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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Donetsk: Battle
2023-09-04
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian blogger Donetsk

References are to the graphic at the link

[DonRF] Red - strikes that the APU is inflicting now and their nearest targets.

Blue - planned strikes. Having bent the front line in the Rabotino-Verbove area, they are trying to reach the main defense line south of Novoprokopovka and directly, after its breakthrough, to Tokmak.


September is their last chance, so the ramming pressure will be as strong as possible. Separate TG channels write about the transfer of our reserves, and significant ones, the enemy has already transferred everything, including two reserve brigades for the next campaign. There remain troops on other fronts and raw units.

And there is a gap - a month, or even six weeks, the edge. Subject to the complete exhaustion of troops. It's VERY hard out there. Very. At the same time, it is not only hard for us. In the rear of the enemy they are working with everything possible, aviation is actively involved, fully working as KABs. Reserves fit.

Now a kind of moment of truth is going on, and either they will push through the LBS, and create a clean breakthrough all the way to Tokmok, or else ... or they will drown. The second is much more likely, but the first should not be ruled out. Hats are such a thing...

The enemy was fully invested in this blow. To the bottom. To the extent that it is preparing to mobilize students and requires Germany to supply 160,000 fugitive Ukrainians. Until the landings of doctors and military commissars. Before the arrest of Kolomoisky.

Either they go to Tokmak, and then in the spring the second round, or they die in the Steppe, and then in the spring the active defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Because how to collect SUCH a second time will not work. NATO arsenals began to show the bottom. Cassettes, and depleted uranium, and just do everything. During the 90 days of the offensive, they fired at least half a million shells and MLRS rockets. This is six months of production, provided that NATO remains on a starvation diet. And all this time they will not shoot. The problem is that they will. And the West does not agree to strain excessively without results.

The weather until October favors them, although forecasts are inaccurate, and sometimes they are wrong. And they don't have much of a choice.

Neither military nor political. So September in this area will be hot. At what not in sense of weather. Globally, it is unlikely that they were exhausted to run to the sea, but Tokmok is their chance to justify themselves for a mediocre meat campaign and lay the foundation for a new one. It's for us to deplete the best NATO proxy connections. And get another window of activity in winter-spring. In the end, Nelson was the first to raise the flag, and Russia expects that every man will do his duty is relevant even now

Posted by:badanov

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