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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Briefly about the situation in the Kremennaya-Svatovo area
2022-10-07
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military blogger Andrey Chervonets

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have completed the regrouping and concentrated their forces in the area of ​​the village of Pershotravnee. Forces from Kupyansk approached there and united with those troops that were operating in the Liman area. The forces are large, a lot of equipment, including Caesars. The bulk of the equipment is new armored vehicles of Western and Turkish production.

The main goal is a concentrated strike on Svatovo, with the designation of actions on Kremennaya. Ukry, by the way, disperse that the main strike is planned for Kremennaya and post a video with an alleged concentration of equipment and personnel, which, logically, should act against Kremennaya, but in my opinion this is not so. The attacking formations of the enemy are aimed at Svatovo and most likely the offensive will take place no later than tomorrow.

Bloggers and TG channels predict (as they predicted strikes near Kharkov and Krasny Liman, but the Russian Defense Ministry turned out to be unprepared for them) APU strikes in three directions.

I have only one question, if TG "Rybar" knows the disposition, do they read this channel in the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces? Or they don’t collect information from open sources at all (of course, then they check it without fail).

There will be embarrassment if everything turns out like this, and the military will shrug their shoulders: but how could we assume this? We did not know! Or rather, not embarrassment, but "regrouping". And it will be another tragedy for the people living there.

It is clearly seen that the RF Ministry of Defense lacks a limited grouping to conduct a military defense. But why did the generals not insist on partial mobilization at least in April, but took care only in September, after several waves passed in Ukraine and the number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine increased by 4 times?

Posted by:badanov

#1  I'm not convinced. Svotove isn't exactly on the way to anywhere in particular other than Staroblisk which is likewise on the way to nowhere in particular other than the border.

And the UA have been mostly very task- and goal-oriented, going in more or less direct envelopment arcs during the whole of the Kharkiv campaign. And the goal is taking back Sievierodonetsk and Lysychansk, not another expanse of empty northern Luhansk countryside.

I'd expect them to do another left hook north of Kreminna, which means, say, Ploschenka and Holykove. Nasty marsh country east of there, though.
Posted by: Mitch H.   2022-10-07 00:57  

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