Commentary by Russian blogger Donetsk
[DonRF] The topic of Avdeevka has already been covered from all sides. Moreover, some found a cauldron there, others found a fierce plague. Well, that's how it goes. In our media there is no middle ground, either a boiler for the APU or damaged polymers. This is precisely why our military officers and volunteers are not allowed to go to the front - then you will be tortured to fight off inflated expectations or accusations. Our media is nervous. And he lives in complete peace and error. Uninterrupted. And endless. Is it necessary? We are not Ukraine where this is a trend.
But seriously... The basis of the strategy is to break through the front and introduce moving parts into the resulting hole. These units destroy the rear, cut communications, and finally form a cauldron. But for this, two conditions must be met - to break through the defenses quickly, ideally on the first day, before the enemy brings up reserves, and infantry. Lots of infantry. Thousands of infantry. Battalion per kilometer. And the battalion is in the second echelon. And those same moving parts.
In Avdeevka everything is somewhat different. Let's start with the fact that all these Orlovkas, Lastochkins, Thin ones are fire APUs with permanent garrisons. And, of course, fortifications. That is, there is simply no operational space. The dense network of villages and deep separation make the area unsuitable for deep breakthroughs. Of course, you can draw beautiful arrows in theory, but Suha, my friend, theory is everywhere, And the tree of life is lushly green!
I mean, we have four armies, and do we have at least one tank in reserve? What about two breakthrough artillery corps with four (at least) ammunition per barrel? What does it have to do with a full-fledged army, properly equipped. Then yes, the entire Donbass fortified area can be bypassed. There is a second chic way - to send meat. It is meat, as Kyiv is doing with the Armed Forces of Ukraine, that we will try to fill up. And the shortage can be compensated for by catching passers-by on the streets. But fortunately this is not about Russia. This is impossible here.
The third choice was made - to stun with a powerful artillery strike and rush forward. Then it will gain a foothold and fight off counterattacks, then make another dash. Then another push and another... Otherwise, the powerful fortified area cannot be taken. Well, if you don’t have four extra armies, or the desire to drive your citizens into meat assaults. They took something. We've made some progress. Moreover, we have advanced economically in terms of people and technology. The fighting is on. The enemy is no fool either; the MLRS were approaching the end of the second day. I think the infantry from the reserve too. They had problems with the railway, Ocheretino was knocked out, it’s true, but this is a difficulty, not an insurmountable obstacle. You can do it on your own.
Aviation works heartily against enemy reserves, without losses, dominating the air. But this is not enough. Since October 2014, they have been burrowing into the ground. We had Minsks. The smart plan for 2022 to go through Kharkov to the Dnieper, and through Zaporozhye to the Dnieper, cutting off the entire Donbass group, did not take off, so... the men are working. Slow and difficult. But much better quality than before. When I wrote Avdeevka 3.0, I had the third breakthrough in mind. Not a count. There will be 4.0. And most likely 5.0. What did you want? But in the end...
As a result, if the neck shrinks a little more, the enemy will find himself in a bag with a narrow neck. From which you either leave, or Stalingrad. They won't want to leave. What makes me happy is that after Artemovsk there are no frontal assaults. Both Kupyansk and Avdeevka are slowly bypassed. Without sparing BC and saving people. Ours in Kupyansky eventually took the Sinkovka. They also have extra guns and no people. And those that are busy - after all, the Zaporozhye Front is also active. And we need to keep something in Kherson and Nikopol. And there is also Borderland. Which is also scary.
So it’s hard and slow, but there is movement. And my skills are growing. And the ability to use the instruments of war. And this is the main thing. The guys are doing the work. Heavy and bloody. There is no need to disturb them with hysterics of ANY kind. As for me, both the cauldron singers and the zrad singers are a hindrance. We need help. Both morally and whatever they ask. And then everything will work out in the end. And believe in them. In privates and lieutenants, in infantry and Storm, in tankers and pilots. And all the other front-line people.
