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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Notes on twitter re: Snake Island recent events
2022-07-01
From Osinttechnical. Two links. First, a bit from a summary of the situation.



Second, a good pic of the goodwill dispenser:

Posted by:Thing From Snowy Mountain

#8  The Odessa was a long stretch and with the loss of the island is all but a pipe dream at this point. With new Harpoon missiles an invasion is doomed to fail as the Russians just don't have the lift capacity to sustain any invasion, let alone do one at all.
Posted by: DarthVader   2022-07-01 23:28  

#7  Darth: The Russians are free to divert stuff from what they feel are less important campaigns, like the one 90% of their forces are involved in for capturing Lisichansk, so they can get on with the Odessa invasion they keep threatening but not doing for the past four months.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2022-07-01 15:15  

#6  It's 150 miles from the airfield in Crimea and the Russians couldn't hold it.

Holding and denying it to the enemy are two different things. Once 155 land artillery got into range it made holding it untenable for the Russians. While the Russian jets and ships haven't so far showed they can take out the land artillery on a very large area near Snake Island, the island is very much in their stable of skills and weapon packages.

The Ukrainians set anything on that island and it will be blasted to hell.
Posted by: DarthVader   2022-07-01 13:12  

#5  On the down side, the Ukrainians can't re-occupy it either as it is well in range of Russian surface to surface missiles and air strikes.

1. It's 150 miles from the airfield in Crimea and the Russians couldn't hold it.

2. I wanna get a Goodwill Dispenser like that.

Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2022-07-01 12:13  

#4  The trolls will say this is "goodwill," and Russia "can take it back any time they want."

Needless to say, neither assertion makes any sense.
Posted by: M. Murcek   2022-07-01 12:01  

#3  On the plus side, the Russians leaving takes away the dagger that was pointed at Odessa's heart. On the down side, the Ukrainians can't re-occupy it either as it is well in range of Russian surface to surface missiles and air strikes.
Posted by: DarthVader   2022-07-01 11:54  

#2  Moved. :-)
Posted by: trailing wife   2022-07-01 11:41  

#1  Oh shoot, I thought I put it on page 3.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2022-07-01 11:19  

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