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Government Corruption
The U.S. Really, Really Wants Russia to Invade Ukraine, Here's Why
2022-01-28
[ColinSims] On January 19th, President Biden held a press conference where he supposedly made another "gaffe" in response to a question about how the U.S. would respond to a Russian invasion of Ukraine. Biden said, "I think what you're going to see is that Russia will be held accountable if it invades. And it depends on what it does. It's one thing if it's a minor incursion and then we end up having a fight about what to do and not do."

Many observers—particularly in the media—have interpreted Biden’s statement to mean that Russia will face less severe sanctions if it only invades Ukraine a little bit. Countless headlines the next day looked like this one from Newsweek.

However, it is possible that Biden’s "gaffe," for which "top officials" needed to conduct damage control, wasn’t a gaffe at all, but instead part of a calculated effort to goad Russia into Ukraine. I understand that might sound like a preposterous statement initially, but within the wider context of geopolitics, it actually makes sense. So, let us consider some of the global realities that are seldom discussed.
Posted by:Omomolet Phutch9064

#15  OTOH, Ukraine's President Zelensky does NOT think an invasion is imminent -- and told Pres. Magoo so yesterday.

CNN, quoting an unnamed senior Ukrainian official, reports that "the [80-minute] call did not go well... amid disagreements over 'the risk levels.' "

Apparently Magoo-Quixote has convinced himself that the windmills are about to attack -- even though level-headed Sancho Zelensky points out that, well, it's not that simple.

Who shall save the fair Ladonza?
Posted by: Merrick Ferret   2022-01-28 22:07  

#14  "Many observers—particularly in the media—have interpreted Biden’s statement to mean that Russia will face less severe sanctions if it only invades Ukraine a little bit."

I recall hearing something in my youth about "just the tip."

If I don't get 'nuked or eaten by my neighbors, I'll have something to be amazed of for awhile.
Posted by: Anomalous Sources   2022-01-28 20:19  

#13  If Putin were serious about invading he would have done so a year ago, in a lightning strike, when no one was expecting it. Unlike Pres. Magoo, Putin doesn't telegraph his moves in advance.
Posted by: Merrick Ferret   2022-01-28 13:52  

#12  I'm still betting on Putin being smarter than #FJB, or even any of the evil little people who are pulling #FJBs strings. I still don't believe that Russia will invade.

Oh, and those 7,000 Russian nukes? If Biden and his handlers were smart they'd do everything they could to help Russia so those weapons don't fall into the hands of Chinamen or, worse, Muslims.

Further, after some of Biden's recent gaffes, Zelensky might be thinking he could cut Biden out of the loop and make a better deal with Putin.
Posted by: Abu Uluque   2022-01-28 13:20  

#11  the united states wants u frasier crane so they can dig a canal big enough for their corporate lng tanker butt buddies to supply europe cheaper than russia can! hell out west they pay me to take natural gas that is why they want frasier u crane duh!
Posted by: Greng Black3494   2022-01-28 12:17  

#10   Action against NATO members does not have to mean direct attacks.

Russian action against NATO goes back to ANTIFA vs Nazis brawling in the streets of Weimar Germany, and continued as a subornation project as soon as NATO was being negotiated post-war.
Posted by: trailing wife   2022-01-28 11:11  

#9  "Let's not be blind. If Russia initiates a scenario of any kind it will also initiate action against Nato members."

Action against NATO members does not have to mean direct attacks. Between bought politicians, rent-a-mobs, and cyber-attacks they could cause a lot of delays and confusion while maintaining a bit of deniability.
Posted by: ruprecht   2022-01-28 10:43  

#8  We've all seen this movie before ...

Posted by: Warthog   2022-01-28 10:27  

#7  people realized they could make more money by manipulating financial markets than they could by building stuff.

Like this guy Paul Singer, as reported at Rantburg.
Posted by: Bobby   2022-01-28 09:17  

#6  With regard to the Bidet administration foreign policy, Robert Heinlien comes to mind: “Never attribute to malice that which could more easily e attributed to stupidity “
Posted by: Sock Puppet of Doom    2022-01-28 07:30  

#5  Putin is playing a game of chess here and Biden is throwing darts at the wall. The only reason this is happening is Biden needs to divert attention from his many failures. Should he poke the bear too much he will squander any possible successful outcome. Then we have the Chinese at our border with Canada and Russia at our border in Mexico. Plus the invasion of single men imported for what cause?. Then our forces weakened in so many ways domestically. Our forces now are changing bed pans and adult diapers. I can hear it now, that's not what I signed up for.
Posted by: Dale   2022-01-28 07:02  

#4  The righteous! Some honor Miss Sendler,
And some are more fond of Herr Schindler,
Adopting, 'twould seem,
His original dream
Of becoming a pretty fair swindler.
Posted by: Unaimble the Wide1778   2022-01-28 06:39  

#3  "Let's not be blind. If Russia initiates a scenario of any kind it will also initiate action against Nato members."

Huh? Why would they do that?
For what tangible benefit, as part of what coherent or consistent strategy?
Posted by: Merrick Ferret   2022-01-28 03:30  

#2  Yet another theory from ZERO:

Maté: The Ukraine Crisis, Sponsored By US Hegemony And War Profiteers

Posted by: Besoeker   2022-01-28 03:11  

#1  Interesting theory, possibly over-analyzed. Suggests a rare level of beltway strategic, long-term financial thinking.

More likely attributed to little more than gross stupidity or diversion from a poor domestic agenda, or a combination of the two. We should know soon.
Posted by: Besoeker   2022-01-28 02:28  

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