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| Rozhin: Briefly about Kazakhstan |
| 2022-01-09 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin [ColonelCassad] 1. Former head of the KNB Massimov was detained in the case of high treason. De facto, this already finally legitimizes the existing belief that the whole reason was the dismantling of the Kazakh clans and their struggle for power, in which Tokayev is now winning. In addition to Masimov, other unnamed high-ranking officials are reported to have been arrested. 2. Nazarbayev's press secretary said that he had not left Kazakhstan yet. It was also stated that Nazarbayev had held telephone conversations with the leaders of the CIS countries and that he called on everyone to "rally around Tokayev." It looks like an admission of defeat and the establishment of autocracy in Kazakhstan. But here it is better to wait for the video statements of Nazarbayev himself - so far they are being made on his behalf. 3. The suppression of the hotbeds of armed uprisings continues in the country, and it is too early to talk about full control over the situation. Nevertheless, in a number of cities they are already really putting things in order and began to eliminate the consequences. Plus, the funeral of the victims of the bloody events began. Today it became known that an Israeli citizen, as well as a young child, was killed in the same Alma-Ata. 4. The country continues to experience interruptions to the Internet and communications. The access control regime is gradually being built on the roads, which is already yielding certain results. While the peacekeepers take control of strategic objects, the authorities accumulate loyal troops and police units and send them to problem areas. In general, it can be assumed that the events after the introduction of the CSTO troops and the arrests of officials involved in organizing the protests and riots, are embarking on a path leading to the stabilization of Kazakhstan, which will now be solely ruled by Tokayev. without looking back at the elbasy. Kazakhstan. 01/08/2022 Evening [ColonelCassad] The main for the evening in Kazakhstan. 1. The cleansing process in Kazakhstan is still ongoing, with videos and reports of ongoing gunfights between the military and police with armed militants. The Russian Foreign Ministry confirms information about dozens of killed militants. In Alma-Ata, they continue to collect the corpses of people killed on January 5-6 (among the dead there are 2 or 3 children). There are no Russian citizens among the victims. Life in a number of districts of the city is gradually returning to normal and the worst for Alma-Ata is most likely over. Of course. these events will remain in the memory of the townspeople for many years. Such a "black January", which seemed to bode nothing. 2. The normalization of transport links is gradually underway, including the resumption of the work of the airports of Kazakhstan. The airport in Almaty is promised to resume work on January 10. The Russian Federation provides assistance to citizens wishing to leave Kazakhstan and who had difficulties with departure during the events of January 5-7. Interruptions in the Internet and communication continue, which causes problems with the operation of electronic banking and the inability to use plastic cards. Shops in Almaty, which have already opened, work for cash. It is also worth noting that it was the Chinese specialists who helped the Kazakh authorities to block the Internet. The Chinese are now great masters in this area. 3. In the leadership of Kazakhstan, behind-the-scenes negotiations and resignations continue. Apparently, now there is a bargaining on the final terms of the honorable surrender of the Nazarbayev clan, which will save the face of Nazarbayev himself and save his family from criminal prosecution. The subject of bargaining is the future place of the Nazarbayev clan in the system of power and property of Kazakhstan. Of course, you can forget about the times when Tokayev was subordinate to Nazarbayev. Now he is the sovereign ruler. But it is quite understandable that if we go to a complete clean-up of the Nazarbayev clan, this will increase the risk of an escalation of the conflict within the country. Therefore, such a fog around the main culprits of what happened. As soon as the parties agree on all the conditions, a list of the main culprits / scapegoats will be made public, including some members of the Nazarbayev clan. And they may not be. In any case, for objective reasons Tokayev will be much closer to Moscow and Beijing than Nazarbayev. And a little further from Ankara, Washington and Brussels, which upsets many in the west. Judging by social networks, the Turks are most upset, who are already beginning to accuse Erdogan of not being too active in the Kazakhstani crisis and ultimately allowing Moscow to outplay himself. But, I believe, due to the economic influence of Turkey in Kazakhstan, Erdogan will remain in the game, even if his opportunities there will be reduced. that he was not very active in the Kazakh crisis and, as a result, allowed Moscow to outplay himself. But, I believe, due to the economic influence of Turkey in Kazakhstan, Erdogan will remain in the game, even if his opportunities there will be reduced. that he was not very active in the Kazakh crisis and, as a result, allowed Moscow to outplay himself. But, I believe, due to the economic influence of Turkey in Kazakhstan, Erdogan will remain in the game, even if his opportunities there will be reduced. 4. The authorities of Kazakhstan confirm the January decision to abandon the increase in gas prices from 60 to 120 tenge, and also preserve the state regulation of gas prices. In addition, until July 1, a moratorium is introduced on any increase in utility tariffs for the population. Taking into account the resignation of the government, which was associated with a conspiracy of gas workers that led to an increase in gas prices, in fact, all the initial demands of the protesters against the increase in gas prices were met. The plans of those forces that planned to use these justified protests of the citizens of Kazakhstan for their own selfish purposes have failed. But I am sure that the citizens of Kazakhstan will be interested to know the names of the direct perpetrators of both the price increase and those who planned to use the protests in the internal political struggle, which led to the bloody events in Almaty. 5. The CSTO contingent has already got involved in the routine work of ensuring security and will complete its full deployment in the next 2-3 days. There are no clashes or conflicts, it is a purely security mission. The Kazakh authorities assure that as soon as the situation in the country stabilizes (according to various estimates, it will take another 2-3 weeks), the contingent may begin to prepare for the withdrawal (previously the figure of 1 month for the operation was called). In principle, the task of the CSTO to show the ability to quickly transfer troops to the attacked country has already been completed, now the task is to show the effective work of the contingent and complete the operation beautifully, so that later it can be referred to as an example of the effective and active use of the CSTO troops, which of course will destroy the myth that ... that the CSTO is a paper structure incapable of anything. This operation certainly surprised and upset many, since such agility was clearly not expected from the CSTO. Pashinyan, as the formal political leader of the operation on behalf of the CSTO, looks ridiculous, of course, but quite in the spirit of modern postmodernism, it is clear that the operation is being led from Moscow. |
| Posted by:badanov |