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| -Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
| October 2022 NOAA Winter Forecast Revisited - Very Dry for CA |
| 2023-03-07 |
| Precipitation Wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. The greatest chances for drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of the Southeast. As of today, California expects a wet and relatively warm storm this weekend - lots of flooding potential Keep an eye on the Truckee River through Reno (which drains Tahoe) |
| Posted by:lord garth |
| #7 NOAA...sure. Farmer's Almanac had it right for CA and PNW. |
| Posted by: Rex Mundi 2023-03-07 18:54 |
| #6 Second what #1 Warthog said. This is a golden opportunity for California to overcome the effects of the drouth (1950s spelling) of the last few years and store up water against another one. But will they? Hah! |
| Posted by: Tom 2023-03-07 16:30 |
| #5 we are in the 4th year of a La Nina - I am pretty sure this is a first during the time of reliable ocean temperature records (1950 or so is the beginning of this period although the first 2 decades of temperature measurements were nowhere near as good as those now). what is way different this year is that the pacific bordering North America from Baja to Alaska is way below normal for several hundred miles west of the coast also, the Atlantic from the equator to 60N is almost all above normal |
| Posted by: lord garth 2023-03-07 14:15 |
| #4 The additive effect of solar cycles and La Niña, I imagine. And the insufficiency of commonly accepted models, which led to improvements of the double dynamo solar model — numbers but no real math at the link — which suggests that the combination of sun cycles may be causing an extended minimum. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2023-03-07 13:36 |
| #3 It’s the coldest winter I’ve experienced since I moved here in ‘95. Normally there’s a mid winter warm spell. Not this year. Just cold. |
| Posted by: Remoteman 2023-03-07 13:12 |
| #2 The winter forecast for the western US and Rockies was just plain wrong. They called for normal moisture and mild temperatures for us. What we got was the heaviest snows in a century and the 4th coldest winter on record. I don't have much confidence in their Spring forcast. |
| Posted by: DarthVader 2023-03-07 12:33 |
| #1 Given the snow load in the Sierra this winter, the resulting Spring floods should be monumental. Of course the geniuses in CA will let 95% of that flow into the ocean. I guess they're just be eco-friendly letting the natural hydro cycle play out rather than interrupt it by siphoning it off for the parasite that is man. |
| Posted by: Warthog 2023-03-07 09:12 |