Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:
[ColonelCassad] The Axis of Resistance forces in Iraq have announced that they will resume attacks on American bases in Iraq, as the United States is delaying the withdrawal of occupation forces from Iraq at the request of the Iraqi government, thereby prolonging the occupation of the country. The decision to withdraw American troops was made by the Iraqi parliament back in 2020. In 2023, the current Prime Minister of Iraq demanded the withdrawal of troops. The United States, taking advantage of Iraq’s weakness, is trying to delay it as much as possible, since leaving Iraq will entail a forced withdrawal from Syria.
The expected response to the attack on the Hashd Shaabi base (1 killed, 8 wounded + losses in equipment), which again led to an increase in anti-American sentiment in Iraq. As has been said more than once, attacks on Iranian proxies often do not hinder, but help Iran, since citizens of other countries included in the network of Iranian clients die. This allows Iran to influence domestic public opinion and other governments from within. Iran received such opportunities after the disappearance of Iraq as a deterrent and the Arab Spring, which weakened a number of countries and created space for the implementation of Iran’s general strategy.
In this case, we can expect new launches of homemade missiles and kamikaze drones at the Ain al-Assad bases and Erbil airport, as well as new attacks on American logistics convoys.