You have commented 358 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Home Front: Politix
Polling Nostradamus Nate Silver says others are lying about election forecasts
2024-11-01
[MAIL] Nate Silver went into a tirade about how pollsters are lying to people about their results just days before the election.

Silver, the founder of poll analytics site FiveThirtyEight, was speaking on his podcast when he was asked what his models tell him will happen next Tuesday.

While he says it's a 55% chance Donald Trump wins vs. 45% for Kamala Harris, what pollsters have been doing in the run-up to the election has left him unsettled.

He claims that many surveys, including Emerson College, are doing something called 'herding' - or using existence poll results to impact new polls - to keep producing close polls with one candidate or the other up by one point

'In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less, they all, every time a pollster [says] 'Oh, every state is is just +1, every single state's a tie,' No! You're f***ing herding! You're cheating! You're cheating!'
Posted by:Besoeker

#5  If the election is called early, their consulting money ends early. It in their own best interest to keep the story going every last minute.
Posted by: ed in texas   2024-11-01 16:00  

#4  I consider Nate Silver to be a leading expert on manipulating polling data.
Posted by: Super Hose   2024-11-01 12:39  

#3  "You're putting your f***ing finger on the scale!'"

Pollsters try to influence elections via their their biases and polls? I am shocked!
Posted by: JohnQC   2024-11-01 11:49  

#2  They counting pre-prepared Kamala ballots and he doesn't?
Posted by: Grom the Reflective   2024-11-01 03:01  

#1  Who would go to the Derby to watch 'Mystik Dan' run against a field of mules? It's all about media viewership and advertising money.
Posted by: Besoeker   2024-11-01 01:06  

00:00