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Government Corruption
New Analysis Details Enormous Economic Consequences as Earners Flee Blue States for Red
2022-06-04
[PJ] A new analysis of IRS data shows the financial consequences of gaining or losing population can be either extremely rewarding or devastating to individual states. In 2020, blue states repelled the highest earners while red states attracted them, resulting in massive economic losses and gains.

Wirepoints, an Illinois-based research organization, took a look at the latest migration data released by the IRS and drew some conclusions that should leave Democrat-run states in a cold sweat, wondering how they’ll ever be able to maintain their profligacy.

In the competition for America’s best and brightest residents, the most populous blue states are becoming perennial losers. In 2020, New York, Illinois, California, Massachusetts, and New Jersey suffered net losses in their population, with high-earners taking their income — and tax base — with them:

  • New York was the biggest loser, netting a loss of almost 250,000 residents, who took with them a net of $19.5 billion in income — fully 2.5% of the state’s entire adjusted gross income (AGI) in 2019.
  • California did second-worst, losing a net of 263,000 residents and $17.8 billion in income.
  • The third biggest loser was Illinois, whose 101,000 emigrants took income worth $8.5 billion with them
  • Massachusetts came in fourth with a net loss of $2.6 billion.
  • New Jersey took fifth place with $2.3 billion in lost income.

    Not only are fewer people moving into these sputtering states than are moving out, but the newcomers tend to bring less wealth with them than the leavers took. For example, people who moved to Illinois in 2020 made, on average, $30,600 less than those who departed. When taken as a percentage of the state’s 2019 AGI, this was a 1.9% loss for Illinois, making it second only to New York state for lost income as a percentage of state AGI.

    Heading up the winner’s column were Florida, Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, and South Carolina:

  • Florida was Americans’ number one destination, netting 167,000 new residents who brought with them $23.7 billion in new income — a hefty 3.3% of Florida’s total 2019 AGI.
  • Texas took second place with a net income increase of $6.3 billion.
  • Third-place Arizona gained $4.8 billion.
    North Carolina took fourth place with an income increase of $3.8 billion.
  • South Carolina came in at number five with a net increase of $3.6 billion.

    Wirepoints included a graph of the top ten states that had net gains in AIG in 2020:
    • Posted by:Besoeker

    #9  ^ Gummint would like to repeat 2008 housing crash. Banks and builders say "no thanks."
    Posted by: M. Murcek   2022-06-04 15:16  

    #8  Texas is also exporting illegals to Washington D.C.

    Home interest rates appear to be levelling off for now. Supply issues also seem to be sorting themselves out. Housing market seems to be cooling off a bit.
    The house we are buying is coming along. This week its drywall, then tiling, countertops, etc... Looking at a September closing if no delays.

    I'm sure the Biden administration will f-ck it up. It's what they do - it's all they do! They f-ck thing up and they Will Not Stop!
    Posted by: CrazyFool   2022-06-04 15:09  

    #7  Texas took second place

    First in illegals though.
    Posted by: Skidmark   2022-06-04 14:37  

    #6  Of course they will quickly turn their destinations into the very things they left.
    Posted by: Glenmore    2022-06-04 11:25  

    #5  Perhaps first-hand knowledge of the link between blue voting habits and taxes will sink in for these "economic migrants."
    Posted by: M. Murcek   2022-06-04 09:26  

    #4  
    Some might remember that a CA. Assembly Bill 2088, in August 2020, would have been a EXIT TAX imposed for leaving California.
    Posted by: NN2N1   2022-06-04 08:04  

    #3  ^ cause they couldn't find enough line managers and supervisors who can speak the language of their workforce?
    Posted by: Procopius2k   2022-06-04 08:02  

    #2  Shipping jobs overseas and to Mexico will also help dampen the 'Red State' migration.

    De Moines Register - John Deere is moving its tractor cab production from Waterloo to Mexico
    Posted by: Besoeker   2022-06-04 04:41  

    #1  Higher fuel costs and increased home loan interest rates will continue to make relocation a challenge. Government 'Blue State' re-population efforts will eventually level the playing field and promote the return of equity.

    Future COVID or other emerging pandemic 'lock-downs' could encourage these people to stay put.
    Posted by: Besoeker   2022-06-04 04:35  

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