You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Arabia
Briefly about Yemen
2022-01-30
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin

[ColonelCassad] At the front in Marib, events are developing very interestingly.
The troops of the Hadists and the STC, with the support of the Air Force of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, were able to recapture Bayhan and Kharib from the Houthis during the January offensive, but yesterday the STC suddenly announced the end of the offensive and the withdrawal of five brigades from the front at once, including the three most combat-ready brigades funded by the UAE, for the transfer of which the western coast of Yemen was surrendered to Marib.

The pro-Iranian IWN reports:

According to the pro-Saudi coalition media, the command of the Amalek forces withdrew five brigades of its fighters from the southern fronts of Marib and transferred them to the city of Ataq.

But they have expanded their military operation to the Kharib region in the province of Marib. However, the end of the operation was announced today. This unexpected decision to end the operation and withdraw Amalek's forces could be the result of one or more of the following:

1- Casualties and losses of the Saudi coalition forces, especially Amalek's forces on the battlefield with Ansar Allah, were much higher. than their calculations and level of expectations.

2- Ansar Allah's security and economic impact on the UAE by conducting Operation Hurricane Yemen in two phases.

3- US and UN pressure on the UAE and Saudi Arabia to stop airstrikes on Yemeni cities.

4- International mediation between Ansar Allah and the UAE.

5- Termination of the agreement between the UAE and Saudi Arabia and the achievement of the objectives of this agreement.

Also, some local analysts believe that in exchange for the help of the Saudi coalition in the fight against Ansar Allah in the province of Marib, the UAE took control of some areas and oil areas in the province of Shabwa and the port of Belhaf on the southern coast of Yemen from the Saudis.
.

It is also worth noting that after the Houthis threatened the UAE, Dubai Expo canceled a number of events in the emirate, fearing the consequences of the strikes.

If you look at the dry residue of this counterattack, then in order to win two less important settlements from the Houthis, part of the strategically significant province of Hodeida was surrendered and the real threat of blocking Iranian military supplies to Yemen was removed.

However, at the cost of this sacrifice, it was possible to solve short-term tasks - the offensive in Shabwa and South Marib forced the Houthis to ease pressure in the mountainous region of Jabal al-Balak and stop trying to break through from the south to the province of Marib.

The Houthi reserves, who were supposed to support the pressure on Marib, were forced to travel to southern Marib and Shabwa to stabilize the crackling front. Over the past 2 days, the reserves that have come up have made it possible to recapture part of the previously lost territory from the Hadists.

The general scheme of what happened in Marib and Shabwa in late December-January.

In fact, the command of the Saudi coalition took a rather reasonable step, using the mobile reserves that appeared to organize a powerful counterattack on the flank of the Houthis, who had to change their plans related to the continuation of offensive operations south of Marib. A rare case when the plan of the command of the Saudi coalition was crowned with success.

In 2021, they already played this game, organizing a powerful counteroffensive south of Taiz in response to pressure on Marib, which ended in nothing, but allowed them to buy time and stabilize the front in Marib. It's basically a double 2.

According to various estimates, Ansar-Allah and the Saudi coalition lost a large number of manpower and equipment in the battles south of Marib (we are talking about thousands of dead and even more wounded).

For the Houthis, this can be written as an operational failure (the political leadership set the goal of taking Marib in the first half of January), although it can be attributed to the fact that they do not have enough forces to simultaneously attack Marib and stop the counterattack, for which up to 8- 10 brigades of emirates and hadists.

It can be expected that when the UAE forces are withdrawn from the front, after some operational pause, the Houthis will try to make up for this failure, especially since the withdrawal of a significant part of the emirates’ forces from the front leaves them face to face with the Hadists, who were already smashed here.

So far, both sides continue to exchange strong blows. The Saudis carry out dozens of airstrikes every day. The Houthis respond with ballistic missiles and drones. Both sides claim heavy casualties on the side from these strikes.

These battles continue to be the most intense local conflict of all going on Earth.
Related:
Marib: 2022-01-28 Arab Coalition has conducted a combined 44 targeted strikes in Marib
Marib: 2022-01-27 Yemen gov't forces sweep through Marib in setback for rebels
Marib: 2022-01-21 Yemeni forces make new advances near Ma'rib after latest victory, 50 fighters killed
Posted by:badanov

00:00