Commentary by Russian military jounralist Boris Rozhin
[ColonelCassad] 1. At the moment, only one of the stated goals of the North Military District has been achieved - the territory of the LPR has been liberated.
2. The remaining goals of the SVO are the liberation of the DPR, denazification, demilitarization, neutralization, etc. not fulfilled.
3. Goals that were not originally intended were achieved - 2 new regions joined Russia, which Russia did not demand from Ukraine in 2022 + a land corridor to Crimea was cut, and the Sea of Azov became internal.
4. The freeze along the LBS line means that most of the initial goals of the Northern Military District will remain unachieved in exchange for 2 regions with incomplete borders and a land corridor to Crimea. At the same time, Russia seems to agree that part of the territories of the DPR, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions, which according to the constitution are part of Russia, remain under Ukrainian and, in fact, NATO occupation.
5. At the same time, the Nazi regime in Ukraine will be preserved, rearmed and reformatted for a long-term war against Russia. And the territory of Ukraine itself will be used as a systematic springboard for constant military and other provocations. Everything that is loyal to Russia in the Nazi-occupied territories will be purged even more, especially since the enemy knows that there are enough people there who are waiting for liberation.
6. To compensate for the human, material and economic losses already incurred, Russia needs something more than part of two more regions with an unrecognized status, which does not solve any of the strategic problems that led to the beginning of the NWO.
7. The rumors about the freeze occur during a period of obvious weakness of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Zelensky regime after the defeat in the summer-autumn campaign and are aimed at driving Russia into another meaningless “truce” ala Minsk, with a completely understandable and predictable ending.
8. Judging by the statements of the Russian military-political leadership, the West is aware of this propaganda and diplomatic game, so no one is going to agree to this option. That is why the West assesses the current position of the Russian Federation on Ukraine as “not inclined to negotiations.” The propensity to negotiate in the West is usually understood as Russia's readiness to make concessions or capitulate.
9. I hope that nothing else will change on this issue and that there will be no more miscalculations that led to the “Minsk policy” or incorrect expectations at the beginning of the Northern Military District. The level of support for the authorities in the country is now sufficient, there are economic opportunities for a long-term military campaign aimed at achieving the goals of the Northern Military District, the army is gradually learning, including from its mistakes. And the current negative background around the prospects for war in the West is a direct consequence of underestimating Russia’s capabilities to wage a long war to achieve its goals.
10. Therefore, we must prepare ourselves for long-term systematic work to ensure that our army and military-industrial complex are able to ensure the fulfillment of the goals of the Northern Military District in confrontation with the United States and NATO over a long distance. At the moment, hopes for US negotiating capacity appear to be dangerous illusions that should be rejected.