| Submit your comments on this article |
| Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia |
| Lisichansky cauldron for Ukrainian Forces brewing according to the recipe of the Second Chechen campaign |
| 2022-06-21 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate Edited. [REGNUM] The Ukrainian gauleiter of the Luhansk region Sergei Gaidai decided that almost a general offensive of the Russian army had begun on the remnants of the territory entrusted to him by Kiev. In particular, on June 20, he published a message in which he stated that a "huge amount" of equipment, artillery and aviation fell directly on all the points of deployment of Ukrainian militants, especially on the Lisichansk-Bakhmut highway, which was called Artyomovsk before the Ukrainian renaming. It is unlikely that this powerful Ukrainian leader is able to adequately assess the scale of military measures and the direction of strikes. However, the grain of reality in his messy messages can be seen. It is immediately clear that Gaidai is most worried about the Lisichansk-Bakhmut highway, the main supply artery of the Lisichansk-Severodonetsk group of the hardened military. Recall that this route has been in the zone of confident destruction of Russian artillery for several days. At the same time, Ukrainian military leaders continue to drive along it to Severodonetsk new detachments of militants of various qualities, as well as ammunition and weapons. At first glance, this is a strange circumstance. It can be assumed that the Russian command does not intend to risk unnecessary losses in the course of a decisive cutting-off strike. You can fantasize in the hysterical style of “everything is sold” / “leaked” / “agreement” and the like. And we can recall the relatively recent events in the North Caucasus, in particular the operation in the village of Komsomolskoye, where a group of several large militant groups was surrounded and almost completely destroyed. The gang of Ruslan Gelaev , surrounded in the village, put up strong resistance and asked colleagues to come and take part in the future victory. Colleagues were walking, but corridors were “arranged” for them in one direction. They broke through into the village relatively easily, but they could no longer get out of it. Therefore, it is possible that the Severodonetsk-Lysichansky “cauldron” for the Ukrainians is brewed according to the “Caucasian recipe”. And the corridor Bakhmut-Lysichansk works only for the entrance. One thing is clear already now - the history of the "Zhroynyh forces of Ukraine" will soon be replenished with another environment. And it's unlikely to be the last. |
| Posted by:badanov |
| #1 If this is done according to the Chechen recipe, it will likely have to be tweaked. The Chechens were fighting the Russians with ATGMs and RPG's. The Ukrainians are outgunned, but they do have limited amounts of artillery. And tanks. And fighter jets. And drones. Not to mention an agonizing slow trickle of Western resupply. The Russians invaded Chechnya with 80,000 men. They fought maybe 8,000 Chechens, and claim losses of about 7,500. In Ukraine, they are literally fighting hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians. I don't envy the Russian armor and infantry. Even if they gain ground, it is likely to be at a very high expense. |
| Posted by: Zhang Fei 2022-06-21 03:13 |