit different from the Soviet days.
Commentary by Russian PMC Wagner founder Evgeniy Prigozin
[ColonelCassad] “Let's briefly go over the origins, as it was.
In 2014, when the genocide of the Russian population of Donbass began, when Russia jumped on the last steam locomotive and managed to block the arrival of the Ukrainian army in Crimea, I, like many other businessmen, went to the training grounds where the “Cossacks” gathered, and tried to squander money, for in order to recruit a group that will go and protect the Russians.
But I quickly realized that among all these “Cossacks” and other paramilitary comrades, half were swindlers, and half of those who took the money hired volunteers and sent them naked and barefoot to real death. Then I flew to one of the training grounds and did it myself. I myself cleaned the old weapons, figured out the bulletproof vests myself and found specialists who could help me with this. From that moment, on May 1, 2014, a group of patriots was born, which later acquired the name BTG "Wagner".
After that, for a long eight years, during which every curious journalist and every shameless bastard was poking around in the sweaty underwear of Wagner PMC in an attempt to find a negative. These brave guys, who knew only one thing - to fight, to protect the disadvantaged, to stand to the death on the side of good and justice, were always in a precarious position. They could not turn away from their favorite business, in which they were professionals of the highest level, and sit on the bench of the unemployed. So, from the commander of an assault unit, who every day catches bullets and fragments in his shabby bulletproof vest, you could go to the guards of some eccentric micro-oligarch, whose wife will force you to carry shopping bags.
I am proud that I managed to defend their right to protect the interests of their country. There were hard and very hard times, each dog tried to splash their saliva on them, and, as you know, on me, attributing all non-existent sins and sins.
And now the time of revelation has come, please do not confuse it with the Day of Judgment. These guys, the heroes who defended the Syrian people, other peoples of the Arab countries, destitute Africans and Latin Americans, have become one of the pillars of our Motherland. Without blinking for a second and without doubting, one must live or die. Live by the rules, do what you must and be what will be.
Now the answer to your question.
For a long time I avoided the blows of many opponents with one main goal - not to set up these guys, who are the basis of Russian patriotism. And he won on this occasion in numerous courts, including abroad, because in any case there should always be a place for sports and matches must be won on the opponent's field.
[MAIL] The Nord Stream pipelines which supply Russian gas throughout Europe have suffered 'unprecedented' damage and are now leaking into the Baltic Sea in waters off Denmark amid suspicions of sabotage.
Shocking footage released by the Danish military from a flyover of the affected region showed huge swathes of the Baltic Sea churning as the gas bubbled to the surface.
A military statement claimed that the largest leak 'is spreading bubbles a good kilometre in diameter. The smallest is creating a circle about 200 metres (656 feet) in diameter'.
Two leaks in the Nord Stream 1 pipeline were reported by Sweden's Maritime Authority last night, shortly after a leak on the nearby Nord Stream 2 pipeline was discovered that prompted Denmark to restrict shipping in the area.
Both pipelines have been flashpoints in an escalating energy war between Europe and Moscow amid Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine that has pummelled major Western economies and sent gas prices soaring.
Poland's Prime Minister openly accused Russia of sabotaging the pipelines at an opening of a new pipeline between Norway and his nation today.
#5
Each pipeline apparently contained several million cf of natural gas. IDK if there are intermediate valves that can be closed. At least part of both pipelines is now full of water, of course.
Sweden says the explosions were in the realm of hundreds of kilos based on seismographic evidence.
It would take some fairly sophisticated equipment: a submarine, a ROV, or a combination of the two. And involve enough people that it's likely to leak eventually.
It certainly benefits Ukraine by eliminating Russia's energy leverage on Europe for quite some time. I'm skeptical they have the equipment or skills to do it.
How about a Russian military faction that would like to see Putin fall, but can't confront him directly? (Rank speculation.)
#6
International waters for both disruptions. I believe that both pipelines are owned by Russia. Wouldn’t surprise me if one of the NATO block was involved with the event - they are the ones who stand to benefit the most in the short term. On one hand Russia can’t use non-functional pipelines as a threat; on the other hand collecting insurance to cover the damage will be challenging; on the gripping hand US carriers/suppliers can make bank selling to the EU
#7
The sabotage can be seen as an act of economic warfare by the Russians, inching up the consideration of using something like captor mines as a n “anonymous” response. This is an escalation and Putiowill see it as such.
Biden will fond a way to divert US LNG and further cripple our own energy crisis because its a grand gesture politically.
#8
Sure seems to be a lot of looking at Team DC as the culprit.
I don't trust anyone involved. That was Team Russia's greatest weapon. Team NATO would have too many involved which would buttgig correlating Team EU members.
#15
The Russians are thinking that either Poland or the US is responsible. If the Poles, they recently demanded that Germany pay reparations for WWII. And of course this is exactly the stupid thing that NSA Sullivan would encourage...not realizing that payback on our pipelines would be forthcoming...but of course he is the smartest guy in the room because his azz sat in a seat in a classroom at Yale...morons.
#18
When I read about this the analogy that came to mind was Cortez sinking his own ships so that his troops would have no way to go but forward. My WAG would be a faction of the Russian government making the statement that relations with Europe are over.
Posted by: Matt ||
09/27/2022 19:01 Comments ||
Top||
#19
Crossed my mine; there was enough of a come to a resolution so that we don't go broke and freeze this winter movement that the gas lines had to be zapped to eliminate that option and keep this course.
Probably because Ukraine was right on the heels with "Show your meddle, send more tanks especially German tanks."
Leaving an Out for EU was Russia's best leverage here. Why would they 86 that for the far more controversial and dangerous nuclear exchange? That Sun Tsu arm would always be there with heat in the Winter just as soon as EU was ready to say When.
Then there were those posters which popped up back in August, "We will be cold this Winter so Ukraine is not along."? Easy to say in Summer. Already, reports of restaurants switching to candles to light and supplemental heat.
Lot of people on Team DC would be ruined if Team EU capitulated between now and elections. Lot of people on Team NATO wanting to get some sweet defense budget increases I'm sure but that won't matter if Team EU is already shuttering manufacturing, especially smelting.
Then after two years of two weeks to flatten the Covid, that German minister was like, "Yeah, two weeks to flatten the energy demand." Seriously?
Russia mobilizing enough forces for a Winter Campaign, video taunts and demonstrations about having heat for the Winter? I'm looking at a group not wanting this conflict to end for at least two more months.
That is Team DC, Team Elensky, and Team MIC. And if your Energy Company plays ball, some of the cheese.
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
