Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:
[ColonelCassad] Trump stated (I know, everyone "loves" this phrase) that a US delegation went to Russia to discuss with the Russian leadership the possibility of concluding a ceasefire.
Earlier, the Kremlin reported that it is not against a ceasefire in principle, but we need to see what the US is offering officially and then we will see. Based on the results of the talks in Moscow, a decision will be made on telephone talks between Trump and Putin. As expected, the Russian Federation will put forward counter-offers/conditions/demands, in the style of saying we are for peace, but... And then after the but, a certain list of conditions/demands.
Are there any signs that an agreement with the US is possible? Yes, there is. Of course, no one will tell us what kind of agreements. Which does not cancel out the questions on the topic of:
1. Will the US screw us over, as they have constantly screwed us over before?
2. Will the US be able to maintain control over Ukraine and the EU in order to force them to comply with the agreements?
There were and remain more than serious doubts on these issues based on the rich experience of the Minsk agreements, when all agreements and understandings were fundamentally violated. At the same time, the position of the political leadership of the Russian Federation is now publicly linked to the thesis that the West has constantly deceived us and we will not fall into new traps of empty promises.
In general, we are waiting for negotiations in Moscow and negotiations between Trump and Putin. One way or another, they will be a kind of bifurcation point that will mark the vector of the war - to an active spring-summer campaign or to a gradual winding down of the war with the division of spheres of influence.