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The situation on the line of contact - analysis from @Multi_XAM June 20, 2023 |
2023-06-21 |
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. Text taken from a Telegra.ph article by @multi_XAM Note that half of the graphics in the linked article are in English, one of them with a mildly amusing analog to Operation Overlord The era of the information society sets the perspective for the perception of the surrounding reality, and while the attention of the mass audience, for obvious, was riveted to the situation around Pyatikhatki in the Zaporozhye region, fighting reasons continued in other sectors of the front. ![]() On the Zaporozhye direction Indeed, the battle for Pyatikhatki added turbulence to the situation. The settlement, which turned out to be insufficiently fortified, albeit with battles, was nevertheless abandoned by the Russian troops. However, the next day after the withdrawal, after waiting for the enemy to enter the village and settle down, the artillery of the RF Armed Forces delivered a massive blow. But, according to our information, at the moment, Pyatikhatki are still under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Definitely, this episode is important from the point of view of the dynamics of the development of the situation in the Zaporozhye direction. But why is this inhabitant so significant? Many of our readers have a well-founded question - what is the point in holding Pyatikhatki if the village is in a lowland ( in a tactically disadvantageous position ), falling into the fire control zone? The roads leading from the village are also quite densely shot through. Despite its not very advantageous position, in relation to the dominant heights, Pyatikhatki is, just the same, control of the road. An important junction in logistical terms, the retention of which opens up a maneuver for further advancement. We assumed that from the positions of the village the enemy could deliver a flank attack on the units concentrated in the Kamensky direction with access to the Dnieper. However, it is now becoming more and more obvious that the likely vector for the movement of Ukrainian units is the southern direction to Zherebyanki. To the south of Pyatikhatki, our units are on the heights, having the support of artillery, therefore, with a small reservation, we can assume that leaving the village was justified from the point of view of the plan to draw the enemy into the population , in order to then roll it with artillery. If such a plan, of course, was, and the blow did not turn out to be a necessary measure - according to the principle of "hitting the tails." At the same time, it must be stated that, trying to cling to Pyatikhatki, the enemy suffered significant losses in equipment and infantry: the 128th mountain assault brigade was seriously battered. Therefore, it will be possible to speak about the possible development of the offensive in this sector only after the enemy has brought up new reserves. From the direction of Orekhovo and Novodanilovka, the enemy continued to advance in the direction of Rabotino, however, at the moment there is no need to talk about significant progress in this sector. On the Krasno-Limansky and Kupyansky directions A new element of the situation was the active actions of the Russian army in the Krasno-Limansky direction, where the forces of the group went on the offensive. According to incoming reports, the enemy tried to counterattack with armored groups from the 63rd and 100th terrorist defense brigades and the 67th separate mechanized brigade from Yampol and in the Serebryansky forestry area. Despite attempts to break through with army aviation and field artillery strikes, it was driven back, suffering losses. At the same time, the offensive of the units of the RF Armed Forces continued in the Kupyansk direction in the Kharkov region. It is obvious that the activation of this section, which has been in a frozen state since August last year, is associated with the instructions of the top leadership to create a buffer zone to protect the Belgorod region, as well as the desire to enter the administrative borders of the LPR. Active actions in this direction inspire a positive attitude. In the event of the capture of Krasny Liman and Kupyansk, the Russian army opens up room for maneuver and advance in the direction of Slavyansk and, in the future, Izyum. The successive pulling of additional units by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the southern sector of the front, if necessary, to make up for losses at the expense of reserves, opens up the possibility of seizing the initiative in the northeastern sector. In the event that we manage to gain a foothold in the Krasno-Limansky direction, a large enemy grouping in the area of ​​Seversk, Zvanovka and Chasov Yar will acquire the configuration of a ledge. Also, for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the continuation of assault operations on the flanks of Bakhmut will lose all meaning. On the south-Donetsk direction Over the past two days, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been trying to break through in the South-Donetsk directions, despite the losses. At the same time, it should be noted that the front line in this sector has been relatively stabilized. As before, from positions in Makarovka, the enemy continued to attack in the direction of Staromayorsky, advancing along the right flank between Novodonetsky and Urozhayny. However, no significant progress has been made here. Adds Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin: PS. In addition: 1. By the afternoon of June 20, the fighting in Pyatikhatki continued again, which is confirmed by both sides. 2. Shoigu reported that from June 4 to June 20, the enemy did not achieve success in the Zaporozhye, Donetsk and Yuzhnodonetsk directions. 3. In the last 2 days, articles have been actively published in the Western press that the Ukrainian offensive has bogged down. The broadcast of hostilities continues as usual in the telegram https://t.me/boris_rozhin - if you are interested, subscribe |
Posted by:badanov |