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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Satellite images of Zmeiny Island 06/29/2022
2022-07-01
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[ColonelCassad] Satellite images of Zmeiny Island from June 29 after the withdrawal of the Russian garrison. There are traces of strikes from last week, where one Pantsir air defense missile system was declared destroyed. Some property is smoking on the pier, which was destroyed before leaving. Also, some dilapidated house is smoking from among those that did not break during the May battles.

In Ukraine, they say they want to establish physical control over the island, but everything seems to be limited to demonstrative events with the landing of small troops by boats or helicopters, the raising of the flag and photographs. Obviously, if you try to linger on the island, missile attacks on the island will follow, if Ukraine does not have the ability to cover the island from the air.

It is also worth noting that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announces the transfer of artillery systems and MLRS, with the help of which they fired on Zmeiny in the Donbass, in order to deter the advance of Russian troops on Artemovsk and Slavyansk.
Click on the link to see photos of the island

From Russian military blogger Andrey Chervonets:

The price of a "goodwill gesture"

After the surrender of With a high degree of probability, it can be expected that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will begin, if they have not already begun, the operational transfer of formations and military units to the east. That is, everything that shot and flew in the area of about. Zmeiny Island will soon be on the land front.

And this is at least:

- 2 divisions of the Smerch MLRS,
- 2-3 Himars batteries
- up to the M777 division
- up to the Bayraktarov squadron
- the Buk air defense division
- as well as engineering and other support units.

In addition, now up to two mechanized brigades (one of them - marines) can be transferred from the ODESSA region to the east, up to the TerO brigade (4-5 rifle battalions and one mechanized battalion), and others (including artillery ) parts.

The flight resource of manned aviation, which was involved by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in operations in the area of ​​about. Zmeiny Island, will now also be used east. Most likely - in the Nikolaevsky direction.

And you continue to make "gestures of good will." After the first two such "gestures" many flinched. I'm afraid to imagine a third.

More from Chervonets:
Criminal "goodwill gestures"

What kind of anecdote is this? The wording is especially impressive; Do they write them on purpose to annoy people?

"Russia, as a gesture of goodwill, withdrew its troops from Zmeiny Island, thereby demonstrating to the world community that the Russian Federation does not interfere with the efforts of the UN to organize a humanitarian corridor for the export of agricultural products from the territory of Ukraine"

"The Russians staunchly defended Gostomel and retreated. They fought heroically on Zmeiny Island and left on command. Why? failures in our time hit the army and the state more than the failures of the military itself.

(c) Alexander Zhuchkovsky

"I tried to imagine that all this was voiced by the voice of Yuri Levitan. Well, that's how we remember from childhood from films and programs

" From the Soviet Information Bureau ... Today, as a step of goodwill, the military completed the tasks and as a gesture of good Will left the city of Odessa. Now the Romanian sources of oil for the German army can be safe.

Did not work out. It didn’t introduce itself. "

(c) from Andrey Medvedev's TG

Yes, Levitan announced the abandonment of cities and the blockade. But not as a matter of good will.

Control over Zmeiny Island held back supplies through Moldova and gave some kind of control over the port of Odessa. Now, to stop supplies, the only option is one is to drown everything that will float there, but naturally no one will do this.

More important is not even the fact that the island was left. The crisis and global, the whole scale of the disaster is in a completely different place. Even in an uncut form (with clarifications about grain), the wording of the Ministry of Defense testifies to a deep crisis and even the absence of adequate information and explanatory work. At the same time, Konashenkov is engaged in an appeal to the world community, only for what, when this world community is engaged in arming the Ukrainian army?
Konashenkov is a reference to Russian Ministry of Defense Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov.
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation justifies this by preserving equipment and personnel. At the same time, burn the equipment that was previously heroically transported to the island?

This is genius. And this is after all the ups and downs associated with this island. Normal plan. In the same way, troops were withdrawn from three regions of Ukraine. The next step is the opening of shipping, so that dear Western partners can export grain and supply weapons in an order of magnitude larger volumes of saloreihu.

According to this logic, it is possible to withdraw troops from Ukraine in order to prevent the loss of personnel and equipment. That's it, bring me the epaulettes of the marshals and transfer the salary. If so, then this is a black irony.

Let me remind you: the phrase "step of good will" explodes public consciousness for the second time. The first time was when in Istanbul, against the backdrop of a fallen microphone, they announced our departure from Kyiv with surprising awkwardness. The second time - today about Zmeiny Island. Who is this brilliant writer? And it’s scary to think what will be the third such step?

Zaporozhye and Kherson? Maybe we will leave them as a "gesture of good will"? (black irony, if anything, but in reality I don’t rule out such a decision). And although the people in these former regions of Ukraine are definitely not hostile, but so far the presence of the RF Armed Forces is perceived with caution. It is understandable - according to the "gesture of good will" the Bandera people can return there again.

The people are ready to endure inconvenience, some deprivation. But he is not ready to endure deceit, lies, silence (and in the 21st century you will not be silent), he is afraid of betrayal, as was the case in the 90s, and hates such "goodwill gestures."

And once again I will touch on an important topic, the topic of information confrontation. Here, with a very small number of actual victories, the team of "Quarter-95" competently does the heating pad of the Russian military information field like an ace.

The head of propaganda in the Ministry of Defense and adviser to Shoigu, a certain Ilnitsky, by the way, a native of Lviv, declares that we need to "not fall into the information war, where they have more resources", that is, in fact, offers not to appear on it. In my humble opinion, Ilnitsky simply retouches his incompetence, his failure in his position, justifies his inaction. Inaction, again in my humble opinion, is criminal in a military situation.

And all sorts of statements by various karnaukhs on the topic: "Who are you to report to you," and "Criticize, but in silence," I personally also consider criminal. You have to be educable.

P.S.
The main reason was the lack of reconnaissance and target designation equipment of the operational-tactical link in the arsenal of the fleet and the Aerospace Forces, which would allow effective targeting of aircraft and "Caliber". Like, for example, the UAV MQ-9 Reaper.

Yet, again, more from Chervonets:
Can't play giveaway

"Gestures of good will" are ALWAYS perceived by the enemy as weakness. It's an axiom.

I don't really understand why we need to show some gestures of good will to the world community when the world community shows us only goat faces. DO NOT play giveaway.

Important was written by the military commander Alexander Kots on this topic:

I don’t understand why the image of a knight on a white horse is molded from the Russian army. Who will appreciate this image? Those who are for the RF Armed Forces will not turn away from them in any case. Those who are against cannot be persuaded.

Here, a letter came from the mother of a dead Russian soldier. Read to the end.

“My son died on March 28 in Malaya Rogan. There was no longer any hope, but on June 4 we were informed that there was an exchange and he was among them.

On June 10, we buried our son - a hero. He did not run away, did not leave the wounded, he was not even wounded, but he was not given a chance to live. He and two of his subordinates were shot on the spot. This was already told to us by his commander, who was taken prisoner and then exchanged.

For our family, as well as for many such grief-stricken families, the main thing now is that the death of our sons is not in vain.
Posted by:badanov

#2  ^Ditto that. A pause.
Posted by: Dale   2022-07-01 17:09  

#1  Snakes Island is an expensive place to hold if you are not planning on using it right away for something like moving on Odessa. I suspect the Ukrainians will not reoccupy the island for the same reason the Russians left.
Posted by: SteveS   2022-07-01 10:37  

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