[WashingtonExaminer] Add John Zogby to the growing number of Democratic pollsters questioning major media surveys showing a double-digit lead by Joe Biden over President Trump."It’s closer than you think," according to Zogby, who’s own John Zogby Strategies survey puts Biden’s lead at two points, 49%-47%.
In his latest podcast with son and pollster Jeremy Zogby, John Zogby said that polls showing a bigger Biden lead are using a bad model, one that includes far too many Democrats.
His model follows the partisan turnout in 2016 that was about 34% Republicans and about 38% Democrats.
"We believe that is a more accurate reflection of the turnout model," he said.
But others showing a big Biden lead over-weigh Democrats. "Now some of the polls that have come out, I find troubling," he said, citing CNN, Fox, and YouGov. They give an average 15-point advantage to Democrats. CNN had it a 16-point lead.
While the elder Zogby didn’t cite a reason other pollsters are showing a bigger Biden lead, his son Jeremy did — Biden bias.
"To me, it’s only two things. It’s deliberate, or it's a projection of bias, and I would go with the latter," he said in their weekly conversation, The Zogby Report.
"If you live in an area, and you live in an echo chamber, and most of your friends think a certain way, a lot of times the echo chamber effect is that you tend to project, ’How could people think such a certain way, clearly, for example, the president is out of mind, and he’s bad for this country, he’s bad for the world, so of course people are going to turn out in droves for Biden.’ I’m afraid that that’s what’s happening, a projection of bias in the data," he said.
Trump’s pollsters agree.
John McLaughlin, of McLaughlin & Associates, recently sent a memo to the president titled "Skewed media polls," and said the media is trying to rig the election and suppress the GOP vote by making it look like a Biden runaway.
In it, he wrote, "The latest skewed media polls must be intentional. It’s clear that NBC, ABC and CNN who have Democrat operatives like Chuck Todd, George Stephanopoulos and other Democrats in their news operations are consistently under-polling Republicans and therefore, reporting biased polls. They continue to poll adults or registered voters that skew away from likely voters. So instead of the 33% Republican turnout which actually happened in 2016, they are reporting polls on only 26%, 25% or even 24% Republicans. Since you get over 90% of the Republican vote, for every point fewer Republicans that they do not poll, they reduce your vote total by a point. In contrast CBS polled likely voters. CBS had 32% Republicans and a close national race. The bias seems to be an intentional strategy to suppress your vote. The latest media spin is that it’s too late to define Joe Biden and it’s too late for President Trump to win. We can hardly wait until they start spinning a ’Biden electoral lock.’ It has to be a strategy to counter the enthusiasm of Trump voters."
"I’m a Democrat," he said, but "I just don’t don’t think the sampling is accurate."
Joe with a 16 point lead is just silly and smells of leftist desperation. I can see him up by 2-4 points for registered voters, and a dead heat with likely voters. I still suspect Trump is ahead and while it might be a popular vote squeaker, the electoral college will be a complete landslide. Especially with deep blue cities hemorrhaging people like crazy. Trump might actually only lose NY by 5 instead of the normal 12-22 points republicans lose by.
Related:
John Zogby: 2016-09-18 Hildebeest campaign: ‘Nothing short of a disaster'
John Zogby: 2015-03-28 Grover Norquist is No €˜Useful Idiot'
John Zogby: 2008-12-17 Caroline Kennedy favored oligarch for Clinton Senate seat
John Zogby: 2016-09-18 Hildebeest campaign: ‘Nothing short of a disaster'
John Zogby: 2015-03-28 Grover Norquist is No €˜Useful Idiot'
John Zogby: 2008-12-17 Caroline Kennedy favored oligarch for Clinton Senate seat
Related:
John McLaughlin: 2019-12-28 Durham Investigation Focusing Attention On John Brennan And Some CIA Veterans Aren't Pleased
John McLaughlin: 2019-11-01 Former CIA Acting Director on Impeachment Inquiry: ‘Thank God for the Deep State'
John McLaughlin: 2019-01-01 How Should We Read the American Press? In Arabic.
John McLaughlin: 2019-12-28 Durham Investigation Focusing Attention On John Brennan And Some CIA Veterans Aren't Pleased
John McLaughlin: 2019-11-01 Former CIA Acting Director on Impeachment Inquiry: ‘Thank God for the Deep State'
John McLaughlin: 2019-01-01 How Should We Read the American Press? In Arabic.