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Economy
Luxury Bust Worsens: Rolex, Patek Prices Hit Two-Year Lows
2023-11-15
[ZERO] In October, the secondary market for pre-owned Rolex and Patek Philippe watches reached its lowest point in two years, primarily due to high interest rates crushing demand and increasing supply returning to the market. The combination of the two is accelerating the bust cycle in the luxury watch market.

The Bloomberg Subdial Watch Index, which tracks prices for the 50 most-traded watches by value on the secondary market, fell 1.8% in October, stumbling to its lowest level since 2021.

Subdial data shows a Patek Philippe Nautilus Travel Time 5990/1A-001 has crashed 42.5% since peaking at $271,000 in March 2022.

"We are seeing growing downward pressure in the market, which could lead to a further downward drift in prices as dealers cut valuations to chase sales," Christy Davis, the co-founder of Subdial, wrote in an October market report.

According to Subdial data, the number of used watches hitting the secondary market has increased 5% since August. More supply is adding downward pressure on an already fragile market.

"With more watches available at a wider spread of prices, what we're seeing is people dropping prices to chase sales going into the holiday season," Davis said.
Posted by:Besoeker

#7  I have EMOJIIs.
Posted by: Skidmark   2023-11-15 16:56  

#6   ^ Your flip phone gets its time from the network so it's every bit as accurate as any Rolex. But I'm sure it doesn't have any diamonds on it.
Posted by: Abu Uluque   2023-11-15 12:56  

#5  My $27 flip phone has a clock.
Posted by: Skidmark   2023-11-15 10:50  

#4  Our local grocer watches what he calls 'The Snack Food Index'. (He owns a chain of some pretty sizable stores. Business all started by his dad in a storefront 80+ years ago.)

When folks start buying more snack foods, the economy is usually worsening. He figures that folks start staying home more and this 'index' has proven itself out over the last 30 or so years. The increase in liquor sales usually follows by a month or so.

I talked to him a couple weeks ago and "Snack Foods have been on the rise for the last 5-6 months."
Posted by: Mullah Richard   2023-11-15 10:40  

#3  Another positive indicator may be the return of 0% auto financing.
Posted by: Besoeker   2023-11-15 07:01  

#2  ...FWIW, one of our oldest and most consistent customers is an outfit that makes boat trailers. For us, they're the canary in the coal mine, because if people are still buying boat trailers that means they can still afford boats, so there's money out there.

The trailers have noticeably slowed down.

Mike
Posted by: MikeKozlowski   2023-11-15 06:40  

#1  Oh no! End of the World is nigh!
Posted by: Grom the Reflective   2023-11-15 05:02  

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