Commentary by Russian blogger Donetsk
[DonRF] In Artemovsk street fights are burning down. The city is basically ours.
Under Avdeevka, they managed to keep the occupied wedge in the defense of the enemy. The rest - no change. And all this is not a fairy tale, all this is a saying. The saying is because the soil dries rapidly, and brilliant green just as rapidly appears. We did not use our chance to attack - there was no strike, there were positional battles to improve the situation in certain sectors of the front. Now it's their turn.
A lot of words have been said about this, a lot of texts have been written, but in anticipation we have to slightly repeat ourselves. Because it's coming soon. Or not.
| The depth of that bit of profundity cannot be overstated. Whew! Sorry about that — I’ll be good now. |
The second is ... there is a crisis inside. In fact, the motivation of military personnel is sagging. Not personnel, and not ideological first waves of mobilization, but nonetheless. And half a year of the next Bakhmuts, and ours will attack locally, will lead to a serious drop in morale.
The population is also losing faith in victory, which can be fatal. The economy is crumbling, and people are fleeing the country. A victory, especially a wide and beautiful one, will fix most of these problems. Plus, it will show the West that finances are not wasted. Plus, it will add points to Western politicians.
Where to attack is also obvious - everywhere. The main blow in the South. A sort of Brusilovsky breakthrough at the minimum. Pull apart the reserves and deliver a powerful blow in a favorable place. And plan B has a place to be - if we say the front falls on the Svatovo-Kremennaya line, the center of efforts can be moved there.
For them, success is the most important thing. Where - secondary, although the South in this sense is more promising and more attractive media. I don’t think there will be a big advertisement for the start of offensive battles, simply for the reason that they are afraid of failure. Their media will be connected in case of any result. No, they will be silent.
In a word, here it is. Are our troops capable of repelling their blow?
They are. They studied tea in some schools. Yes, and NATO instructors are also not a panacea.
Can they break through our defenses?
They can. They gave them a lot of different things, but they just have no problems with people - they caught them - they brought them - they used them - they delivered new ones instead of those that were disposed of.
And there is no fear of loss. The men are still to be caught, not to be caught, but NATO is carrying iron. So... the battle will show. Provided that time is not pulled all the same until the fall, the bay is more money and tightening the screws on Ukrainian society until the thread breaks. Predictions for this war are such a thing ... The conflict itself, and the forms of its conduct, are extremely illogical. But my personal opinion - two weeks maximum left.