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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
US Army Raises Europe Threat Level To 'Potential Imminent Crisis' On Ukraine-Russia Fears
2021-04-01

[ZH] The recent rise in tensions between the US and Russia over continued simmering conflict in Ukraine seemed to correspond with the Biden administration entering the White House. Many pundits have commented that on a foreign policy front things are eerily feeling like a throwback to the Obama years of 2014 or 2015, whether its the Ukraine and Crimea crises, or Syria returning to headlines again (including Biden's ordered airstrikes on the country in February), or the growing Russia-NATO standoff.

This past weekend we were among the very few to take notice of the Pentagon's latest large military equipment delivery to Ukraine's army via the port of Odessa, following Biden earlier pledging that "Crimea is Ukraine" and that he'd work to thwart Russian aims in the region.

And now this week the US European Command (EUCOM) has issued a notification of a raised 'threat level' in Europe. The designation has been officially raised to one of "potential imminent crisis" this week. It comes just as The New York Times and others are reporting a serious escalation in fighting in Eastern Ukraine, which has signaled the collapse of yet another cease-fire.

The raised threat level centers on Ukraine's commander-in-chief of national armed forces alleging that Russia has amassed more troops on its border this week, and further that "pro-Moscow separatists were systematically violating a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine," according to Reuters.

Kiev's parliament followed by announcing a sharp "escalation" in the east - a contested region which has seen 14,000 deaths going back to 2014.

The NY Times had linked the raised alert status by EUCOM specifically to Ukraine, writing "the U.S. military’s European Command raised its watch level from possible crisis to potential imminent crisis — the highest level — in response to the deployment of the additional Russian troops."

The report also described the infusion of new Russian military equipment to the Kremlin-backed rebels, something which the latest follow-up statement by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov downplayed, charging that it is the Ukrainian side now taking "provocative actions that would lead to war".

The Times report cited a US official who estimated that some 4,000 additional Russian troops remained behind along the Ukraine border region following the end of recent military drills, something which one retired Army general said could just be "posturing" designed to test the Biden administration.

Meanwhile Washington has apparently put Moscow 'on notice' over a potential Ukraine escalation...

Russia MOD says Milley initiates phone call today just as concern grows again about Russian presence along Ukraine border https://t.co/pZm2NFZlJl
— Barbara Starr (@barbarastarrcnn) March 31, 2021

Despite long ago falling out of daily and weekly headlines, the war in the Donbass region has remained a 'low-simmering conflict' which has never stopped. Battle lines and disputed fronts, along with rival checkpoints, have been consistently manned.

The usual military exercises that take place this time of year, or larger than usual troop build-up?

Russian forces are deploying massive amounts of military hardware into #Crimea. One of the largest deployments I've seen in recent memory. pic.twitter.com/KKZnGzS7y1
— The Intel Crab (@IntelCrab) March 31, 2021

However, as the NYT noted, "Four Ukrainian soldiers were killed and another seriously wounded in a battle against Russian-backed separatists in the Donetsk Region" on Tuesday, suggesting a severe flare-up on the horizon which could once again draw in external Western forces, especially as Biden has lately vowed to get "tough" on Putin's Russia.
Posted by:Clem

#11  Maybe Russia threatened to go seize a particular server?
Posted by: swksvolFF   2021-04-01 18:36  

#10  ...they used to do that during the Cold War. Finally someone decided to do something about it. They threw up NATO all weather aircraft during a particularly nasty weather system. The Russians scrambled but lacked sufficient all weather frames. They had to disperse all over Eastern Europe to find an open airfield to land.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2021-04-01 12:21  

#9  NATO scrambles fighter jets TEN times in one day to intercept unusually high number of Russian bombers and fighters over Europe
Posted by: Skidmark   2021-04-01 10:05  

#8  #1 What, pray tell, is the US interest in Ukraine?

Reference Hunter Biden and the "Big Guy".
Posted by: Ebbomoger Speaking for Boskone4589   2021-04-01 08:34  

#7  

Logic dictates attack when the International support is at its weakest.

OBAMA was Step 1.
Biden being 1/2 of an Obama is Step 2.



Posted by: NN2N1   2021-04-01 08:10  

#6  WH is desperate to justify NATO and its place in the web of entangling foreign alliances that justify their globalism.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2021-04-01 07:14  

#5  
Poor woman, she has gas and looks constipated, while I am not a medical doctor, but play one on the burg from time to time, I would recommend she should consume massive amounts of kimchi and extra hot guacamole, washing it all down with 32 ounces of R.W. Knudsen's prune juice.
She will be 'right as rain' in no time.
Posted by: Flith Choter9991   2021-04-01 06:05  

#4  What's the Gas Princess been up to lately?

Posted by: Clem   2021-04-01 04:50  

#3  I'm withholding comment until we hear Hunter Biden's Ukraine analysis.
Posted by: Besoeker   2021-04-01 03:14  

#2  If Putin wanted to take Ukraine, he would've done so long time ago.

p.s. Ukraine was never an independent country - and if you look on that's been going there for the last 20 years, you'll understand why.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2021-04-01 03:03  

#1  What, pray tell, is the US interest in Ukraine?

How exactly is that wretched Nigeria-North sinkhole connected to Americans' freedom, security and prosperity?
Posted by: Knuckles Grumble2538   2021-04-01 00:54  

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