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| -Signs, Portents, and the Weather- | |
| World's population will hit EIGHT BILLION on November 15, India set to surpass China as most populated nation next year | |
| 2022-07-12 | |
Researcher questions China's population data, says it may be lower Dec 3, 2021 [Reuters] China may be downplaying how fast its population is shrinking, and a recent policy to promote three-child families has poor chances to improve birth rates, a fertility expert told the Rooters Next conference on Friday.Fuxian Yi, senior scientist in the obstetrics and gynecology department at the University of Wisconsin, said he estimated that China’s 2020 population was 1.28 billion rather than the 1.41 billion census number reported and that fertility rates were lower than reported. Yi estimates that China's population has been shrinking since 2018. China’s government did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The country's rapidly shrinking birth rate has raised concerns of slower economic growth and the potential challenges created by fewer workers supporting an older population. Beijing scrapped its decades-old one-child policy in 2016, replacing it with a two-child limit to try to stave off those risks. In May a three-child policy was announced as the birth rates continued to drop given the high cost of raising children in Chinese cities. China had a fertility rate of just 1.3 children per woman in 2020, recent state data showed, on par with aging societies like Japan and Italia and far short of the roughly 2.1 needed for replacement level. Yi estimates that the real fertility rate is much lower based on a drop in fertility rates over the years by China’s ethnic minority groups which were not restricted by the one-child policy, and he calculated the population based on his own lower estimate rates. Yi said local governments overstate their population to obtain more subsidies, including education fees they collect from the central government. He said that with over 20 social benefits linked to a birth registration, some families were using the black market to buy a second birth certificate online. "The population numbers have been inflated mainly for financial benefits," Yi said. | |
| Posted by:Skidmark |
| #14 "Global fertility is projected to decline... " Kinda Think ? Finding significant amounts of Birth Control and other pregnancy inhabiting Medications in 1st and 2nd World water supplies might have something to do with it? While in still developing 3rd world nations, it is a rarity. |
| Posted by: NN2N1 2022-07-12 17:31 |
| #13 Repeal minimum wage laws so American workers can compete with their counterparts in other countries Why? They're just letting those counterparts in through the border. Simple supply and demand. Excess labor reduces the demand and wages. Those with technical skills, heck no problem, loads of 1HB visas. |
| Posted by: Procopius2k 2022-07-12 15:21 |
| #12 End the ridiculous American practice of prolonged adolescence. Replace high schools with trade schools and let those kids grow up normally and naturally. End government sponsored college loans so kids have to grow up and go to work instead of living on the taxpayers' dime. Get inflation under control so moms can stay home. Repeal minimum wage laws so American workers can compete with their counterparts in other countries. Do these things before the lights go out. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2022-07-12 13:51 |
| #11 I see that the populaion of Pakistan is increasing despite Dron's best efforts to reduce it. |
| Posted by: Matt 2022-07-12 12:58 |
| #10 Is anything counted for political purposes ever counted accurately? I seriously hope they're not counting the folks who supposedly voted in districts where the vote totals exceeded the population of eligible voters. |
| Posted by: Mullah Richard 2022-07-12 12:11 |
| #9 Some of it is just people putting things on hold during the uncertainty of the lockdown and the Biden nonsense. There’s a divide in the key age group — one portion avoiding kids altogether while the other portion has three or more. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2022-07-12 11:08 |
| #8 Fake people in the "metaverse," spending imaginary money on non-existent stuff will solve it all... |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2022-07-12 10:25 |
| #7 I'm surprised that with the arrival of "men who can get pregnant" hasn't already sustained more population increase. |
| Posted by: AlmostAnonymous5839 2022-07-12 10:23 |
| #6 VICTOR HANSON: The Disappearing American: America is depopulating It's true that there are more potential parents than ever before. And the American population has soared to over 330 million. But our population is radically leveling off. In just 14 years the fertility rate has crashed from 2.12 to 1.64 – meaning that both citizens and resident aliens in America are not replacing themselves. While past demographic momentum has led to an all-time population high, the United States has already peaked demographically. And it will soon shrink and further age. Thirty years ago, America had 80 million fewer people, but a quarter-million more annual births. What explains the disappearing American? |
| Posted by: Gonzesse 2022-07-12 10:05 |
| #4 was the count off then? Is anything counted for political purposes ever counted accurately? /rhet |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2022-07-12 09:18 |
| #3 Only 8 billion? I seems to recall back in the late 70s early 80s that we had already reached over nine billion people on Earth! was the count off then? |
| Posted by: Seeking Cure For Ignorance 2022-07-12 09:15 |
| #2 From the demographic data from multiple sources I've seen, the birthrates are so terrible in most countries the world population will peak around 9 billion mid-century, then slowly drop back to 7 billion in a century after that. There simple aren't enough people to keep the population up. If global famine and war take hold in the next few years, expect that number to drop even faster. |
| Posted by: DarthVader 2022-07-12 09:13 |
| #1 With the Covid-19/22 having about 0.079 of 1% in globally reported deaths. It did not even make a good dent in the overall global population. It just cleared the world mainly of Older and medically compromised persons. |
| Posted by: NN2N1 2022-07-12 08:08 |