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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Battle in the South
2022-07-28
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited

Commentary by Russian blogger Donetsk

[DONRF] The battle for the South continues, and this night again brought a series of mutual missile strikes. The enemy damaged the Antonovsky bridge in Kherson, and the disputes about the degree of damage are as stupid as the disputes about the effectiveness of air defense. Let me explain - the bridge can be used or not. If not, there is no big difference whether it is worth it or not. All the same, from a military point of view, it died. This is as obvious as it is obvious that there is no absolute air defense. We can intercept 11 missiles, but one will hit the bridge every day.

Also, according to the enemy, he occupied two settlements in the gray zone of the Kherson region. which requires confirmation. There is little military sense in this anyway, such a push-pull in the breakaway republics lasted for years. The real breakthrough is not empty villages, it is a breakthrough of the front line with access to the operational space. This cannot be achieved so far by both sides.

In response, with the help of the Grad MLRS, targets in Nikopol and Marganets were hit. The shelling of Nikolaev was also carried out. Obviously, the enemy is preparing two shock fists - from the West and North from Kherson, which our artillery counteracts.

Thus the battle for the South continues, albeit in an indecisive manner. The prognosis depends on Ukrainian military's readiness for five-nil losses and the risk of serious injury. According to my feelings, this readiness is low, but:

Returning from Kyiv, Republican Senator Mike Waltz said literally the following: "Zelensky feels that he is slowly losing. The Biden administration is basically helping him pay for the gallows noose."

Western partners demand. So in the coming days, the enemy will do everything in order to hit the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, causing an ecological catastrophe in the region, and pontoon crossings induced by the RF Armed Forces, with a further transition to the offensive on Kherson and / or Melitopol. The rest is in the hands of God and our artillery.

On the Donbass front, there is also activation. The enemy lost the Uglegorsk TPP and Novolugansk. In addition, active work of artillery is underway. Thus, our plan is transparent and understandable - combining with the defense in the South, to continue squeezing out the militants from the territory of the DPR.

And further events will show, there will be no loud announcements this time, at least from our side.

Fighting

[DONRF] In front of you is a petal mine designed to disable enemy personnel. But Ukrainians are not quite people, and therefore, following the example of Izyum, they mined residential buildings in Donetsk with these mines. Based on the death and injury of civilians. Be careful, go around branches, foliage, do not go out on lawns. Ukrainians don't care who lives in Donetsk - we are all "separatists" and must die.

All day yesterday, the militias waged an offensive battle in the area of ​​Peski, Marinka and Krasnogorovka. There is progress, but the occupation of these settlements is still far away. It should be borne in mind that this is the most fortified section of the defense, which was built for eight years, and relies on buildings and has powerful road junctions in the rear. So the fights are there for a long time, there will be no quick successes. But there are no special options for actions by limited forces, some of which are diverted to parry the enemy operation in the South.

Aerospace Forces also worked that night:

1. Kharkiv. Two objects of the Iskander OTRK were hit.

2. Nikolaev - attacks on the locations of militants

3. Vyshgorod, Kiev region - an ammunition depot was hit.

4. Goncharivske Chernihiv region. Ten missiles hit the forest area, where 1 Ukrainian brigades are camouflaged. Their best tank brigade was undergoing restoration and re-equipment after the battles for Chernigov in the spring. I hope that now it will be necessary to repeat the procedure.

The enemy, in turn, tried to launch a missile attack on Belgorod, but air defense worked.

Rocket-artillery duels and battles for a foothold in the area of ​​the Ingulets River continue in the South. The situation there is difficult for the parties, the militants are pressing with numbers, we rely on technical superiority.

Do not expect quick and easy victories, ignore the cheers-winning reports, unconfirmed photos and videos, the third stage will stretch for months and will be difficult. With a favorable outcome, it will be possible to free the DPR and bleed the shock fist in the South. I think the margin of safety of the parties is enough until October. The key marker will be the fall of Slavyansk and Avdievka.


Posted by:badanov

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