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Home Front: Politix
New Poll Packed with Extremely Bleak News for Biden and Democrats
2021-12-09
[Townhall] First, an interesting polling note about this pollster itself. The Wall Street Journal has teamed up with NBC News to conduct national and state-level surveys for decades -- and we've analyzed them many times. But that longstanding alliance has apparently been dissolved, as the Journal launches its own proprietary polling product without any media partners. Axios reported on this development a few days ago, mining a few worthwhile nuggets:

Now, it's launching a new polling operation without media partners and it's bringing on campaign experts to help, the Journal’s executive Washington editor Jerry Seib told Axios. The company has contracted two firms led by John Anzalone, the lead pollster for President Biden's 2020 presidential campaign, and Tony Fabrizio, the lead pollster for former President Trump's presidential 2016 and 2020 campaigns. The firms will help put together the new "The Wall Street Journal Poll." The quarterly poll will explore political trends and voter sentiments around key issues. The data will be deployed across all Dow Jones properties, including Barron’s, Dow Jones Newswires and MarketWatch. The polls will have larger sample sizes, "to add confidence to the results and be able to look at demographic groups with increased statistical reliability," Seib said.

I think political observers should welcome innovations and changes in the polling space, given some of the industry's infamous flops and misses over the years (although successes sometimes get overlooked). That's why I find Trafalgar's work so intriguing. The inaugural Wall Street Journal poll was released yesterday, and its results are rather ugly for President Biden and his party. Let's start with the top line number on approval:
Posted by:Besoeker

#11  Polls? Who needs stinking polls when the voting systems is still rigged. Brandon will get a 100 million votes in the next election or how many they need to create.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2021-12-09 19:12  

#10  doing valid polls is really difficult --

many people have phones with caller ID and won't answer; some people lie to pollsters just for fun, some people are so ignorant they don't understand the questions

I don't know how you would even analyze margin of error

If I were in the biz I would have a semi permanent focus group
Posted by: Lord Garth   2021-12-09 17:41  

#9  Either way, Bertie, it is a mind-boggling commentary on the idiocy of the American voter.
Posted by: Glenmore   2021-12-09 14:46  

#8  Hey Glenmore about this one: TheHill.com More voters would pick Trump over Biden if election were held today: poll By Tal Axelrod - 12/06/21
More voters would back former President Trump than President Biden in a hypothetical match-up if the 2024 election were held today, according to a new Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey released exclusively to The Hill. Forty-eight percent of voters in the survey said they would back Trump, compared with 45 percent for Biden. Another 8 percent were unsure.
Posted by: Bertie Crains2651   2021-12-09 13:36  

#7  Re Brandon's stock market, look out below

According to BofA, the previous four instances of negative real earnings yield were the post-World War II bear market, the stagflation era of the 1970s, the 1980s “Volcker shock” period when the Federal Reserve raised interest rates aggressively to tame inflation, and the 2000 tech bubble.
Posted by: Merrick Ferret   2021-12-09 12:18  

#6  Boat with illuminated sign saying ‘FJB, Let’s go Brandon’ wins Virginia Christmas lights contest – only for organizers to disqualify it hours later for being ‘overtly political’
Posted by: Skidmark   2021-12-09 11:37  

#5  ^^^Which is why, although I wholeheartedly support President Trump, I hope he won't run again. Just too many people have a visceral hatred of him that clouds all other considerations. And I do NOT want another 4 years of Biden or whoever.
Posted by: Tom   2021-12-09 11:35  

#4  A poll I saw yesterday showed if Biden ran against Trump today he would win 46-44. So, as bad as we all know Biden is, nearly half the country thinks Trump is worse.
Posted by: Glenmore   2021-12-09 10:19  

#3  The stock market expects to be around after Bidet is gone. It plans accordingly.
Posted by: M. Murcek   2021-12-09 08:43  

#2  The [polling] data will be deployed across all Dow Jones properties, including Barron’s, Dow Jones Newswires and MarketWatch

The WSJ readers are looking for market insights.

Jerry Seib, Gerald Baker and the other experienced and talented editors of this premier financial & political news empire spot the connections between this administration's near-total collapse and where the stock market is going.

Smart investors don't give a flying hoot about Wokery or propping up Brandon; they want to take shelter from the coming shitstorm
created by Brandon's Shitshow.
Posted by: Merrick Ferret   2021-12-09 08:40  

#1  GOPe high fiving themselves, saying "All we have to do is show up and shove communism down the voters' necks."
Posted by: M. Murcek   2021-12-09 07:37  

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