Text by an unidentified Telegram user
[ColonelCassad] Regarding the question raised about the need to increase the size of the armed forces.
This issue is certainly on the agenda. In addition to the immediate issues related to the need to concentrate efforts on the campaign in Ukraine, there is the problem of doubling the size of the Polish army and the general increase in the permanent military presence of US and NATO troops on the western borders of the country, posing a threat to Belarus, Kaliningrad (the threat of blockade of the enclave is more than real) and the North-Western regions of Russia (currently covered by fairly modest forces). This is in addition to the need to keep troops in the Caucasus, hold positions in Central Asia, and also strengthen defenses in the Far East in the light of Japan's territorial claims.
Accordingly, an increase in the size of the army to 1,500,000 - 1,700,000 is quite probable. At the same time, the issue of providing the army with modern military equipment at least at the level of 70% is not removed.
But there are still issues of modernizing logistics, import substitution and expanding the capabilities of the military-industrial complex to provide the army with equipment and equipment, including the expanded State Defense Order 2023-2025.
All this can lead to issues of reworking the existing military doctrine, a new military reform and investments in the development of the military-industrial complex.
From my subjective point of view, the increase in the army in the conditions of the breakdown of the world order and the struggle for a new world order seems inevitable. Another question is that this growth must be correlated with limited economic opportunities, when the principle of "guns instead of butter" can lead to a well-known situation where the strength of the army is completely unimportant if its rear is corny cracked and collapsed.
We know this well from our sad experience. Therefore, here they will obviously look for some kind of golden mean, where the increase in the army will be correlated with an understandable desire to "live within their means."
| All that being said, based on nothing at all it seems to me it would take at least a year to get the physical necessities for a larger number or troops squared away, then another year or more to get the new troops through basic training and enough of the more advanced skills to have a hope of being useful on the battlefield. What say you, dear Reader? |