Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin
[ColonelCassad] Yesterday and today, the enemy began to realize that the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces did not take the bait of the proposals to withdraw reserves from New York and the Krasnoarmeysk direction and continues to maintain intense pressure on the enemy's positions, which leads to the liberation of settlements and territory that Russia intends to liberate one way or another.
Of course, the enemy expected that, having succumbed to panic, the Russian command would begin to stop the operational crisis that had arisen at the expense of the most successful directions, and thus the attack of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Kursk region would allow the enemy to stabilize the critical sections of the front for him. But this did not happen.
Against the background of the initial PR success, all the operational problems of the Ukrainian Armed Forces came to light related to the fact that part of the reserves needed in the Donbass were tied up in the battles for the southern regions of the Kursk region, without much prospect of achieving serious operational-strategic goals such as the capture of the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant.
And the longer the Ukrainian Armed Forces reserves are tied up in these battles, the more critical their absence will be in key sections of the front in the Donbass.
In this regard, the enemy is left with either increasing the load on the operation in the Kursk region by throwing the available reserves into the battle, or undertaking a more serious attack on the border of the Bryansk or Belgorod regions in order to reverse the emerging operational trends. Or activate the old adventure with the landing on Energodar and Zaporizhzhya NPP.
The enemy's problem is that simple defense is no longer enough - the transition to a full defense in the Kursk region in the current configuration of the front and the transfer of available reserves to Donbass will mean an obvious fixation of the failure of the Kursk adventure, for which part of the front in Donbass was sacrificed.
Therefore, it is more likely that the enemy will try to activate additional strikes on the border or go all out with the landing. Sitting on the defensive will certainly not bring anything good to Ukraine - this scenario is even more advantageous to Russia. Therefore, now, of course, we must carefully watch how the mad animal will rush about in search of a way out of the worsening strategic situation.
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More from Boris Rozhin:
Defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near the village of Giri
In the area of ​​the village of Giryi (Kursk region), veterans of the PMC "Wagner" together with marines from the 810th brigade destroyed a large mechanized column of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Seven BTR-4 "Bucephalus", one pickup truck and up to 50 enemy personnel were destroyed. One BTR-4 "Bucephalus" was captured as a trophy.
Equivalent to a Ukrainian motorized rifle company (-)