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| Surprised about Harris's ‘Lead’ in the Polls? |
| 2024-07-31 |
| [GatewayPundit] The Biggest Gaslighting Scam Yet: Kamala Isn’t Winning. She’s Doing Worse Than Biden. Trump is Winning a Landslide. Here is the Proof. Here’s the proof the polls you’re currently seeing in the mainstream media are total fraud. For years, the most accurate poll in the country has been The Democracy Institute, run by Patrick Basham. Democracy only polls “likely voters,” as opposed to other biased pollsters (friendly to Democrats) who choose to poll any registered voter who picks up the phone. Up to one third of registered voters are not going to vote. And they skew dramatically Democrat. These other polls also oversample Democrats. That’s how they have come up with such absurd numbers for Kamala Harris. Of course, if you poll mostly Democrats, you’ll come up with ridiculous fake numbers in favor of the Democrat candidate. Here are the exact numbers used by Democracy versus other pollsters. Democracy used Democrats +2 for this latest poll. Meaning pollster Basham gives Democrat voters a +2 point edge- the exact number for the 2020 presidential election. Patrick believes the true number today is Democrats +1. But he is always cautious, so he stuck with +2. But the polls you’re seeing now in the media claiming Kamala is suddenly popular and gaining on Trump, or beating Trump, are using Democrats +6, Democrats +8, and in some cases a ridiculous Democrats +10. This absurd, ridiculous, biased fantasy produces a “Kamala Miracle.” Voila- suddenly, she is popular. So, what is the truth? What is the real snapshot of this election? In the latest 100% honest, ethical, accurate Democracy Institute poll, with the electorate at +2 edge for Democrats, Trump is winning by a landslide of 8 points. I use the word “landslide” because no Republican has won any presidential election by this big a margin since Ronald Reagan- almost half a century ago. And of course, only the Electoral results matter. If Trump even loses the popular vote by 1 point, he’d almost certainly win the election with a large electoral victory. In Basham’s Democracy Institute poll, Trump wins by 8 points because he is winning by a gigantic landslide with white voters, male voters, independents, and seniors. Kamala is barely leading among young voters. Trump wins with Hispanics 51% to 48%, suburban voters 49% to 47%, and takes 22% of black votes. The largest voting group in the entire electorate is working class whites. Trump wins 75% of their vote. Trump wins by a whopping 35 points among men, while Kamala wins with women by only a razor-thin 3 points. It’s also important to note, 62% of all voters believe Kamala Harris lied about Biden’s health. Basham tells me the most important takeaway is that Trump historically ALWAYS outperforms polls- as many of his voters understandably don’t like to tell a stranger on the phone who they support. So, in reality, Trump almost certainly leads by 10 points or more. Which would be the biggest landslide since Reagan. Want a little more “backup.” I’ve always found Rasmussen the other most accurate pollster. In their latest poll, Trump is up by 7. |
| Posted by:Mercutio |
| #5 suburban voters 49% to 47% Kamala wins with women by only a razor-thin 3 points It's a good article, but these two things seem to be contradictory. The second quote - a reference to the AWFLs - sort of contradicts the first one. The suburban vote is heavily skewed D by the AWFLs and their p-whipped husbands. |
| Posted by: no mo uro 2024-07-31 19:14 |
| #4 Holy sht 😳🤣 Judge Joe Brown doesn’t hold back on Kamala Harris 🔥🔥🔥 "She's a piece of sh*t... she lacked professional competence and she worked on it by hiking up her hemIine." This is a MUST WATCH & SHARE!! 🔥👇🏼 https://x.com/TONYxTWO/status/1818456289048948882 |
| Posted by: Anomalous Sources 2024-07-31 14:10 |
| #3 Old, but mutatis mutandis still relevant |
| Posted by: Grom the Reflective 2024-07-31 13:15 |
| #2 The obvious reason is they need polls that show a close race so when Dominion kicks in they can say the results are within the margin of error. |
| Posted by: Mercutio 2024-07-31 11:58 |
| #1 Who trusts any (D) media conducted poll? |
| Posted by: NN2N1 2024-07-31 11:54 |