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| Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia |
| Is Ukraine ready for a big military operation? |
| 2022-01-30 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Aleksandr Kots [KP] This was told to kp.ru by Kirill Vyshinsky, a former Ukrainian journalist who served 413 days in prison for his work, and now is the executive director of the Rossiya Segodnya news agency. "PEOPLE ARE CLOSE TO PANIC" - How would you assess the psychological state of today's Ukraine? - In the minds of people close to panic. If I talk to someone in Ukraine on the phone, they will definitely ask me if there will be a war and when. - Have you read British newspapers? - Not only. Poroshenko and all his entourage, who are drawn to the channels of Akhmetov, they pump up military hysteria. And despite Zelensky's reassurance, people are more inclined to believe not him. Plus, the Americans said. Matches and salt may not be bought up yet, but money has already begun to be withdrawn from banks. This is a demonstration that the people are psychologically very excited. They know how to do it in Ukraine. To what extent is this excitement justified? Military-psychological exacerbations have happened before. - The difference is that Ukrainian units in the Donbass have begun to saturate American weapons. Americans need to do something that confirms the military escalation. I'm not sure that the Ukrainian military is seriously ready to fight. They have no positive combat experience. No win experience. There are only defeats - Ilovaisk, Debaltseve. They understand what can happen if they are covered with volley fire. Where would they have to go then? There are two directions. The closest is towards the Russian border. Or, like the famous Transcarpathia battalion, which made a "heroic" march. During the day they traveled 800 kilometers, however, in the direction of the rear - to Ivano-Frankivsk. "I DON'T BELIEVE IN FIGHTING SPIRIT" - Well, there are those who want to make war? - Everyone is ready to make money on the front line when you are sitting in a dugout, and you are still dripping to your salary for the “first line”. It's no secret that mostly contractors get there. First of all, they are recruited from Western Ukraine. They have two motivations - ideological and material. Some people are too lazy to go to Poland. And here you are sitting in a trench. The previous rotations have already dug everything for you. Volunteers bring you canned goods. You are all set. And plus money is dripping. Yes, they shoot. And you shoot. A strange positional war, like Remarque's - "All Quiet on the Western Front." They sit, smoke, shoot, drink. People got used to it. And not many people want to worsen anything cardinally with their own hands. Although I understand that there are people with broken heads, with twisted brains. There is also the "Right Sector", the Volunteer Corps, there is the "Azov" regiment, which is not clear to whom it is subordinate. But in the general mass, I do not really believe in the high morale of the Ukrainian army in the Donbass. It is unlikely that anyone will go to large-scale military operations there. And for some provocations, clashes - I do not rule it out. - And what about the morale of the inhabitants of the eastern regions? - I follow my contacts and publications. For people, any war is a change in their current life. Nobody wants tomorrow to be different. It is clear that there will be no carpet bombing, as in the Great Patriotic War. But people do not want to adapt to new circumstances either. "PASSIONARIANS - IN THE CRIMEA AND DONBASS" - Will they not join the partisans? - In the southeast, the terrain is not suitable for this. You won't be particularly partisan there. There are people who simply forgot how to do something in this life, while they were immersed in this story for 7 years, saturated with adrenaline and blood. This is 6-8 percent of the population in the large cities of the southeast. Maximum. How many of them are specific passionaries who will take up arms? If we talk about Ukrainians, all the passionaries whom life has forced to be like this are Crimea and Donbass. They are no longer in Ukraine. There are also passionaries by the type of thinking - these are Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk. Ternopil is already to a lesser extent. And the people living in Kharkov, in Odessa, in Nikolaev, well, what kind of war, what kind of partisan movement? - Will they meet with flowers? - Hardly, for one simple reason. These people are wary. As soon as something changes, they will first look, and then they will go with flowers. The main thing is that the usual way of life does not change. People really don't want this. - How do you assess the informational hysteria fueled by the American and British media? - It seems that it is caused by a large complex of internal American problems. They received a powerful and tough position of Russia. Do you want to negotiate? Okay, let's start simple. 1997, NATO within these limits. This is a serious story for Americans. They need to strengthen their negotiating position. One way is economic pressure. They believe that this will weaken the position of Russia. For the Americans, two options would be good. The first is the disruption of negotiations by the outbreak of hostilities. Who should start them? Definitely not Russia. But since the information background has been created, if something starts there, they will say: you see, we said, Russia was preparing, and please. The second option is to force Ukraine to carry out Minsk with all its might. But, in any case, the main goal of the Americans today is to undermine us in negotiations, to create the appearance that Russia is preparing a war and putting the world on the brink of World War III. And any outcome for the Americans is good. Provocation? We said that Russia was preparing a war. No, everything will be resolved, there will be no war? Well, we are peacekeepers! Biden saved the world. Win-win situation. - How real is the war between Ukraine and Russia? - I'm more afraid of those recruited under a contract in Western Ukraine, who just want to get their hands on the same "Jevelins" and sneer towards the Muscovites. I do not really believe in a conscious readiness for some kind of military operation on the part of Ukraine. It must come from the Americans. Moreover, their instructors should stand behind and play the role of detachments. Aleksandr Kots is prior service Russian airborne and a writer for Komsomol Pravda |
| Posted by:badanov |
| #2 yep merrick, the majority of voters are idiots. |
| Posted by: Chris 2022-01-30 09:49 |
| #1 any outcome for the Americans is good. Provocation? We said that Russia was preparing a war. No, everything will be resolved, there will be no war? Well, we are peacekeepers! Biden saved the world. Win-win situation. Exactly so. Brandon and American Pravda are pushing this, full throttle, because their narrative suits their political ends in 2022. Biden's support from his own base is collapsing. The suburban soccer moms, GOP NeverTrumpers and other cross-party elements of his coalition have abandoned the Democrats as well. They are failing at literally everything they touch. They're in free fall. Their knee jerk response is to Wave the Bloody COVID Shirt and scream, OrangeMan! Terrorists! It worked beautifully last fall for Gov. Newsom in CA: he was such a despised and blithering fool that Californians put up a recall petition that got nearly 2 million signatures in record time... and then Newsom screamed Trump! COVID! TrumpCOVID TrumpCOVID COVID OVID TrumpTrump. And Newsom turned defeat into a landslide victory. He was expected to lose, and won by a 2:1 margin. Two to one! Exit polls showed that the state's Asian voters, most of whom supported the recall petition, were easily convinced to change their minds by the specter of TrumpCOVID. Conclusion: Putin is Brandon's 2022 version of Newsom's 2021 TrumpCOVID hysteria campaign. But this won't end well for Brandon. Americans generally are not gullible little mask-worshipping sheep (as most of California's Asians are). |
| Posted by: Merrick Ferret 2022-01-30 07:21 |