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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
Odds of the ''city-killing'' YR4 asteroid hitting Earth are up |
2025-02-19 |
![]() The space agency claimed that the dangerous space rock now has a 1-in-38, or 2.6%, chance of hitting home — the highest probability of a collision yet, New Scientist has reported. When the asteroid was initially discovered in December 2024, the odds of a strike clocked in at 1-in-83, before increasing to 1-in-67, to 1-in-53, to 1-in-43 and now, the current frightening figure. Meanwhile, the European Space Agency's odds are slightly lower at around 2.4%. Since late January, NASA has designated YR4 a level three on the Torino Scale — a standard rubric for the danger of NEOs (Near Earth Objects) that measure over 65 feet in diameter and have a 1% or greater chance of deep impact. According to the scale, this asteroid is a ''close encounter, meriting attention by astronomers'' and boasts a ''1% or greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction.'' If Earth were to get rocked by YR4 — which measures between 131 and 295 feet in diameter — the resultant energy blast would be equivalent to 8 megatons of TNT, roughly 500 times the power of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima, the Independent reported. Related: YR4 02/16/2025 Astronomer reveals when data on the orbit of asteroid 2024 YR4 will be available YR4 02/12/2025 Scientists warn of possible collision of asteroid 2024 YR4 with the Moon YR4 11/06/2024 Kenyan Jihadi is convicted of plotting a 9/11-style terror attack in America on behalf of al-Shabab |
Posted by:Fred |
#11 Sounds to me like the story interest ratings are up. |
Posted by: swksvolFF 2025-02-19 14:56 |
#10 Many have seen the NUKE Simulator site, where pick your weapon yield and a target city. Then watch the results. Someone needs to make such a site for the YR4. Any bets on what the most popular target city / area would be?☺ |
Posted by: NN2N1 2025-02-19 14:31 |
#9 Was the most powerful offensive spell in Final Fantasy VII. |
Posted by: mossomo 2025-02-19 14:15 |
#8 Who had 'Sweet Meteor of Death' on their 2032 bingo card? |
Posted by: ed in texas 2025-02-19 12:20 |
#7 ..on that point. |
Posted by: Procopius2k 2025-02-19 08:37 |
#6 Odds of the ''city-killing'' YR4 asteroid hitting Earth are up At this point, I believe the majority of Americans can settle on what city. |
Posted by: Procopius2k 2025-02-19 08:00 |
#5 At least the |
Posted by: Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-02-19 05:40 |
#4 The art of landing on an asteroid Seems to me NASA ought to know the orbit by now. |
Posted by: Skidmark 2025-02-19 04:34 |
#3 WNBA Before they were dudes. |
Posted by: Skidmark 2025-02-19 04:22 |
#2 So, the odds are similar to a WNBA 3-point attempt? |
Posted by: Crusader 2025-02-19 00:25 |
#1 Saint Elon, preserve us. |
Posted by: Glolutch Tingle1702 2025-02-19 00:16 |